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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: LOL TRUMP
« on: Today at 06:04:18 PM »I did not vote for him yesterday.
who did you vote for, spracne? president, senate, congressperson, railroad commissioner and state house please.
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who did you vote for, spracne? president, senate, congressperson, railroad commissioner and state house please.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: Today at 05:52:21 PM »Eastman was my other Dem besides Biden
interesting. should be a tight race.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: Today at 05:41:25 PM »I voted for 2 dems, the rest pubs, no to retaining any judges, and for the legalized gambling stuff (3 things)
did you vote for bacon or eastman?
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 21, 2020, 11:49:13 PM »aren't states generally more conservative with presidential elections?
not that i'm aware of.
with respect to 2020 senate vs presidential races in competitive states, there seem to be a fair share of both senate candidates that run ahead of the presidential and the reverse. for a while trump was running ahead of most 'pub senate candidates, but that has recently flipped. and for a while most dem senate candidates were running ahead of biden, but i think that is reversing too (because of undecideds, the relationships aren't just mirror images).
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: COVID Classes (back-to-school related)
« on: October 21, 2020, 09:56:23 PM »
this disease has really thrown a spotlight on how much parents hate spending time with their children.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Is it really racism...
« on: October 21, 2020, 09:53:15 PM »
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Is it really racism...
« on: October 21, 2020, 09:16:13 PM »Why did you post this in this thread?
so that others could experience some pale shadow of the feeling of serendipity that i experienced when i came across the tweet.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Is it really racism...
« on: October 21, 2020, 09:04:14 PM »
what a strange and tiny world.
Phone bank w/Beto - Monday
— BetoMedia (@BetoMedia) October 21, 2020
October 26th w/Christian Cooper pic.twitter.com/o04qL39Fvd
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: The trump does something good thread
« on: October 21, 2020, 08:52:52 PM »Somehow the wall is not a thing? Was a pretty big deal in 2016, now like 10 miles was built and we paid for it. So, draw?
nope, he's built almost 400 miles of wall, with construction ongoing through national parks, tribal lands and pristine wilderness. no possible way to call that a good thing.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: new election poll
« on: October 21, 2020, 08:20:55 PM »
there's a lot of discussion in the media and on twitter about dem voters being panicked about losing again, despite biden's huge lead. little evidence of that here. trump voters do seem to be maintaining some hope against all evidence, although our trump sample is small.
honestly, happy/surprised we were able to find six trump votes.
honestly, happy/surprised we were able to find six trump votes.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 21, 2020, 07:09:58 PM »Definitely seen some ads, but I suspect most people like myself were going to vote against Cornyn regardless of his opponent if they were going to vote him down at all.
her one and only job as a candidate is basically to try and reduce the number of voters that vote biden/cornyn from a maximum of maybe 5% down to as close to 0% as she can get it.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: new election poll
« on: October 21, 2020, 06:15:47 AM »This is exactly my motivation. Pure repudiation. also i want to contribute to the margin of victory in the hopes of avoiding a controversial outcome
are you still considered a resident of a state?
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« on: October 21, 2020, 12:46:58 AM »
rough ridin' mammalian immune systems, man. i swear to god reptiles figured this crap out 300 million years ago.
Severe #COVID19 resulting from Original Antigenic Sin??
— Michael Mina (@michaelmina_lab) October 21, 2020
May be a contributor. Makes sense
Superb paper evaluating cross-reactivity between donor B cells targeting SARS-CoV-2 and other seasonal Coronas.
This figure (2) is really depicts it well...
1/https://t.co/WPtGHpgm8q pic.twitter.com/F7bFxpFvDn
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: new election poll
« on: October 21, 2020, 12:22:22 AM »That's a poor analogy. If you want to stick with RP, it'd be that he as theoretically near the end of year 4 with the 4th year having gone ridiculously worse than the first shitty 3 to where KSU was at risk of somehow not even having football going forward if he kept at it, and the options were keep him or hire whoever was the most basic, old, safe out-of-work coach at the time.
