Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.


Messages - K-S-U-Wildcats!

Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 ... 401
26
When you begin your pandemic response by calling it a hoax perpetrated by democrats, I think you win the finger pointing contest. Sit down kdub, good grief.

Trump did not call the virus a hoax. He was referring to the fear-mongering - the same thing Bill Maher correctly dubs "panic porn."

27
This is worth a watch. Bill Maher is actually one of the more thoughtful liberals in the media, but even still, he has engaged in plenty of "Tump Shoulda" political sniping. One of the more revolting things about this whole episode is that politics never missed a beat. At least durng 9/11, the country unified for a time. This time it was finger-pointing from the start, and I suspect that's here to stay.

https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1251644816611573760

If you didn't want finger pointing, you wouldn't vote for trump. Gmafb with that crap.

There is finger-pointing on both side. But please don't pretend that the liberals and media but I repeat myself have not been particularly ugly in this episode. This really is Impeachment Part III for them.

28
This is worth a watch. Bill Maher is actually one of the more thoughtful liberals in the media, but even still, he has engaged in plenty of "Trump Shoulda" political sniping. One of the more revolting things about this whole episode is that politics never missed a beat. At least durng 9/11, the country unified for a time. This time it was finger-pointing from the start, and I suspect that's here to stay.

https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1251644816611573760

29
Haven't gone back and read the last 20 pages, but seems like maybe you guys are coming around a bit? Panic subsiding?

Random (mostly contrarian) thoughts and guesses in no particular order....

Seems a consensus is emerging among the antibody-test studies that infection rate is far greater than initially thought, which means a far higher level of infection (bad news) but a far lower rate of symptoms, let alone mortality (great news).

The jury is still out on the efficacy of social distancing, but I suspect we're going to learn that it was a good policy in high-density areas (despite the downside of slowing herd-immunity, "flattening the curve" at least stopped hospitals from being overrun), but the wrong perscription for low density areas (most of the country).

I suspect NYC was absolutely hammered far more than any other "hot spot" due not just to its density, but its subway system in particular.

We'll look back on the mandatory stay-at-home orders as mostly a non-sensical empty gesture that caused far more economic harm than good. When you keep the grocery stores, gas stations, hardware stores, and literally dozens of other "essential" businesses open - as you should - it makes the rest of the closures pretty meaningless from a slow-the-spread standpoint, but plenty harmful economically. Also, my God, liquore stores being deemed "essential." :lol:

Death totals will continue to be hotly debated. Too much overlap. The most reliable numbers will probably eventually come from comparing against prior averages.

The ventilator hysteria will be remembered as one of the biggest goose chases of this whole debacle.

One of the many ironies of all this is that a great many hospitals have, far from being overrun, been financially hurt by the shutdown orders. Census is way down.

Governors would have been better off allowing decisions to be made at a county-level. JOCO/WDOT is vastly different from the rest of Kansas.

33
Politico: Dem leaders say freeze on WHO funding breaks the same law as Ukraine

ZOMG, yes Dems, yes. :lol: Defend WHO funding, and while you're at it, keep bringing up the sham impeachment you were laser-focused on while the virus spread. !

34
https://twitter.com/Kevin_Shipp/status/1250497137529573380

Remember back in 2019 when liberals cared about nothing more than defending the sanctity of our elections, because Russia bought some Facebook ads? Now they want to convert the ballot box into the mailbox. :facepalm: Remember when Hillary bitterly complained that she lost because a lot of women voted how their husbands told them to? (I think she was speaking at some paid event in India - not Indiana, India - at the time :lol:). If you actually believe that, do you believe that vote by mail will make that better or worse?

Not to get too far off topic, but the liberal effort to use this crisis to push vote by mail has been particularly shameful.

35
I think that's right. To that end, I think Gov Kelly would be wise to allow the state-wide SAH order to expire and leave it to the county level. I suspect she's gonna extend it, though.

36
I find this interesting. At Trump's presser yesterday (April 14, Rose Garden), the very last question was about whether Trump was worried that reopening would lead to a spike in infections and deaths. Trump responded that "some states are doing very well" to which the reporter interjected (imagine snottiest voice possible) "that's because they're following social distancing." To which Trump responded that social distancing may play a role, but so might population density.

Does it? I've always thought that population density might be as important, or even more important, than government stay-at-home mandates.

