If you look at Lunardi last 8 teams he has as IN, 4 of those are from BigEast. I think it's unlikely all 4 make it.
Then he has Wake making it. If they lose at VTech, Wake would be 8-10 in ACC. They would be 2-8 vs the best 9 teams from ACC and 4-0 vs 2 worst teams, NCSt/BC who are 6-29 in ACC. Only have 2 Top 50 wins, both at home
Then he has Cal in. If Cal goes 1-1 on road this week (at 81 Utah 111 Colorado), they would be 11-7 in P12. But only top 50 win is Usc, who is a bubble team. Right now Cal only has 4 of their 19 wins vs Top 100. Harvard is their only NonCon Top100 win
Once again, it's crazy how weak the bubble is. Vandy, his first team out is a FLA loss away from 16-15,9-9 Record in SEC. However, our resume without 2 more wins is also very weak.