And of course the choice would be to hire Coach Basic and at least end the crap show and reset normalcy for a more winning selection after a few years.
iirc, kstate did decide to rehire coach basic and it worked out ok.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: new election poll
« on: October 21, 2020, 12:21:02 AM »
i agree with ipa and tdaver that voting in a non-competitive state is entirely expressive, and one need not weigh any of the considerations with which voters in competitive states are burdened or privileged.
in several previous elections i've voted for presidential candidates i did not actually wish to win, because i thought it best allowed me to express the direction i would prefer politics to shift. i did that in 2016, and don't regret it.
in 2020, i voted for biden because the most important message i most wished to express is complete rejection of trump, trumpism, the lawless corruption, cruelty and incompetence that have characterized his presidency and the falsity of the incoherent and ignorant idea that both candidates and current iterations of both parties are in any way moral equivalents.
in several previous elections i've voted for presidential candidates i did not actually wish to win, because i thought it best allowed me to express the direction i would prefer politics to shift. i did that in 2016, and don't regret it.
in 2020, i voted for biden because the most important message i most wished to express is complete rejection of trump, trumpism, the lawless corruption, cruelty and incompetence that have characterized his presidency and the falsity of the incoherent and ignorant idea that both candidates and current iterations of both parties are in any way moral equivalents.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« on: October 20, 2020, 10:36:13 PM »
goddamn, i've been saying 11 m, and was worried i was pushing it.
.@longhornderek on Texas turnout: “We will likely surpass 12 million people voting in this election” — that would be 3M more than 2016 https://t.co/N96XN7zENd
— Evan Smith (@evanasmith) October 20, 2020
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« on: October 20, 2020, 09:40:25 PM »NEW: Biden reports nearly triple the campaign committee cash as Trump on 9/30.
— Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) October 21, 2020
Biden: $177 million
Trump: $63 million (minus $1.36m in debts)
Total announced with party cmtes:
Biden: $432 million
Trump: $251 million
Updating here w/ @rachel_shorey https://t.co/WPZPDwPgWS
oh, and i forgot about this. trump has had to plow a ton of money back into fundraising to keep the spigot on.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-20/trump-fundraisers-spun-wheels-spending-77-cents-to-bring-in-1
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 20, 2020, 09:23:31 PM »I never donated to Heger because I never thought she had a chance of winning, I still don’t but it will be closer than I thought.
my expectation since forever has been that she'll run a couple of points behind biden.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 20, 2020, 09:18:37 PM »
yeah, a lot of people think that.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 20, 2020, 09:04:30 PM »
I will say I have never seen Cornyn ads ever until this election. But every other commercial is for Heger.
that's interesting because hegar hasn't raised all that much money herself. she raised like 14 million last quarter, which would normally be fine, but compared to like harrison raising 50 million or whatever it was, it's pretty bad.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 20, 2020, 09:01:37 PM »23
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« on: October 20, 2020, 09:00:47 PM »
not broke, but definitely more limited than the biden campaign. important that most of the money isn't the campaign's own because the campaign gets cheaper ad rates than the affiliated groups do.
NEWS: Trump's campaign committee expected to report only **~$63 million** entering Oct.
— Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) October 20, 2020
That's about half of what it had entering Sept.
RNC $78.1m
Trump Victory $90.3m
T-MAGA $20.1m.
Total between 4 entities previously announced as $251.4 million.https://t.co/f6kESRNtmh
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 20, 2020, 08:49:18 PM »I don't know?
please pay attention to the credits the next time you see them.
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The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« on: October 20, 2020, 08:48:27 PM »
interesting that this is completely focused on health care and covid. trump won this district by 9 in '16, cruz won it by 1 in '18.
In #TX02, latest @SimaforTX TV ad against @DanCrenshawTX repeatedly links him to Trump: pic.twitter.com/Cej7tj74CE
— Patrick Svitek (@PatrickSvitek) October 20, 2020