I guess this will be Posse stat of the night...
When our starter has an "In-game ERA" or 3.75 or lower, we are 44-9.
So he can give up 2 runs and go just 5.0, but if he gives up 3 runs, he has to go 7.1 Innings
13-29 record when our starter doesn't do this.
We have had 95 starts. 3 of them left via injury so I dismiss those 3 starts (Ventura, Volqy, Vargas 1 each)
74% of the Volqy starts, he has had that "3.75 or lower"
53% for everyone else. So really that's every other game.
None of the other starters are above 60.0%
BTW, when our starter allows a 2.25 or under "In-game" we are 25-5.
So about the same when between 2.25-3.75 (19-4 record)
3.75 seems like the right number, very similar to us scoring 4 runs
For me, even more proof, lack of consistency outside of Volqy