Author Topic: 2024 Presidential Race  (Read 57969 times)

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #650 on: July 16, 2024, 02:05:20 PM »
we should incentivize children and families more than we do IMO.  or at least try to ease the financial blow.

100% agree, but what would actually work is making insurance far less expensive, making child care far less expensive, and making the wages of the working class and middle class go up substantially in a way that it resembles the 50's and 60's as far as relation to cost of living.

we have a ton of evidence that all of that is backwards.  what works is driving down wages, not educating people and not providing many govt services.  that and being very religious.

I get where you are coming from and it’s obvious that this is the route the powers that be are choosing: take away birth control, drive religion up, and keep people from as much info as possible makes a lot of babies. My note is based on the assumption that “we the dumbass people” don’t actually want to go backwards.  I also get that there is tons of data that shows that a lot of ppl do want to go backwards.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #651 on: July 16, 2024, 02:17:06 PM »
we should incentivize children and families more than we do IMO.  or at least try to ease the financial blow.

100% agree, but what would actually work is making insurance far less expensive, making child care far less expensive, and making the wages of the working class and middle class go up substantially in a way that it resembles the 50's and 60's as far as relation to cost of living.

we have a ton of evidence that all of that is backwards.  what works is driving down wages, not educating people and not providing many govt services.  that and being very religious.

This is the republican party platform so at least they are consistent
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #652 on: July 16, 2024, 02:28:07 PM »
we should incentivize children and families more than we do IMO.  or at least try to ease the financial blow.

100% agree, but what would actually work is making insurance far less expensive, making child care far less expensive, and making the wages of the working class and middle class go up substantially in a way that it resembles the 50's and 60's as far as relation to cost of living.

we have a ton of evidence that all of that is backwards.  what works is driving down wages, not educating people and not providing many govt services.  that and being very religious.

I get where you are coming from and it’s obvious that this is the route the powers that be are choosing: take away birth control, drive religion up, and keep people from as much info as possible makes a lot of babies. My note is based on the assumption that “we the dumbass people” don’t actually want to go backwards.  I also get that there is tons of data that shows that a lot of ppl do want to go backwards.

Yeah, most people in all highly developed countries aren't not having babies, it's probably for the better on a resource strained world. There should always be people, but this idea of infinite growth isn't sustainable, even if you don't believe in sustainability.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #653 on: July 16, 2024, 02:34:49 PM »
we should incentivize children and families more than we do IMO.  or at least try to ease the financial blow.

100% agree, but what would actually work is making insurance far less expensive, making child care far less expensive, and making the wages of the working class and middle class go up substantially in a way that it resembles the 50's and 60's as far as relation to cost of living.

we have a ton of evidence that all of that is backwards.  what works is driving down wages, not educating people and not providing many govt services.  that and being very religious.

I get where you are coming from and it’s obvious that this is the route the powers that be are choosing: take away birth control, drive religion up, and keep people from as much info as possible makes a lot of babies. My note is based on the assumption that “we the dumbass people” don’t actually want to go backwards.  I also get that there is tons of data that shows that a lot of ppl do want to go backwards.

Yeah, most people in all highly developed countries aren't not having babies, it's probably for the better on a resource strained world. There should always be people, but this idea of infinite growth isn't sustainable, even if you don't believe in sustainability.

The choice of the poor, religious, and otherwise ignorant masses having packs of half feral kids in order to grow the population or letting them become educated with access to the trappings of our current society and then having a massive population drop due to them choosing to not have kids is a false choice.  If you implemented the stuff I mentioned, many folks who are choosing to not have kids would probably have kids.  Not 6 kids, but a couple.  Isn't that what we want?  Sustained population?

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #654 on: July 16, 2024, 02:41:59 PM »
Does birthrate really matter when the entire world wants to immigrate to your country?
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #655 on: July 16, 2024, 02:43:57 PM »
That probably depends greatly on who you are asking. 

