CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread

[MakeItRain]

dax I don't like where you're going with this

LOL,  we can talk about certain ethnic groups pre-disposition to follow rules, we can talk about a country with a certain demographic make-up's pre-disposition to follow rules

YOOOOOOOO LOL.

[MakeItRain]

https://twitter.com/FlyICT/status/1265417583702016006

Clay Travis encourages you to let go of the fear

https://twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1264294981679960064

Oh crap, I got a lice joke I gotta get off, brb

[Trim]

https://themercury.com/news/how-contact-tracing-works/article_9a76975c-75c0-5563-965a-2212fe4c5243.html

[michigancat]

https://themercury.com/news/how-contact-tracing-works/article_9a76975c-75c0-5563-965a-2212fe4c5243.html

encouraging! I don't think people will be mean like woogy suggested.

[Phil Titola]

Time to jump on the positivity train with Phil this morning.

It all started at the KU Med morning media briefing, they were talking sports and towards the end the head dude was like "we can't do a lot of sports normal until a vaccine, advanced theratputics or this thing burns itself out, that would be great"

I'd had that thought of "burn out" in the back of my mind when you reflect back on SARS/MERS etc. that we never got a vaccine for those and they went away.  So went on some confirmation googling to see if anybody else is hinting at this and found this former WHO director:
https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1265232235705270272

https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1261578426093383682

https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1265566511118331907

but maybe his just a sunshine pumper?

[DQ12]

Yeah I've never really heard the rationale behind "there will be a second wave," not that I've looked very hard for it. 

[Dugout DickStone]

More like professor Karol SiHugeStudwhokillsitatthepoolwithallthechicks

[michigancat]

It's easy to get lost in charts and trump bullshit, but this is definitely worth watching to get a sense of what it's like when things go bad

https://twitter.com/DrTomFrieden/status/1265386981221113858

[treysolid]

https://twitter.com/FlyICT/status/1265417583702016006

Ah yes, Allegiant - the coronavirus of airlines

[treysolid]

Yeah I've never really heard the rationale behind "there will be a second wave," not that I've looked very hard for it.

Because that's what happened with the Spanish Flu in 1918.

[Phil Titola]

Yeah I've never really heard the rationale behind "there will be a second wave," not that I've looked very hard for it.

Because that's what happened with the Spanish Flu in 1918.

while this is one example we have other examples of pandemics not rebounding.  Obviously none of us know what path this COVID19 will follow but is there any indication as to why it would follow the Spanish Flu vs. other pandemics?

[treysolid]

Yeah I've never really heard the rationale behind "there will be a second wave," not that I've looked very hard for it.

Because that's what happened with the Spanish Flu in 1918.

while this is one example we have other examples of pandemics not rebounding.  Obviously none of us know what path this COVID19 will follow but is there any indication as to why it would follow the Spanish Flu vs. other pandemics?

it's tough to say. some of it has nothing to do with the virus itself but with how our behavior changes during winter months:

http://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2014/the-reason-for-the-season-why-flu-strikes-in-winter/

to avoid a second wave, the best thing we can do is proactively stamp it out as much as possible before october

[DQ12]

Yeah I've never really heard the rationale behind "there will be a second wave," not that I've looked very hard for it.

Because that's what happened with the Spanish Flu in 1918.

Right.  But that was 100 years ago, and I like to think there now exist variables that impact that single case study (which involved a bad mutation and trench warfare).

If "the second wave" is just the same way of saying "seasonality" (which you imply by linking the harvard study on flu seasonality) then I can understand that.

[catastrophe]

Air conditioning and air filtration seems to be good at limiting spread right? That would give us an edge over the 1918 suckers.

[Phil Titola]

Air conditioning and air filtration seems to be good at limiting spread right? That would give us an edge over the 1918 suckers.

Cue the one China restaurant overused story link that featured A/C spread

[Phil Titola]

Time to jump on the positivity train with Phil this morning.

It all started at the KU Med morning media briefing, they were talking sports and towards the end the head dude was like "we can't do a lot of sports normal until a vaccine, advanced theratputics or this thing burns itself out, that would be great"

I'd had that thought of "burn out" in the back of my mind when you reflect back on SARS/MERS etc. that we never got a vaccine for those and they went away.  So went on some confirmation googling to see if anybody else is hinting at this and found this former WHO director:
https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1265232235705270272

https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1261578426093383682

https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1265566511118331907

but maybe his just a sunshine pumper?

Fauci listened to me, he's on board.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/27/dr-anthony-fauci-says-a-second-wave-of-coronavirus-is-not-inevitable.html

Wear masks now, let's kick this thing's ass!

[Dugout DickStone]

I hope Karol is an actual predictor and not a Q level predictor

[Phil Titola]

This doesn't seem very smart of Johnson County Kansas
https://www.kansascity.com/news/coronavirus/article243020376.html#storylink=mainstage_lead

[8manpick]

Yeah I've never really heard the rationale behind "there will be a second wave," not that I've looked very hard for it.

Because that's what happened with the Spanish Flu in 1918.

Right.  But that was 100 years ago, and I like to think there now exist variables that impact that single case study (which involved a bad mutation and trench warfare).

If "the second wave" is just the same way of saying "seasonality" (which you imply by linking the harvard study on flu seasonality) then I can understand that.

My rationale for it is basically that we get wave 1 under control-ish but not gone with an abundance of caution and social distancing (i.e. - now in many places), while a fairly low percentage of the population has been exposed to it.  Then as normal life begins to resume there is still a majority of people who haven't been exposed previously so we see it climb again for wave 2.  This doesn't take any seasonality into account.

[michigancat]

I don't think we'll see another New York/NJ. I saw the analogy of a frog boiling which is what I expect is more likely unless we throw the doors open to indoor crowds or something.

Like what is happening in California and North Carolina



(Again I think this is showing that shelter in place alone won't stamp it out in any way shape or form)

[Phil Titola]

I don't think we'll see another New York/NJ. I saw the analogy of a frog boiling which is what I expect is more likely unless we throw the doors open to indoor crowds or something.

Like what is happening in California and North Carolina



(Again I think this is showing that shelter in place alone won't stamp it out in any way shape or form)

Joco just threw open the doors.

[Trim]

the analogy of a frog boiling

I don't know if it means I'm unsophisticated or that I'm not hick enough that a frog boiling doesn't serve as a helpful analogy to me.

[michigancat]

the analogy of a frog boiling

I don't know if it means I'm unsophisticated or that I'm not hick enough that a frog boiling doesn't serve as a helpful analogy to me.

the story/myth is that if you put a frog in a pot of cold water on a stove and gradually heat it up it won't jump realize it's hot and jump out of the pot.

https://www.conservationmagazine.org/2011/03/frog-fable-brought-to-boil/

Joco just threw open the doors.

did they really though? are bars and restaurants really going to be full capacity tonight?

[Phil Titola]

Joco just threw open the doors.

did they really though? are bars and restaurants really going to be full capacity tonight?

I sure hope not but you know there are businesses that will.  (Some) Churches for sure will and we all know how that goes.

[Rage Against the McKee]

No county in Kansas is going to enforce anything. Individual businesses may enforce social distancing, but I really doubt most restaurants are going to impose long waits when half of their tables are open.