?s=21While going over #COVID19 data in FL with @JeffreyCarlisle this morning, I was amazed at the huge discrepancy between the test positivity rate from the John's Hopkins resource and FL's own state-reported data.
— Nipun Chopra, PhD (@NipunChopra7) August 9, 2020
The latter is constantly lower. Like 50% lower.
Our daily update is published. States reported 643k tests, 40k cases, and 1,195 deaths. pic.twitter.com/8iWaVw8XR8
— The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) August 18, 2020
over 200.A complete disaster.
Is there something trump might do that would cause covid deaths in areas that are voting against him?
*Today’s #Covid19 Update Thread*
— Craig (@TheLawyerCraig) October 10, 2020
(tests, cases, deaths, hospitalizations, and % testing positive as of Today, 1 week, 2 weeks, 1 month, and 2 months ago—data from @COVID19Tracking)
UNITED STATES
(Summary and region-by-region breakdown in thread below) pic.twitter.com/Ls9icIk3Zr
Mass casualty events:
— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) October 11, 2020
Influenza pandemic, 1918-20: 675,000
Civil War: 600,000
WWII: 400,000
Coronavirus, 2020: 213,000 (so far)
H2N2, 1957-58: 116,000
WWI: 115,000
H3N2, 1968: 100,000
Vietnam: 58,000
Korea: 36,000
H1N1, 2009: 12,469
Iraq: 4,500
Afghanistan: 2,300
it looks like we're probably at or very close to our late summer nadir in deaths. based on this, i'll go ahead and guess we get to 250 right around 11/20.*Today’s #Covid19 Update Thread*
— Craig (@TheLawyerCraig) October 10, 2020
(tests, cases, deaths, hospitalizations, and % testing positive as of Today, 1 week, 2 weeks, 1 month, and 2 months ago—data from @COVID19Tracking)
UNITED STATES
(Summary and region-by-region breakdown in thread below) pic.twitter.com/Ls9icIk3Zr
Looks like option 3 is going to win here.
Any thoughts as to what day we will hit peak virus cases and the number of new daily cases at the peak?
Looks like option 3 is going to win here.
Any thoughts as to what day we will hit peak virus cases and the number of new daily cases at the peak?
still a shot at an incredibly embarrassing 11/20 date.
I've seen enough, this'll be done in two days
PennsylvaniaMichigan becomes the8th9th state with a five figure death total.
300K
It'll be close. 400K by inauguration day is an outside possibility.300K
did that last 50k in under a month. wonder if we can get to 350 before the end of the year.
PennsylvaniaMichiganGeorgia becomes the8th9th10th state with a five figure death total.
300K
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us)
300K
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us)
I remember back in like August or September saying we had a good chance at that. Not happy, and even a little shocked we got it with so many days left in 2020.
Yeah I want to walk that back. When I wrote that I was miscalculating how many days were left in the year. :blindfold:“Assuming nothing crazy happens,” I think 300k by year end would be highly unlikely. 100k more by March seems even more unlikely.What was KSU-W's prediction again? 40k? I mean his modified prediction, of course. I believe his initial prediction was around 10k.
That was def his first prediction, it was stupid as hell. I do think he revised to to 40 or 50k.
I will say barring anything spectacular one way or another, I think by the end of 2020, we'll probably be pretty close to 300k (and at least past 250k), and by full calendar year (March 2021) I think we'll be probably around 400k. Now that we have entered the nearly 1000/day average pretty regularly we'll unfortunately probably hang around that value for several weeks.
Schools? People now being cooped up inside? It seems more likely to me, and this thing has powered through summer pretty well and is still slowly building.
300k by year's end is certainly possible. I'd bet against it, but i'm chronically and incorrectly optimistic about this.
Hey, I don't want it to happen either, but yeah, I can understand that it seems damn near impossible that this year still has over 150 days/5 months to more to go. Feels like the end of the year should happen like two months from now, but it was like when we crossed the "100 days to election!" a few days ago and I'm like, "100 days? holy crap this is still forever away"
That's just where my calcs (guess) came from, I will admit I think 300k is probably on the high end, but like, not that high.
Why are you shocked, the USA isn’t like some shithole country that does COVID in a small, halfhearted way. We are doing it all the way.300K
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us)
I remember back in like August or September saying we had a good chance at that. Not happy, and even a little shocked we got it with so many days left in 2020.
561,669 COVID-19 deaths
based on Current projection scenario by April 1, 2021
2020 will be the deadliest year in U.S. history, with deaths expected to top 3 million for the first time - due mainly to the coronavirus pandemic. The expected 15% jump would mark the largest leap since 1918. https://t.co/Xgw6QAZE8C
— The Associated Press (@AP) December 22, 2020
I suppose there's a decent chance 2021 could be worse based on the above projection.:frown:2020 will be the deadliest year in U.S. history, with deaths expected to top 3 million for the first time - due mainly to the coronavirus pandemic. The expected 15% jump would mark the largest leap since 1918. https://t.co/Xgw6QAZE8C
— The Associated Press (@AP) December 22, 2020
1 out of every 1000 2019 americans was killed by coronavirus in 2020 as of today.:frown:
It'll be close. 400K by inauguration day is an outside possibility.300K
did that last 50k in under a month. wonder if we can get to 350 before the end of the year.
350,000 in 2020 with a day to spare.It'll be close. 400K by inauguration day is an outside possibility.300K
did that last 50k in under a month. wonder if we can get to 350 before the end of the year.
just noticed that we're at 346.5k, so we'll hit 350k for the year. possibly on 12/30, but definitely on 12/31 if we miss.
Hopefully it only gets to half that in 2021, I’m assuming it’s going to kick our ass for the next 3-4 months and then it will be our turn to do the ass kickingIHME predicting 567K by 4/1/2021.
Yes. It speaks mainly to two things:
—The utter incompetence of the Trump administration
—The absolute selfishness of Americans
aside from people carrying the confederate battle flag through the capitol, 4100 americans were recorded as having died of coronavirus yesterday, which i believe is our new daily high.Not just our daily high, a new world record!
We passed 400K today.
1 out of every 1000 2019 americans was killed by coronavirus in 2020 as of today.
Could be delays in reporting with Labor day and the hurricane but it looks like we could be getting to some sort of plateau (hopefully peak) nationally with the delta wave.
Per these figures from the KS hospital association, KS COVID hospitalizations seem to be plateaued / trending down: https://www.kha-net.org/CriticalIssues/HospitalPreparedness/covid-19/ (https://www.kha-net.org/CriticalIssues/HospitalPreparedness/covid-19/)
IHME predicting 750K deaths in the US by 12/1/21. (https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend)
https://youtu.be/Sj8UbmdV7bk (https://youtu.be/Sj8UbmdV7bk)
Now past 1/500: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/)1 out of every 1000 2019 americans was killed by coronavirus in 2020 as of today.
we got to 1 out of every 500 americans recently; probably saturday or sunday.
It's the Blacks' fault