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #656 on: July 16, 2024, 03:35:23 PM »
I get where you are coming from and it’s obvious that this is the route the powers that be are choosing: take away birth control, drive religion up, and keep people from as much info as possible makes a lot of babies. My note is based on the assumption that “we the dumbass people” don’t actually want to go backwards.  I also get that there is tons of data that shows that a lot of ppl do want to go backwards.

i don't think the powers that be, whatever the eff that means, are optimizing policy for increased birthrates.

i actually do think that subsidizing parents would result in increased birthrates, but the subsidies would need to far larger than anything that is politically feasible.  hundreds of thousands of dollars.


it's also worth noting that the recent downturn in births (at least in the u.s.) is mostly attributable to a decline in young unmarried women having children, and i don't think there is any societal demand to reverse that trend.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #657 on: July 16, 2024, 03:45:56 PM »
it's also worth noting that the recent downturn in births (at least in the u.s.) is mostly attributable to a decline in young unmarried women having children, and i don't think there is any societal demand to reverse that trend.

There's definitely a lot of push from Republicans to make abortion illegal. But I'd expect teenagers are just having sex less frequently so the abortion bans probably wouldn't have much effect

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #658 on: July 16, 2024, 03:50:48 PM »
Higher use of birth control?

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #659 on: July 16, 2024, 03:58:48 PM »
There is obviously a difference between policy that makes it through to law and what politicians say, but it is undeniable that politicians are calling for more births, less birth control(abortion at very least), and are pursuing less sex ed than the past few decades.

As for the downturn in young unmarried women having children, that is definitely true and most people attribute that to an increase in education for women and the availability of birth control and sex ed.  Which leads me back to my comment about the powers that be and what policy they prefer, or at least are saying they prefer.  The SC ruling on abortion, the red state abortion laws, and several red states limiting or eliminating sex ed in schools all show that as a goal of politicians, not to mention many politicians clearly and simply stating that we need increased birthrates on camera.  If they aren't optimizing specifically for birthrates, they are doing so for religion, which is adjacent, at worst, to optimizing for birthrates. 

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #660 on: July 16, 2024, 04:00:34 PM »
it's also worth noting that the recent downturn in births (at least in the u.s.) is mostly attributable to a decline in young unmarried women having children, and i don't think there is any societal demand to reverse that trend.

There's definitely a lot of push from Republicans to make abortion illegal. But I'd expect teenagers are just having sex less frequently so the abortion bans probably wouldn't have much effect

For the Gen Z'ers and Gen Alpha kids this is probably right.  However, It looks like the majority of the drop in birthrates took place between 1961 and 1971'is.  https://www.prb.org/resources/the-decline-in-u-s-fertility/#:~:text=The%20U.S.%20total%20fertility%20rate%20%28TFR%29%20stood%20at,Italy%2C%20Spain%2C%20Sweden%2C%20and%20several%20other%20European%20countries.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #661 on: July 16, 2024, 04:02:40 PM »
What is the logic behind using “childless” as a derogatory adjective for women?

Why the eff would someone who wants to be a  leader of a nation founded on the principle of freedom do that? What goes through your mind when you say that?

Designed to make women settle for a guy early and have sex with incels or run the risk of earning this label.  The more you can pressure women into giving into incel advances the better chance incels may get some semblance of a sex life.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #662 on: July 16, 2024, 04:23:06 PM »
There is obviously a difference between policy that makes it through to law and what politicians say, but it is undeniable that politicians are calling for more births, less birth control(abortion at very least), and are pursuing less sex ed than the past few decades.

As for the downturn in young unmarried women having children, that is definitely true and most people attribute that to an increase in education for women and the availability of birth control and sex ed.  Which leads me back to my comment about the powers that be and what policy they prefer, or at least are saying they prefer.  The SC ruling on abortion, the red state abortion laws, and several red states limiting or eliminating sex ed in schools all show that as a goal of politicians, not to mention many politicians clearly and simply stating that we need increased birthrates on camera.  If they aren't optimizing specifically for birthrates, they are doing so for religion, which is adjacent, at worst, to optimizing for birthrates.

1.  i'm not aware of any american politicians that have called for higher birthrates.  there probably are a couple, but it's not a salient feature of any party or subparty's politics.

2.  i think you're imputing an interest in birthrate when an interest in morality is both more straightforward and more concordant with what the people involved themselves say.

3.  when you say the "powers that be" but then list policies that are supported by a minority of people and politicians nationwide, that doesn't make much sense to me.  at the very least, if your framework were correct, you'd expect to see birthrates fluctuate back and forth when dems or republicans controlled national policy and to vary geographically based on the party in power.  we do not see that.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #663 on: July 16, 2024, 04:54:09 PM »
All weapons, including water guns, canned food, and tennis balls are banned in the area around where the RNC is being held. Except real guns. You can bring a real gun there.

https://www.fox6now.com/news/rnc-milwaukee-rough-security-restrictions

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #664 on: July 16, 2024, 07:13:16 PM »
I just think it’s sad that people are bypassing a fundamental element of what it means to be human because childcare is so damn expensive.

If you don’t want kids, that’s fine, but if you would have kids but for the extra mortgage payment that is childcare (for instance) I think that’s pretty sad and is a problem I think is worth fixing.  Plus I think it’s good for the country if those on-the-fencers have kids.


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2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #665 on: July 16, 2024, 07:21:41 PM »
I just think it’s sad that people are bypassing a fundamental element of what it means to be human because childcare is so damn expensive.

If you don’t want kids, that’s fine, but if you would have kids but for the extra mortgage payment that is childcare (for instance) I think that’s pretty sad and is a problem I think is worth fixing.  Plus I think it’s good for the country if those on-the-fencers have kids.
Agree. Definitely something for the reasonable people agree with each other thread.

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2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #666 on: July 16, 2024, 07:27:31 PM »
My wife stayed home with the kids and it was wonderful for her and the kids, and I was lucky to have been able to barely afford it. However, our retirement fund is easily about half of what it would have been….15+ years we could have been maxing out a second 401K. 

Defined benefit retirement plans need to come back. Let’s incentivize that.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #667 on: July 16, 2024, 07:30:29 PM »
My folks have passed on, but they didn’t have much retirement saved and it was stressful watching them agonize over it.  So much so that I nearly didn’t have kids because I didn’t want to go through that and put my kids in the situation of worrying about their parents.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #668 on: July 16, 2024, 08:05:51 PM »
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #669 on: July 16, 2024, 08:13:03 PM »
Fun fact: more than 3.5 billion of the world’s 8.2 billion people live in China, India or SE Asian country not listed.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #670 on: July 16, 2024, 08:19:53 PM »
Does birthrate really matter when the entire world wants to immigrate to your country?
Exactly. Republicans talk about these as two huge problems when you could just use one to solve the other.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #671 on: July 16, 2024, 08:21:16 PM »
14 little words are a very powerful force in modern American conservatism.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #672 on: July 16, 2024, 08:29:24 PM »
Sorry is this doesn’t embed. Using phone and never figured it out.

“Why the World Population Will Stabalize at ~11 Billion

https://youtu.be/2LyzBoHo5EI?si=9R-oHjBIhr8ne4an


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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #673 on: July 16, 2024, 11:19:56 PM »
I enjoyed that

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Re: 2024 Presidential Race
« Reply #674 on: July 17, 2024, 12:20:31 AM »
I just think it’s sad that people are bypassing a fundamental element of what it means to be human because childcare is so damn expensive.

If you don’t want kids, that’s fine, but if you would have kids but for the extra mortgage payment that is childcare (for instance) I think that’s pretty sad and is a problem I think is worth fixing.  Plus I think it’s good for the country if those on-the-fencers have kids.
Americans have plenty of fuckin’ kids bruh. I’ve got shitloads of them as an example.


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