Poll

how many u.s. coronavirus deaths will there be by 4/1/2021?

under 520k
0 (0%)
520-540k
1 (9.1%)
540-560k
6 (54.5%)
560-580k
2 (18.2%)
over 580k
2 (18.2%)

Total Members Voted: 11

Voting closed: January 20, 2021, 01:42:57 PM

Author Topic: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll  (Read 2152 times)

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Offline sys

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death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« on: January 17, 2021, 01:42:57 PM »
count from worldometers, ends at midnight 3/31.


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« Last Edit: January 17, 2021, 07:21:32 PM by sys »
"lol, i understand military logistics quite well, thanks."

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2021, 05:34:32 PM »
is no one voting or is there a problem with the poll functionality?
"lol, i understand military logistics quite well, thanks."

Online wetwillie

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2021, 05:38:07 PM »
It’s too depressing now sys please stop.
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Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2021, 05:46:26 PM »
It’s too depressing now sys please stop.

you can choose under 520k.
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Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #4 on: January 17, 2021, 05:47:40 PM »
It’s too depressing now sys please stop.
I said that after like the 3rd one but sys gonna sys
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Offline nicname

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #5 on: January 17, 2021, 06:23:09 PM »
Kind of random, but thread adjacent thought; In 1918 the flu took out 675,000 Americans, the majority of which were young and able-bodied or children. That's .654% of the population dead.

For covid death numbers to be as bad proportionately more than 2.16 million would have to perish.

If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.


Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #6 on: January 17, 2021, 07:20:26 PM »
eff!  i screwed this one up.  numbers posted should have been through the end of march.


fortunately, not many have voted yet.  anyone that has voted can change their vote in the comments due to this management error.
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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #7 on: January 17, 2021, 08:40:02 PM »
This is ghoulish and I've never done it, the only reason I'm commenting now is because this seems slightly hypocritical after you got after 'stone for him telling jokes about the hillbilly insurrection.

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #8 on: January 17, 2021, 09:22:03 PM »
End of March? Should hit 580k with no problem. A couple of mitigating factors could be roll out of the chips and the fact that the virus has already burned its path through a lot of nursing homes (all of the nursing homes in the Smallville area have been heavily hit).

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #9 on: January 17, 2021, 09:32:10 PM »
End of March? Should hit 580k with no problem. A couple of mitigating factors could be roll out of the chips and the fact that the virus has already burned its path through a lot of nursing homes (all of the nursing homes in the Smallville area have been heavily hit).

that's what makes it interesting.  i think there should be a very pronounced reduction in the death rate by the end of march.
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #10 on: January 17, 2021, 09:37:32 PM »
Kind of random, but thread adjacent thought; In 1918 the flu took out 675,000 Americans, the majority of which were young and able-bodied or children. That's .654% of the population dead.

For covid death numbers to be as bad proportionately more than 2.16 million would have to perish.
It would be really interesting to see a comparison of the number of years of life lost for both pandemics (population adjusted).

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #11 on: January 19, 2021, 09:47:06 PM »
just tonight and tomorrow morning left to vote.
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Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2021, 09:47:54 PM »
I’m abstaining.
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

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Offline 8manpick

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2021, 08:47:02 AM »
People are surprisingly optimistic!
:adios:

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #14 on: January 20, 2021, 08:16:05 PM »
People are surprisingly optimistic!

a lot in the center bin, but only one vote for less.  i voted center bin, but i think lower is more likely than higher.
"lol, i understand military logistics quite well, thanks."

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #15 on: January 25, 2021, 04:28:17 PM »
431K. 12 states with over 10K deaths. New cases and deaths in Kansas seem to be trending down.

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #16 on: January 31, 2021, 10:17:42 AM »
We’ve passed 450k by the end of January

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #17 on: January 31, 2021, 10:21:46 AM »
We’ve passed 450k by the end of January

i think we're going to see a pretty dramatic reduction in daily deaths in february.  if i could adjust my vote down, i would.
"lol, i understand military logistics quite well, thanks."

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #18 on: January 31, 2021, 10:47:13 AM »
We’ve passed 450k by the end of January

i think we're going to see a pretty dramatic reduction in daily deaths in february.  if i could adjust my vote down, i would.
Hope that you are right. Between the most vulnerable getting their chips in the next few weeks and the fact that the virus has taken what it wanted to harvest from a lot of nursing homes, this could be the case.

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #19 on: February 09, 2021, 07:57:32 AM »
Kansas is over 4.1K deaths.

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #20 on: February 17, 2021, 07:55:19 AM »
500K US deaths. 15 US states with >10,000 deaths.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #21 on: February 17, 2021, 08:38:34 AM »
presumably the last big mile marker we'll hit.
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Offline cfbandyman

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #22 on: February 17, 2021, 08:47:58 AM »
IDK, the deaths (thankfully) came down a lot this week, and if that trend really holds, that's good, but it just doesn't take all that long for it to add up. I think we end up at 600k (though barely over) sometime near the end of the year.

The good thing, the combo of more vaccines and more people just straight having got it are definitely going to put the fire out pretty quick.
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #23 on: February 17, 2021, 08:50:40 AM »
I think we stop seeing deaths during the summer. Vaccinated people aren't dying.

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Re: death poll 9.0, the last (probably) death poll
« Reply #24 on: February 17, 2021, 09:14:34 AM »
I think we stop seeing deaths during the summer. Vaccinated people aren't dying.
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