I think we are a firm 5 seed right now. Currently #17 in RPI, #6 in RPI SOS, Won 7 of 8 and 5 in a row, two huge quality wins, no bad losses. Kenpom still has us at 32 which is a bit low. Also, the committee seems to weigh the end of the season a bit more heavily than the whole body of work. They won't completely look the other way but I think the recent play will erase some of the early season negatives.
The Cats have a Golden opportunity to play their way into a 4 or even a 3 seed. It would take beating KU again for a 4, and probably winning the Phillips66 for the 3 (UT or no UT)