2022 midterm elections

[WildcatNkilt]

Yea definitely butchered that one!  No need to name call, Wacky. 

[DreamWeaver69]

 

[Cire]

anecdotally I know 2 very large families that moved to florida because of mask mandates. 

Maybe florida flights compared with the maga covid deaths made some of this possible?

[Dugout DickStone]

So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

senate is likely dem.  ga to runoff, nv and az still counting (az v likely dem, nv slight edge for the dem).  dems need 2 of the 3 for control.

Too lazy to look, is a runoff good for Warnock or Walker?

I can't imagine Walker having more time to pick up halloween props(on clearance now) is a good thing for him.

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oh, nice one

[michigancat]

anecdotally I know 2 very large families that moved to florida because of mask mandates. 

Maybe florida flights compared with the maga covid deaths made some of this possible?

Where did they move from?

[steve dave]

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[LickNeckey]

sorry about your lube party Wacks

[DreamWeaver69]

sorry about your lube party Wacks

It's ok. Chiefs play the Jags on Sunday. 

[Dugout DickStone]

sorry about your lube party Wacks

It's ok. Chiefs play the Jags on Sunday. 

gonna be 18 at kickoff.  game mine away

[Sandstone Outcropping]

[Sandstone Outcropping]

So far the the results seem to be a repudiation (or at least cooling enthusiasm) for Trumpism.

I'm trying to wrap my brain around how Laura Kelly and Kris Kobach both win in KS. This means there were people who voted for both Kelly and Kobach which makes no sense to me.

To me it's simply the power of being the incumbent when you didn't do anything too crazy.

Looks like 30K votes went to 3rd party candidates in the KSGOV race, also.
That mailing supporting Dennis Pyle may have paid off big time for the Kelly campaign.

[star seed 7]

Sorry Schmidt, you just weren't racist enough for those voters

[Sandstone Outcropping]

Sorry Schmidt, you just weren't racist enough for those voters

A promise to "Shoot all the drug dealers and mail the bullet to their families" could have sewn it up for him.

[sys]

dems actually still have a chance at taking the house.

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1590407266846793730

[Spracne]

dems actually still have a chance at taking the house.

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1590407266846793730

I don't want that to happen. We need to be kind and considerate of the feelings of Republicans who would absolutely be left wandering in the desert were that to happen.

[CNS]

When you need some time, you really should take that time.

[DreamWeaver69]

You've really gone fun derp over this stuff, @Spracne, haven't you? You don't just tip toe over the line, you went full alt left, didn't you?

[sonofdaxjones]

It's very sad to see that Minnasodin's appear to continue want that POS Keith Ellison.

[sys]

i'm enjoying the parade of pollsters and aggregators told-you-soing and scolding the naysayers this morning.

https://twitter.com/DrewLinzer/status/1590422956865654784

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1590392620924440582

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1590344209588183041

[MakeItRain]

Thanks for this source, I've never even seen this before, but they seemed to whiff pretty badly too

that's not a bad miss, that's basically accurate.  as you can see from the 17 tossups mentioned, the difference between 234 and 218 is  much too small to reliably detect from national polls.  also keep in mind that polling is not the same thing as the predictive models some forecasters construct.

as an example of a close house race that no poll is ever going to be able to call:

https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1590255335486652418

I agree and it leads to my issue with split ticket and RCP. Instead of saying something like 32 races are too close to call, they say things like "split ticket is predicting a 234 to 201 republican majority." They put that on their homepage, it's used to drive a narrative, then when it ends up 219 to 216 you can't just chalk that up to "well we were close there were a bunch of tossups."

Those predictions are made and publicized for clicks, and they are driving propaganda they should face heavy scrutiny.

[MakeItRain]

https://twitter.com/LennyDykstra/status/1590407856435576832

[sys]

I agree and it leads to my issue with split ticket and RCP. Instead of saying something like 32 races are too close to call, they say things like "split ticket is predicting a 234 to 201 republican majority."

a lot of election nerds get mad at raters that leave races as tossups.  like it's an abrogation of responsibility or something.


i'm with you, if a race is a tossup, i'd rather just leave it as that rather than force a prediction.

[Rage Against the McKee]

https://twitter.com/LennyDykstra/status/1590407856435576832

He should DM her a dick pic to seal the deal.

[TheHamburglar]

Has she officially lost yet? I get a bad feeling when dancing on someone’s grave too early, like on a big return for a TD then I go looking for a flag.

[Dugout DickStone]

Has she officially lost yet? I get a bad feeling when dancing on someone’s grave too early, like on a big return for a TD then I go looking for a flag.

he is not dancing on her grave he is 100% trying to smash.