So these guys in Minnesota have been watching how the IMHE has changed its modeling of projected death tolls, sometimes daily, in five upper midwest states: SD, ND, IA, MN, and WI. The first three have not imposed state-wide restrictions (and ooh boy have they been roasted for it, these evil Pub govs), whereas MN and WI have.

But the interesting thing is that between April 11 and April 13, the IMHE (which many govs are relying upon) adjusted its projected death totals up for MN and WI, and down for the Dakotas and Iowa, despite no changes in government mandates. The best that I'm aware, the IMHE does not publicly disclose its modeling assumptions, but does this indicate that the IMHE is now placing greater emphasis on population density, and less emphasis on government mandates?

37
Checking back into another thread that bears my name. :blush:

Couple obervos... First, I think I heard NY recently increased it's death count by over 3,000 based on no confirmed testing but only presumptions? Kinda makes this whole exercise a bit dubious, no?

Second, please quote your predictions from a few weeks ago.

38
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: Too Much Time On Your Hands
« on: April 14, 2020, 01:29:03 PM »
I've been playing a lot of Golden Tee at home. I've become something of a master, at least on the home version.

39
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« on: April 14, 2020, 01:27:33 PM »
So wait, under this hypothetical, everything is staying open? And there's a 5% chance if I'm infected that I have to be hospitalized, and less than a 1% chance that I die? And I assume all of these odds are further reduced by only a certain percentage chance that I get infected in the first place? Yeah, I'd take those odds all day every day and enjoy some hella bargains and lower crowds.

40
You guys remember Mission to Mars and Red Planet and how they both totally sucked? I mean you'd think at least one of those would have been good. Nope.

And then there was The Prestige and The Illusionist which were both pretty good in totally different ways.

41
yeah ksuw decided he was not going to like parasite / snowpiercer as soon as he heard a critic mention "class"
i watched snowpiercer a few years ago knowing nothing about it, and thought it was a good premise but kind of meh / too reliant on fight scenes to be a good movie (iirc)

Keep that garbage in the pit, please. Plenty of people interpreted The Platform as a narrative on class divsions also. I liked it. The Hunger Games is about class. I liked it (the first one). Gattaca, class, loved it. I could name more. I don't care how people interpret movies - I only care whether the movie is enjoyable or interesting. Parasite was neither. If you liked it or took away something meaningful, bully for you.

42


Parasite was incredible, i don't know what the overrated talk was all about. You're just not supposed to be able to effortlessly shift genres and tone like that, and have the movie still work. and it works beautifully. i don't think i've seen anything quite like it.
Pffft. OK, hipster chodecat.

It really wasn't all that enjoyable, interesting, or special in any way. Big fat meh.

Death of Stalin had some absolutely hilarious moments. I think it ran too long.


You didn't find the first act comedy enjoyable?
You didn't find the plot interesting?
I already explained how it was special thematically.
You can just say you didn't like it.

Without spoilers, I just thought the whole premise was too contrived, and then it was just kinda boring. And I don’t think the foreign language / subs were the reason for that. I can think of other subtitled movies I’ve really liked. To me, this is kinda like what happened with other movies (Ex Machina comes to mind), where there seem to be a lot of people who want Parasite to be a lot more profound than it actually is.

Interestingly, after watching and really enjoying The Platform, I read that many are comparing it to Snowpiercer. I thought Snowpiercer was visually interesting, at least for a while, but had such a stupid premise that I couldn’t enjoy it. And Snowpiercer and Parasite have the same director so maybe there’s something in common there that I just don’t like.

43
The Worldometers data aggregation everybody seems to be using is much more up to date, but possibly not super-reliable given the number of sources they are pulling from, different counting methodologies, etc. I think everyone, including the Worldometer analysts, would concede there are likely issues with the data.

By contrast, the CDC keeps a running tally based only on only confirmed death certificates. It's not nearly as up to date, and even going off of verified death certificates is far from certain, but at least the CDC makes its data publicly available. You can download the CSV here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm

I was curious about deaths by age in the US. Based upon the CDC's most recent data (only about 5k deaths, so way behind), deaths caused by COVID by age are:
- Under 55: 9.5%
- 55-64: 12.5%
- 65+: 78%

That doesn't seem surprising.

