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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: September 17, 2019, 10:04:32 PM »
i can't believe i agree with the bernie bros on this one.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: September 16, 2019, 11:43:50 PM »
biden used to be able to speak in a compelling way (ignore the content).
It’s a true story, but his communication skills are nothing like they were. https://t.co/JCWyPj5jBj
— JustSomeGuy (@erlichmanr) September 16, 2019
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: MAGA
« on: September 14, 2019, 10:19:11 PM »
construction dudes vape like motherfuckers, probably/maybe mostly because cigarettes are usually prohibited or restricted at job sites.
i dunno what the % of them are magas, but a lot of the white ones seem to trend that way.
i dunno what the % of them are magas, but a lot of the white ones seem to trend that way.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: MAGA
« on: September 14, 2019, 09:33:08 PM »Lol. Vaping is super MAGA.
i never thought about this, but yeah, i can see him losing a few votes over vaping.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: MAGA
« on: September 14, 2019, 09:17:58 PM »Magas think it's the best thing in the world to call him robert francis and it makes me smile every time
they take such delight in it that i can't tell if he was just using it from habit or if he was making an allusion to rfk's assassination.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: September 13, 2019, 10:01:27 PM »
he won't able to drive if we put him in the white house. it's a public safety issue, really.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: September 13, 2019, 02:14:46 AM »that could just be because sys is retweeting every pro Beto tweet ever tweeted.
oh, there were lots more.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: pos 'pubs being complete pieces of crap
« on: September 12, 2019, 06:14:08 PM »News - Peter Thiel and Ann Coulter to host fundraiser for Kansas Senate candidate Kris Kobach in NYC next weekhttps://t.co/Wt3pdqNrnY
— Alex Isenstadt (@politicoalex) September 12, 2019
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: we are an immoral nation and i'm too comfortable and apathetic to do anything ab
« on: September 11, 2019, 12:00:12 AM »That being said, from what I've heard and read from climatologists, climate change contributing to more frequent and violent storms seem to be accepted science in their field.
not sure about more frequent, but more violent is pretty robustly supported. there is also both theoretical and empirical reason to believe that climate change impacts the likelihood that tropical storms stall out as happened over the bahamas.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: pos 'pubs being complete pieces of crap
« on: September 10, 2019, 11:54:09 PM »Senator Ben Sasse has done a wonderful job representing the people of Nebraska. He is great with our Vets, the Military, and your very important Second Amendment. Strong on Crime and the Border, Ben has my Complete and Total Endorsement!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 11, 2019
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: September 09, 2019, 10:44:29 PM »
if i were kat kid (or michigancat), i'd be pretty irate about how those cbs first four state polls that were really good for sanders got written up with a pro-warren headline.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: September 01, 2019, 05:26:55 PM »
remember you have to sign your name on the ballot in california, michigancat, so i recommend you don't lie about who you support when you vote. i'm not a lawyer, but i'm pretty sure that'd be perjury.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: goEMAW dem candidate poll, a poll for moderate voters
« on: September 01, 2019, 03:38:42 AM »
big gains for warren, beto and delaney. big dip in support for buttigieg. like in the world outside goEMAW, support for biden and sanders remained static.
warren - 26%
beto - 19%
sanders - 13%
buttigieg - 10%
delaney - 10%
biden - 6%
harris - 3%
yang - 3%
castro - 3%
gabbard - 3%
bennet -3%
1. 35.3% buttigieg
2. 14.7% warren
3. 10.2% beto
sanders
5. 8.8% biden
6. 5.9% abrams
klobuchar
8. 2.9% booker
other (either yang or delaney)
10. 0.0% harris
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: September 01, 2019, 03:31:52 AM »
warren - 26%
beto - 19%
sanders - 13%
buttigieg - 10%
delaney - 10%
biden - 6%
harris - 3%
yang - 3%
castro - 3%
gabbard - 3%
bennet -3%
two votes for warren were discarded because the voters were not registered democrats, a third was reassigned to sanders because no one believes michigancat isn't a berniebro. three voters did not specify the candidate to receive their votes for "other", all three votes were assigned to delaney as the most likely intended candidate.
beto - 19%
sanders - 13%
buttigieg - 10%
delaney - 10%
biden - 6%
harris - 3%
yang - 3%
castro - 3%
gabbard - 3%
bennet -3%
two votes for warren were discarded because the voters were not registered democrats, a third was reassigned to sanders because no one believes michigancat isn't a berniebro. three voters did not specify the candidate to receive their votes for "other", all three votes were assigned to delaney as the most likely intended candidate.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 30, 2019, 10:56:51 PM »
yeah, and i'm not suggesting he should vote for sanders.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 30, 2019, 06:16:07 PM »I should say I probably spoke a bit strong throwing Warren out with the rest of the democrats.
don't let them browbeat you. warren is complete trash. you're better off voting for sanders (and i hate him).
