Author Topic: 2022 midterm elections  (Read 33312 times)

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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #375 on: November 09, 2022, 08:00:10 AM »
So far the the results seem to be a repudiation (or at least cooling enthusiasm) for Trumpism.

I'm trying to wrap my brain around how Laura Kelly and Kris Kobach both win in KS. This means there were people who voted for both Kelly and Kobach which makes no sense to me.

Offline Justwin

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #376 on: November 09, 2022, 08:05:57 AM »
So far the the results seem to be a repudiation (or at least cooling enthusiasm) for Trumpism.

I'm trying to wrap my brain around how Laura Kelly and Kris Kobach both win in KS. This means there were people who voted for both Kelly and Kobach which makes no sense to me.

To me it's simply the power of being the incumbent when you didn't do anything too crazy.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Offline sys

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #378 on: November 09, 2022, 08:08:54 AM »
Thanks for this source, I've never even seen this before, but they seemed to whiff pretty badly too

that's not a bad miss, that's basically accurate.  as you can see from the 17 tossups mentioned, the difference between 234 and 218 is  much too small to reliably detect from national polls.  also keep in mind that polling is not the same thing as the predictive models some forecasters construct.

as an example of a close house race that no poll is ever going to be able to call:

https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1590255335486652418
« Last Edit: November 09, 2022, 08:17:08 AM by sys »
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #379 on: November 09, 2022, 08:08:58 AM »
So far the the results seem to be a repudiation (or at least cooling enthusiasm) for Trumpism.

I'm trying to wrap my brain around how Laura Kelly and Kris Kobach both win in KS. This means there were people who voted for both Kelly and Kobach which makes no sense to me.

To me it's simply the power of being the incumbent when you didn't do anything too crazy.
There is a lot to this but Kobach lost a statewide race to her four years ago. Was hoping we had seen the last of Kobach but we can now look forward to four years of performative jackassery from him.

Offline sys

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #380 on: November 09, 2022, 08:11:53 AM »
So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

senate is likely dem.  ga to runoff, nv and az still counting (az v likely dem, nv slight edge for the dem).  dems need 2 of the 3 for control.
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #381 on: November 09, 2022, 08:14:28 AM »
Fetterman might be the ugliest POS politician I've ever seen. My word! He's disgusting and incompetent.

Offline sys

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #382 on: November 09, 2022, 08:16:20 AM »
I'm trying to wrap my brain around how Laura Kelly and Kris Kobach both win in KS. This means there were people who voted for both Kelly and Kobach which makes no sense to me.

some people did, but also 11k or so more people voted for gov than for ag.
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Offline steve dave

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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #384 on: November 09, 2022, 08:18:01 AM »
So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

senate is likely dem.  ga to runoff, nv and az still counting (az v likely dem, nv slight edge for the dem).  dems need 2 of the 3 for control.
Too lazy to look, is a runoff good for Warnock or Walker?

Offline kstater

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #385 on: November 09, 2022, 08:20:47 AM »
So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

senate is likely dem.  ga to runoff, nv and az still counting (az v likely dem, nv slight edge for the dem).  dems need 2 of the 3 for control.
Too lazy to look, is a runoff good for Warnock or Walker?
I can't imagine Walker having more time to pick up halloween props(on clearance now) is a good thing for him.

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Offline catastrophe

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #386 on: November 09, 2022, 08:22:47 AM »
Yeah I have to imagine the folks voting third party will skew Dem as well.

Offline OK_Cat

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #387 on: November 09, 2022, 08:22:50 AM »
So the red wave thing that wacky has been going on about for weeks didn’t actually happen? I’m shocked.


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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #388 on: November 09, 2022, 08:24:47 AM »
So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

senate is likely dem.  ga to runoff, nv and az still counting (az v likely dem, nv slight edge for the dem).  dems need 2 of the 3 for control.
Too lazy to look, is a runoff good for Warnock or Walker?