But then I then compared the COVID deaths for each of those age groupings against all deaths of any cause for each of those age groupings (this is all in the same CSV). Here's how that breaks down....
- Under 55: 474 / 32,197 = 0.81%
- 55-64: 624 / 64,579 = 0.97%
- 65+: 3,886 / 387,996 = 1.00%

So no matter what your age (at least based upon these 3 age groupings), about 1% of all deaths is being caused by COVID, even though COIVD has a massively higher mortality rate as you get older.

Would be interested to hear Sys's take and that of other number crunchers. Should this be expected? Just an anomaly? I found it surprising.

This is interesting. I would have expected the number for those under 55 to be higher than for those over 65. We do have a lot of very unhealthy young-ish people in this country, though.

I don’t think it has to do with health. Younger people have a lot of deaths from other causes - occupational, crime, addiction, suicide, etc. - that older people don’t. Older people are much more likely to die of disease than any of the forgoing. Which again is why these numbers are so strange to me. I can’t understand a good reason for why these percentages are so similar across age groups when we know these age groups face vastly different risks and vastly different covid mortality rates. It seems like either a weird coincidence or something that might call the data into question (but I can’t say how). It’s just weird.

44
The Worldometers data aggregation everybody seems to be using is much more up to date, but possibly not super-reliable given the number of sources they are pulling from, different counting methodologies, etc. I think everyone, including the Worldometer analysts, would concede there are likely issues with the data.

By contrast, the CDC keeps a running tally based only on only confirmed death certificates. It's not nearly as up to date, and even going off of verified death certificates is far from certain, but at least the CDC makes its data publicly available. You can download the CSV here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm

I was curious about deaths by age in the US. Based upon the CDC's most recent data (only about 5k deaths, so way behind), deaths caused by COVID by age are:
- Under 55: 9.5%
- 55-64: 12.5%
- 65+: 78%

That doesn't seem surprising.

But then I then compared the COVID deaths for each of those age groupings against all deaths of any cause for each of those age groupings (this is all in the same CSV). Here's how that breaks down....
- Under 55: 474 / 32,197 = 0.81%
- 55-64: 624 / 64,579 = 0.97%
- 65+: 3,886 / 387,996 = 1.00%

So no matter what your age (at least based upon these 3 age groupings), about 1% of all deaths is being caused by COVID, even though COIVD has a massively higher mortality rate as you get older.

Would be interested to hear Sys's take and that of other number crunchers. Should this be expected? Just an anomaly? I found it surprising.

45
Speaking of the cray-cray Michigan Gov.... new, arbitrary, nonsensical in-store restrictions have been imposed.

https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/detroit/2020/04/10/whitmer-stay-home-michigan-lottery/5129316002/

She's gonna perfect for Biden.

46
There are a lot of Pit’rs whose raison d'etre seems to be taking comments wildly out of context and or distorting them to make a snarky comment.

The point I was making with liquor stores, and numerous other businesses, is that the distinction between “essential vs non-essential” business seems highly arbitrary and unlikely to meaningfully slow the spread when you consider how many “essential businesses” remain open. I think it would have been smarter to identify and restrict certain businesses that are both high-risk for spread (due to close personal contact, food, etc.) and non-essential. Gyms, movie theaters, and restaurant dine-in service, for example, made sense. But closing down thousands of small businesses (just in Kansas alone) when the grocery stores, hardware stores, gas stations, etc. etc. etc. etc. etc. remain open is both arbitrary and illogical. And liquor stores aren’t even “essential” in my opinion. My goodness, I think Rusty just compared liquor stores to methadone clinics! :lol:

No, snarky dumbasses, I’m not mad that those businesses are open, I’m pointing out that closing down other business when so many high-density, high-contact businesses stay open is arbitrary, illogical, and likely ineffectual.

which ones?

I already listed over a dozen in one random retail development I passed on the way home. If you want, like, a comprehensive list, nah I'm not doing that.

47
Parasite was incredible, i don't know what the overrated talk was all about. You're just not supposed to be able to effortlessly shift genres and tone like that, and have the movie still work. and it works beautifully. i don't think i've seen anything quite like it.
Pffft. OK, hipster chodecat.

It really wasn't all that enjoyable, interesting, or special in any way. Big fat meh.

Death of Stalin had some absolutely hilarious moments. I think it ran too long.

Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 ... 401