Haven't gone back and read the last 20 pages, but seems like maybe you guys are coming around a bit? Panic subsiding?
Random (mostly contrarian) thoughts and guesses in no particular order....
Seems a consensus is emerging among the antibody-test studies that infection rate is far greater than initially thought, which means a far higher level of infection (bad news) but a far lower rate of symptoms, let alone mortality (great news).
The jury is still out on the efficacy of social distancing, but I suspect we're going to learn that it was a good policy in high-density areas (despite the downside of slowing herd-immunity, "flattening the curve" at least stopped hospitals from being overrun), but the wrong perscription for low density areas (most of the country).
I suspect NYC was absolutely hammered far more than any other "hot spot" due not just to its density, but its subway system in particular.
We'll look back on the mandatory stay-at-home orders as mostly a non-sensical empty gesture that caused far more economic harm than good. When you keep the grocery stores, gas stations, hardware stores, and literally dozens of other "essential" businesses open - as you should - it makes the rest of the closures pretty meaningless from a slow-the-spread standpoint, but plenty harmful economically. Also, my God, liquore stores being deemed "essential."
Death totals will continue to be hotly debated. Too much overlap. The most reliable numbers will probably eventually come from comparing against prior averages.
The ventilator hysteria will be remembered as one of the biggest goose chases of this whole debacle.
One of the many ironies of all this is that a great many hospitals have, far from being overrun, been financially hurt by the shutdown orders. Census is way down.
Governors would have been better off allowing decisions to be made at a county-level. JOCO/WDOT is vastly different from the rest of Kansas.
