Poll

when will the united states have more than 250k dead from covid 19?

on or before 10/20/2020
1 (4.5%)
10/21/2020-11/3/2020
6 (27.3%)
11/4/2020-11/20/2020
5 (22.7%)
11/20/2020-12/15/2020
6 (27.3%)
12/16/2020 or later (or never)
4 (18.2%)

Total Members Voted: 22

Voting closed: August 13, 2020, 01:35:07 AM

Author Topic: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll  (Read 3151 times)

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Offline sys

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to be determined from the worldometers.com count.  as of 8/8/2020 we are at 165K


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"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline memphis

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2020, 09:19:32 AM »
I think therapeutics should be pulled out of everything category since we are talking about preventing worse outcomes with sick patients  :don'tcare:

Was going to do the last option thinking we wouldn't reach 250k till like Feb 2021 and then probably stabilize into like 7k deaths per month like the flu (cept worse) or whatever. Schools tho.

Per worldmeters

Feb 15 : 0
Mar 15 : 73
Apr 15 : 33,293
May 15 : 91,185
June 15 : 120 768
July 15 : 140,572
Aug 8 : 165,070
« Last Edit: August 09, 2020, 09:49:16 AM by memphis »

Online michigancat

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2020, 10:58:58 AM »
My estimate was at least in the middle of a range this time

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2020, 12:42:24 AM »
the fourth category should start on 11/21, not 11/20.  sorry if anyone's decision was impacted.
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline Cire

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2020, 08:06:27 AM »
Once the school outbreaks hit people will take it more seriously

Offline Chingon

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #5 on: August 10, 2020, 08:49:57 AM »
Doubtful

Offline Cire

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2020, 11:27:44 AM »
?s=21

Who to believe???


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Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2020, 12:57:44 AM »
don't die, vote.
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline memphis

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2020, 03:58:23 PM »
Pretty even spread on this.

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #9 on: August 18, 2020, 05:20:05 PM »
cases are well down from their peak.  have to see tomorrow's numbers, but it looks like deaths will be down this week compared to last, although probably not by much.

"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #11 on: September 15, 2020, 05:55:27 PM »
over 200.
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #12 on: September 15, 2020, 05:58:11 PM »
over 200.
A complete disaster.

22 deaths reported in Kansas today

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2020, 09:41:17 AM »
Le sigh

A&M Style: 1/19/13 Co-Champion of THE ED's College Basketball Challenge

The art of the deal with it poors


Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2020, 07:46:38 PM »
10/1 update - we're at 212 and change.  it's not quite impossible that we get to 250k before the election, but it's pretty close.
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline Trim

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2020, 09:25:36 PM »
Is there something trump might do that would cause covid deaths in areas that are voting against him?

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2020, 09:50:33 PM »
Is there something trump might do that would cause covid deaths in areas that are voting against him?

i don't think so.
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2020, 07:04:08 PM »
it looks like we're probably at or very close to our late summer nadir in deaths.  based on this, i'll go ahead and guess we get to 250 right around 11/20.

"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline memphis

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2020, 07:15:18 PM »
the fourth category should start on 11/21, not 11/20.  sorry if anyone's decision was impacted.

 :surprised:

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2020, 07:45:05 PM »
man, what a eff up.
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline chum1

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2020, 09:50:43 PM »
We can get to #3


Offline bucket

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #21 on: October 10, 2020, 11:59:41 PM »
it looks like we're probably at or very close to our late summer nadir in deaths.  based on this, i'll go ahead and guess we get to 250 right around 11/20.


I'll take the under.

Offline sys

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #22 on: October 11, 2020, 11:04:54 AM »
under meaning earlier or later?
"can we really expect politicians to do the right thing if their voters are demanding them not to do it?"

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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« Last Edit: October 14, 2020, 01:44:23 PM by Sandstone Outcropping »

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll
« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2020, 10:31:00 AM »
Looks like option 3 is going to win here.

Any thoughts as to what day we will hit peak virus cases and the number of new daily cases at the peak?