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 29, 2019, 08:59:33 PM »
if she were smart, she wouldn't advocate so many stupid policies.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: August 29, 2019, 06:18:37 PM »I get why he went down the path, but it's time for beto to quit telling us how much trump sucks and start telling us why he's better than other democrat candidates to do something about it.
my dude went to the iowa afl-cio event and didn't even mention his brand new labor policy. was just like, hey union dudes, we're gonna talk about how this country is rough ridin' over mexicans. hope you like that crap.
“O'Rourke is like the kid who asks for extra homework.”
— Melissa Gomez (@MelissaGomez004) August 29, 2019
Read this profile by @markzbarabak about Beto O’Rourke and his unconventional path to the presidencyhttps://t.co/wuKfgufg2O
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 29, 2019, 06:09:52 PM »
it doesn't matter for the poll, but it certainly speaks well of your character and taste.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: August 29, 2019, 06:07:17 PM »Someone tells me which dem is toughest on immigration so I know who to vote for in 8 months.
you're looking for trump.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 29, 2019, 04:31:02 PM »sys, I screwed up your poll again. I voted Warren based on my comment and should have abstained.
i'll adjust totals for voter fraud and any other issues after voting closes.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: MAGA
« on: August 28, 2019, 10:51:50 PM »periodically i check in with jon mcnaughton to scope out the paintings he's done that don't go viral and guys he did a fucking goya/antifa mashup. the man is a master https://t.co/aqmtXBXHrx pic.twitter.com/xcMRan01vV
— the norms misser (@cd_hooks) August 29, 2019
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 28, 2019, 09:43:02 PM »
if you believe you will vote for a candidate different than the candidate you prefer, you should answer with name of the candidate you will vote for.
however, i would caution you that this is not an exercise in predicting the future. i am not asking you to divine the candidates that will be still actively campaigning by the time your state votes.
you may resolve any tension inherent to the clarifying statements above as you best see fit.
however, i would caution you that this is not an exercise in predicting the future. i am not asking you to divine the candidates that will be still actively campaigning by the time your state votes.
you may resolve any tension inherent to the clarifying statements above as you best see fit.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / end of august dem primary poll
« on: August 28, 2019, 08:32:25 PM »
don't look back at the previous polling results before voting, if you vote other, specify who in the comments, if you either can't or won't vote in the upcoming dem primary, don't participate in this poll.
as always, i reserve the right to change any incorrect, fraudulent or ambiguous votes to the correct candidate.
as always, i reserve the right to change any incorrect, fraudulent or ambiguous votes to the correct candidate.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 presidential candidate 'crats
« on: August 28, 2019, 08:00:27 PM »Currently my don’t burn it down list is Beto with about a zero percent chance of winning above the line and everyone else below.
kerry was in low single digits right up until he won the nomination.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-dean-pulls-away-in-dem-race/
clinton was also in single digits late.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=12&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwisvPuK76bkAhU5CTQIHSCyD4oQFjALegQIAxAB&url=https%3A%2F%2Ffivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com%2F2011%2F04%2F04%2Fa-brief-history-of-primary-polling-part-ii%2F&usg=AOvVaw1oy6-0wyPxyHnhdCq411Kd
obviously, candidates would prefer to be polling higher than lower right now, and also obviously, most of those polling lower will lose without ever touching better numbers. but it is not the case that history suggests the current stasis will prevail. if biden's support ever falls, those numbers will go somewhere else. harris, beto, booker and klobuchar all have reasons to think they might be the landing place.
and steve dave, as i've urged you before - you need not be a passive observer in this process. send beto a little money, he needs it. put a beto magnet on your car, you live next door to iowa.