Author Topic: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread (Read 1070807 times)

DQ12 · « **Reply #8200 on:** July 06, 2020, 03:51:58 PM »

Quote from: michigancat on July 06, 2020, 03:49:26 PM

If we are going to analyze that tweet I'm most curious how he figured we have the lowest Fatality (Mortality) Rate in the World

DaBigTrain · « **Reply #8201 on:** July 06, 2020, 03:55:32 PM »

Like with most of his stats it's probably a number he just made up.

DaBigTrain · « **Reply #8202 on:** July 06, 2020, 04:01:13 PM »

Sweet.

https://twitter.com/fox4kc/status/1280244133857239040

Phil Titola · « **Reply #8203 on:** July 06, 2020, 04:46:50 PM »

Just more tests duh

sys · « **Reply #8204 on:** July 06, 2020, 05:59:08 PM »

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1280267402446585858

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #8205 on:** July 06, 2020, 06:02:44 PM »

Anyone got a chart of current infection rates across the globe of those being tested, as long with total daily tests?

BTW German courts strike down existing lockdowns.

star seed 7 · « **Reply #8206 on:** July 06, 2020, 06:04:21 PM »

Quote from: sys on July 06, 2020, 05:59:08 PM

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1280267402446585858

indeed

Phil Titola · « **Reply #8207 on:** July 06, 2020, 06:09:01 PM »

Quote from: sonofdaxjones on July 06, 2020, 06:02:44 PM

Anyone got a chart of current infection rates across the globe of those being tested, as long with total daily tests?

BTW German courts strike down existing lockdowns.

We aren't your secretary, go find what you need

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #8208 on:** July 06, 2020, 06:12:43 PM »

Quote from: Phil Titola on July 06, 2020, 06:09:01 PM

Quote from: sonofdaxjones on July 06, 2020, 06:02:44 PM
Anyone got a chart of current infection rates across the globe of those being tested, as long with total daily tests?

BTW German courts strike down existing lockdowns.

We aren't your secretary, go find what you need

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data

I have some sites, quit being your usual drama boy pissy self, Phil

Phil Titola · « **Reply #8209 on:** July 06, 2020, 06:15:47 PM »

Quote from: sonofdaxjones on July 06, 2020, 06:12:43 PM

Quote from: Phil Titola on July 06, 2020, 06:09:01 PM
Quote from: sonofdaxjones on July 06, 2020, 06:02:44 PM
Anyone got a chart of current infection rates across the globe of those being tested, as long with total daily tests?

BTW German courts strike down existing lockdowns.

We aren't your secretary, go find what you need

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data

I have some sites, quit being your usual drama boy pissy self, Phil

Quit being a lazy old person who can't figure out the internet.

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #8210 on:** July 06, 2020, 06:17:48 PM »

Quote from: Phil Titola on July 06, 2020, 06:15:47 PM

Quote from: sonofdaxjones on July 06, 2020, 06:12:43 PM
Quote from: Phil Titola on July 06, 2020, 06:09:01 PM
Quote from: sonofdaxjones on July 06, 2020, 06:02:44 PM
Anyone got a chart of current infection rates across the globe of those being tested, as long with total daily tests?

BTW German courts strike down existing lockdowns.

We aren't your secretary, go find what you need

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data

I have some sites, quit being your usual drama boy pissy self, Phil

Quit being a lazy old person who can't figure out the internet.

Quit being so ragey, Phil. It's not fun making you mad anymore.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #8211 on:** July 06, 2020, 08:51:40 PM »

Quote from: sys on July 06, 2020, 05:59:08 PM

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1280267402446585858

michigancat · « **Reply #8212 on:** July 06, 2020, 11:25:48 PM »

are there any similar studies done in the US? (that aren't completely mumped up like the Santa Clara County one)

https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1266809523043332098

kim carnes · « **Reply #8213 on:** July 06, 2020, 11:29:24 PM »

Quote from: michigancat on July 06, 2020, 11:25:48 PM

are there any similar studies done in the US? (that aren't completely mumped up like the Santa Clara County one)

https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1266809523043332098

I think telluride did one

sys · « **Reply #8214 on:** July 07, 2020, 03:20:50 AM »

yeah, there have been quality serology surveys in the u.s.

Phil Titola · « **Reply #8215 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:13:59 AM »

Lot of slugging out to do if only 5% of people have got it and doesn't back up the CDC claim of at least 10x more people having it than the numbers say.

Dugout DickStone · « **Reply #8216 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:32:22 AM »

That is what is happening. If we can get morons to put a mask on it may also burn itself out.

michigancat · « **Reply #8217 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:34:16 AM »

Quote from: Phil Titola on July 07, 2020, 08:13:59 AM

Lot of slugging out to do if only 5% of people have got it and doesn't back up the CDC claim of at least 10x more people having it than the numbers say.

I mean the head of the CDC said he thought we had 5-8% of the population infected (assuming 10x more infections than confirmed cases). So it isn't crazy.

Dugout DickStone · « **Reply #8218 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:40:32 AM »

There isn't a rule that says 100% of the population needs to get this thing before we are out of the woods right?

Probably also a decent chance that a certain segment is exposed and doesn't get infected but also doesn't have traceable amounts of antibodies.

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #8219 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:47:10 AM »

Quote from: Phil Titola on July 07, 2020, 08:13:59 AM

Lot of slugging out to do if only 5% of people have got it and doesn't back up the CDC claim of at least 10x more people having it than the numbers say.

Hmm, 5% is 18M. 8x to 10x infected at the time when that statement came out was roughly 20m to 24m.

German CDC floated the same 10x number for Germany in May.

michigancat · « **Reply #8220 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:48:32 AM »

Quote from: Dugout DickStone on July 07, 2020, 08:40:32 AM

There isn't a rule that says 100% of the population needs to get this thing before we are out of the woods right?

impossible to know for sure but I've seen estimates of 70-80%...Mayo Clinic estimates 70%:

https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/herd-immunity-and-coronavirus/art-20486808

steve dave · « **Reply #8221 on:** July 07, 2020, 08:59:00 AM »

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #8222 on:** July 07, 2020, 09:07:06 AM »

Wrong thread

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #8223 on:** July 07, 2020, 09:21:21 AM »

NSW Australia . . . 6 week lockdown.

cRusty's quarantine hotels: People doing what people do in Hotels

https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/02/asia/victoria-quarantine-coronavirus-breach-intl-hnk-scli/index.html

michigancat · « **Reply #8224 on:** July 07, 2020, 12:07:36 PM »

People from my social bubble of two other families we bbq'd with (outside) on the 4th of July have fevers.

it's kind of interesting but shows how the testing infrastructure isn't great. Everyone's scrambling to figure out how to get tested. No one knows if you need an appointment or how long it takes to get results. One family has a symptomatic kid going to one location and the asymptomatic folks are going to another. One family got an afternoon appointment for 4pm and was told results are 1-2 days. Meanwhile we're all feeling fine and going about our day (I'm WFH, wife at hospital, daughter has an open water swim practice). But being in this situation you can see what a challenge this all is beyond graphs and test positivity rates.