Saying Hillary couldn't have won in 2016 is like saying OU football couldn't have beaten K-State in 2019. There are many, many variables that affect the outcome. Luck is a factor. Different teams can win on different days. Different candidates can win on different days. But either CAN win.
What if Trump had died the day before the election? Would Hillary definitely not have won?
all the absolutist talk is bullshit. it's all very slight differences in probability. i think warren is a pretty bad candidate, and part of that is being a woman. but klobuchar i think would be a pretty strong candidate and she's also a woman. and the difference isn't that huge, like maybe warren has a 30% chance of winning and klobuchar a 60% of winning. which is different, but it's like the difference between getting 47 instead of 48% of the vote. or in getting the same %, but getting a little more in ny and ca and a little less in michigan and wisconsin.
so, like all the talk about what people will or won't vote for should reflect that you're talking about a couple of % of the population to start with.