Normally, I'd say Walker, but Walker is insane and Trump may tell all of his followers to not vote in the runoff election again, so it's really hard to guess.

Offline catastrophe

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #389 on: November 09, 2022, 08:25:01 AM »
So the red wave thing that wacky has been going on about for weeks didn’t actually happen?

We stopped getting lube updates around 11pm so I think that’s right.

Offline OK_Cat

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #390 on: November 09, 2022, 08:29:57 AM »
So the red wave thing that wacky has been going on about for weeks didn’t actually happen?

We stopped getting lube updates around 11pm so I think that’s right.
Poor gal


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Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #391 on: November 09, 2022, 08:30:18 AM »
So the red wave thing that wacky has been going on about for weeks didn’t actually happen?

We stopped getting lube updates around 11pm so I think that’s right.
Yeah, congrats. Dipshit Kamala has the tying vote if things remain the same now. Awesome news, gang! Way to own the 'pubs and eff them kids!

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #392 on: November 09, 2022, 08:32:24 AM »
Sad to see PA under control of that multi-generational #blueanon shithole OKA Philadelphia.

Offline Trim

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #393 on: November 09, 2022, 08:33:09 AM »
https://twitter.com/keithedwards/status/1590212487567187968
Be sure to click for a full view of the second pic in that tweet. Member of the mainstream media enthusiastically snapping pics of sad Boebert supporters:  :ROFL:





Need the bills photojournalist shop'd in there.

Offline Trim

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #394 on: November 09, 2022, 08:33:40 AM »
I believe the google ads algo has been compromised by the spelling ITT




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:lol:

Offline sonofdaxjones

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2022 midterm elections
« Reply #395 on: November 09, 2022, 08:39:39 AM »
On the good side, congrats to GA for once again dodging that bullet and hopefully Dems keep running the ultimate grifter aka Beto O’Rourke in Texas.

Offline bucket

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #396 on: November 09, 2022, 08:40:58 AM »
So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

senate is likely dem.  ga to runoff, nv and az still counting (az v likely dem, nv slight edge for the dem).  dems need 2 of the 3 for control.
Too lazy to look, is a runoff good for Warnock or Walker?

Normally, I'd say Walker, but Walker is insane and Trump may tell all of his followers to not vote in the runoff election again, so it's really hard to guess.

I would disagree, based on what I've read. Kemp helped carry Walker. Walker wouldn't have that advantage in a runoff. They also suggested it could depend on whether the outcome would determine control of the senate. If Dems already have control then pubs may not care as much. If it would help split the senate or give the pubs the majority then voters would be more determined to turnout for Walker.

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #397 on: November 09, 2022, 09:00:34 AM »
I heard this pretty decent summary of the election.


*Fedderman flipped Pennsylvania which means Dems just need two wins out of NV, AZ, GA, and WI.  This will most likely result in a Dec. 6th runoff in GA.
*Republicans are favored to take over the House, but instead of the 35+ seats they thought they would win it looks more like 8-10.
*Dems won three major Governorships in PA, MI, and WI.
*Dems defended all the majorities on their battleground states.
*Dems flipped the MI state Senate and House

Also, a lot of Trump-backed people lost.
Kansas City Blue Barbecue fan.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #398 on: November 09, 2022, 09:02:47 AM »
I heard this pretty decent summary of the election.


*Fedderman flipped Pennsylvania which means Dems just need two wins out of NV, AZ, GA, and WI.  This will most likely result in a Dec. 6th runoff in GA.
*Republicans are favored to take over the House, but instead of the 35+ seats they thought they would win it looks more like 8-10.
*Dems won three major Governorships in PA, MI, and WI.
*Dems defended all the majorities on their battleground states.
*Dems flipped the MI state Senate and House

Also, a lot of Trump-backed people lost.
It's Fetterman, dipshit.

Offline OK_Cat

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #399 on: November 09, 2022, 09:11:37 AM »
Wacky correcting someone else’s spelling lol


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