Author Topic: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll (Read 3151 times)

sys · « **on:** August 09, 2020, 01:35:07 AM »

to be determined from the worldometers.com count. as of 8/8/2020 we are at 165K

memphis · « **Reply #1 on:** August 09, 2020, 09:19:32 AM »

I think therapeutics should be pulled out of everything category since we are talking about preventing worse outcomes with sick patients

Was going to do the last option thinking we wouldn't reach 250k till like Feb 2021 and then probably stabilize into like 7k deaths per month like the flu (cept worse) or whatever. Schools tho.

Per worldmeters

Feb 15 : 0
Mar 15 : 73
Apr 15 : 33,293
May 15 : 91,185
June 15 : 120 768
July 15 : 140,572
Aug 8 : 165,070

michigancat · « **Reply #2 on:** August 09, 2020, 10:58:58 AM »

My estimate was at least in the middle of a range this time

sys · « **Reply #3 on:** August 10, 2020, 12:42:24 AM »

the fourth category should start on 11/21, not 11/20. sorry if anyone's decision was impacted.

Cire · « **Reply #4 on:** August 10, 2020, 08:06:27 AM »

Once the school outbreaks hit people will take it more seriously

Chingon · « **Reply #5 on:** August 10, 2020, 08:49:57 AM »

Doubtful

Cire · « **Reply #6 on:** August 10, 2020, 11:27:44 AM »

While going over #COVID19 data in FL with @JeffreyCarlisle this morning, I was amazed at the huge discrepancy between the test positivity rate from the John's Hopkins resource and FL's own state-reported data.

The latter is constantly lower. Like 50% lower.
— Nipun Chopra, PhD (@NipunChopra7) August 9, 2020

?s=21

Who to believe???

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

sys · « **Reply #7 on:** August 12, 2020, 12:57:44 AM »

don't die, vote.

memphis · « **Reply #8 on:** August 12, 2020, 03:58:23 PM »

Pretty even spread on this.

sys · « **Reply #9 on:** August 18, 2020, 05:20:05 PM »

cases are well down from their peak. have to see tomorrow's numbers, but it looks like deaths will be down this week compared to last, although probably not by much.

Our daily update is published. States reported 643k tests, 40k cases, and 1,195 deaths. pic.twitter.com/8iWaVw8XR8
— The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) August 18, 2020

Sandstone Outcropping · « **Reply #10 on:** September 03, 2020, 08:40:05 AM »

Over 190,000 US deaths.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

sys · « **Reply #11 on:** September 15, 2020, 05:55:27 PM »

over 200.

Sandstone Outcropping · « **Reply #12 on:** September 15, 2020, 05:58:11 PM »

Quote from: sys on September 15, 2020, 05:55:27 PM

over 200.

A complete disaster.

22 deaths reported in Kansas today

cfbandyman · « **Reply #13 on:** September 16, 2020, 09:41:17 AM »

Le sigh

sys · « **Reply #14 on:** October 01, 2020, 07:46:38 PM »

10/1 update - we're at 212 and change. it's not quite impossible that we get to 250k before the election, but it's pretty close.

Trim · « **Reply #15 on:** October 01, 2020, 09:25:36 PM »

Is there something trump might do that would cause covid deaths in areas that are voting against him?

sys · « **Reply #16 on:** October 01, 2020, 09:50:33 PM »

Quote from: Trim on October 01, 2020, 09:25:36 PM

Is there something trump might do that would cause covid deaths in areas that are voting against him?

i don't think so.

sys · « **Reply #17 on:** October 10, 2020, 07:04:08 PM »

it looks like we're probably at or very close to our late summer nadir in deaths. based on this, i'll go ahead and guess we get to 250 right around 11/20.

*Today’s #Covid19 Update Thread*
(tests, cases, deaths, hospitalizations, and % testing positive as of Today, 1 week, 2 weeks, 1 month, and 2 months ago—data from @COVID19Tracking)

UNITED STATES
(Summary and region-by-region breakdown in thread below) pic.twitter.com/Ls9icIk3Zr
— Craig (@TheLawyerCraig) October 10, 2020

memphis · « **Reply #18 on:** October 10, 2020, 07:15:18 PM »

Quote from: sys on August 10, 2020, 12:42:24 AM

the fourth category should start on 11/21, not 11/20. sorry if anyone's decision was impacted.

sys · « **Reply #19 on:** October 10, 2020, 07:45:05 PM »

man, what a eff up.

chum1 · « **Reply #20 on:** October 10, 2020, 09:50:43 PM »

We can get to #3

Mass casualty events:

Influenza pandemic, 1918-20: 675,000

Civil War: 600,000

WWII: 400,000

Coronavirus, 2020: 213,000 (so far)

H2N2, 1957-58: 116,000

WWI: 115,000

H3N2, 1968: 100,000

Vietnam: 58,000

Korea: 36,000

H1N1, 2009: 12,469

Iraq: 4,500

Afghanistan: 2,300
— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) October 11, 2020

bucket · « **Reply #21 on:** October 10, 2020, 11:59:41 PM »

Quote from: sys on October 10, 2020, 07:04:08 PM

it looks like we're probably at or very close to our late summer nadir in deaths. based on this, i'll go ahead and guess we get to 250 right around 11/20.

*Today’s #Covid19 Update Thread*
(tests, cases, deaths, hospitalizations, and % testing positive as of Today, 1 week, 2 weeks, 1 month, and 2 months ago—data from @COVID19Tracking)

UNITED STATES
(Summary and region-by-region breakdown in thread below) pic.twitter.com/Ls9icIk3Zr
— Craig (@TheLawyerCraig) October 10, 2020

I'll take the under.

sys · « **Reply #22 on:** October 11, 2020, 11:04:54 AM »

under meaning earlier or later?

Sandstone Outcropping · « **Reply #23 on:** October 13, 2020, 10:42:51 AM »

Over 220K US COVID deaths.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Over 800 KS deaths:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/kansas/

Sandstone Outcropping · « **Reply #24 on:** November 02, 2020, 10:31:00 AM »

Looks like option 3 is going to win here.

Any thoughts as to what day we will hit peak virus cases and the number of new daily cases at the peak?

Poll

when will the united states have more than 250k dead from covid 19?

Author Topic: death poll 8.0: a schools, the election, vaccines and everything poll (Read 3151 times)