Author Topic: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)  (Read 10843 times)

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Offline sys

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #125 on: November 03, 2020, 06:55:35 PM »
people on twitter were saying the stupid website would crash on election day.  i should have prepared for that better.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline CHONGS

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #126 on: November 03, 2020, 07:01:07 PM »
Probably for the best, keep you from losing your money.

Offline sys

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #127 on: November 03, 2020, 07:06:53 PM »
Probably for the best, keep you from losing your money.

i don't think that will be the effect.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline bucket

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #128 on: November 03, 2020, 09:06:18 PM »
« Last Edit: November 03, 2020, 09:09:25 PM by bucket »

Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #129 on: November 03, 2020, 11:15:46 PM »
If this thing was working, I’d probably have a good opportunity to sell my Biden-won’t-win stock for a gain, huh?

Offline sys

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #130 on: November 03, 2020, 11:39:16 PM »
If this thing was working, I’d probably have a good opportunity to sell my Biden-won’t-win stock for a gain, huh?

i wish i was able to log on and find out.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #131 on: November 03, 2020, 11:48:56 PM »
I’m in! Looks like about a 50% gain, but site’s going too slow to make a trade.

Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #132 on: November 03, 2020, 11:54:51 PM »
I’m in! Looks like about a 50% gain, but site’s going too slow to make a trade.

Damn, this sucks.

Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #133 on: November 04, 2020, 01:34:58 AM »
Got in and sold half my shares.

Offline steve dave

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #134 on: November 04, 2020, 08:44:20 AM »
Man, imagine the stacks of cash you could’ve gotten when some of the betting markets went Biden +600’ish last night.


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Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #135 on: November 04, 2020, 08:55:59 AM »
Man, imagine the stacks of cash you could’ve gotten when some of the betting markets went Biden +600’ish last night.


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I sold another half of my half while asleep at a price I didn’t think it could possibly get to.

Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #136 on: November 04, 2020, 10:25:03 PM »
Bought all my Biden-won’t-win back for like nothing just in case there’s another run of it appearing bad or actually being bad.

Offline 8manpick

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #137 on: November 09, 2020, 02:14:09 PM »
So, wtf is going on with all these states still being between $0.80-0.90 cents for Biden to win? Free money?
:adios:

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #138 on: November 09, 2020, 02:37:20 PM »
Bought all my Biden-won’t-win back for like nothing just in case there’s another run of it appearing bad or actually being bad.

my Trump won't win shares are just sitting there waiting.

Offline sys

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #139 on: November 09, 2020, 03:30:35 PM »
there's a lot of free money just sitting there, with no one interested in picking it up.  my theory is that most participants still have their money locked up in markets that haven't liquidated yet and the universe of people that are interested in betting on elections that didn't already go in before the election is very small.

also, perhaps, some uncertainty of how long the the markets will stay open due to recounts and such.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #140 on: November 09, 2020, 05:14:07 PM »
I sold everything and ended up with a 16% gain from almost nothing but buying biden-won't-win low and selling high.  What are your best bets for me to put my liquid into, sys?

Offline sys

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #141 on: November 09, 2020, 05:38:43 PM »
i'm not sure which markets are open but take your pick of biden national or any of the states except arizona.  looks like you can get 80 cents in the texas primary winner elected president market, which is the same thing as biden v trump.

there is probably better money available in some of the margin markets, but mostly a little more risky.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline IPA4Me

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #142 on: November 09, 2020, 05:54:41 PM »
How about GA runoff? Are there any juicy numbers?

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Offline sys

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #143 on: November 09, 2020, 06:09:41 PM »
How about GA runoff? Are there any juicy numbers?

looks like 65 cents for loeffler and 74 cents for perdue at the moment.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline IPA4Me

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #144 on: November 09, 2020, 06:14:34 PM »
I just can't get into election and sports betting. I'm more into payouts like these. Also hit a P4. $52 investment. $2278 payout.

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Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #145 on: November 09, 2020, 06:22:06 PM »
I just can't get into election and sports betting. I'm more into payouts like these. Also hit a P4. $52 investment. $2278 payout.

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can you tell me more about horse handicapping?  My father-in-law is in to it a bit and I have been to an OTB with him a few times and watched him in Vegas a few times and I can't understand it much at all.

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #146 on: November 09, 2020, 07:30:16 PM »
How about GA runoff? Are there any juicy numbers?

looks like 65 cents for loeffler

FWIW, there were like 10 candidates on that ballot, I believe equal numbers liberals and conservatives and the liberal candidates received more votes, as of like Thursday night anyway.

Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #147 on: November 09, 2020, 08:47:09 PM »
Yeah, Loeffler winning wouldn't be shocking by any means, but I think she will lose.

Offline IPA4Me

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #148 on: November 10, 2020, 06:51:15 AM »
I just can't get into election and sports betting. I'm more into payouts like these. Also hit a P4. $52 investment. $2278 payout.

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can you tell me more about horse handicapping?  My father-in-law is in to it a bit and I have been to an OTB with him a few times and watched him in Vegas a few times and I can't understand it much at all.
Way too much for a blog post. If you want to learn, read Handicapping 101 by Brad Free or one of Andrew Beyer's books. After you grasp reading past performances (horse racing programs), grab the Exotic Betting by Steven Crist. Teaches you how to structure tickets like the Pick 4 or superfecta.

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Offline Trim

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Re: Predictit (sys, Justwin, and KK talk)
« Reply #149 on: November 10, 2020, 09:19:41 AM »
looks like you can get 80 cents in the texas primary winner elected president market, which is the same thing as biden v trump.

I did this. :thumbs: