Author Topic: 2020 General Election Thread (Read 131538 times)

steve dave · « **Reply #1650 on:** November 03, 2020, 08:04:30 AM »

market futures think this thing will be clear tonight. which bodes well for Biden probably.

Phil Titola · « **Reply #1651 on:** November 03, 2020, 08:08:30 AM »

Quote from: catastrophe on November 03, 2020, 12:51:38 AM

Prob worth a reminder here that just a year ago Dax said he’d vote Biden over Trump.

To be fair that was before Dax realized that Biden was a lifelong politician who helped push some reforms 30 years ago that negatively impacted blacks.

Of course a hedge since he didn't think Joe had any shot then. Imagine having to build in excuses because you end up voting for a reality TV star that pays off porn stars then stands in front of a church holding up a bible and you buy it.

chum1 · « **Reply #1652 on:** November 03, 2020, 08:11:52 AM »

Dax fully intended to vote for Biden right up until he discovered that Biden was Obama's VP.

CHONGS · « **Reply #1653 on:** November 03, 2020, 08:32:00 AM »

When do you guys think the first wave of panic (not that it will necessarily be justified, but there is a good chance it will be) with ripple through Twitter? I'm guessing around 5:45 CT.

Trim · « **Reply #1654 on:** November 03, 2020, 08:54:40 AM »

Quote from: Chingon on November 03, 2020, 08:32:00 AM

When do you guys think the first wave of panic (not that it will necessarily be justified, but there is a good chance it will be) with ripple through Twitter? I'm guessing around 5:45 CT.

Any minute now, prompted by rob tweeting about a podcast with he and #oscar’s soothing voices.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #1655 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:30:41 AM »

Isn't this the absolute 100% worst possible scenario? This constitutes Trump running the table, with some sizable upsets right?

I show this to illustrate that trump has to win New Hampshire, a state where he's down 10%, to even get a tie. When we see early that he's lost New Hampshire, what is his conceivable path? Flip Colorado or New Mexico?

mocat · « **Reply #1656 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:32:49 AM »

Quote from: MakeItRain on November 03, 2020, 09:30:41 AM

Isn't this the absolute 100% worst possible scenario? This constitutes Trump running the table, with some sizable upsets right?

I show this to illustrate that trump has to win New Hampshire, a state where he's down 10%, to even get a tie. When we see early that he's lost New Hampshire, what is his conceivable path? Flip Colorado or New Mexico?

is Biden for sure taking NC?

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #1657 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:39:11 AM »

I could see Steve Dave's district letting us all down. So maybe Trump could get 270.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #1658 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:40:23 AM »

Yeah, I jumped that, thanks for noticing. So trump would have to win literally every single one of
Pennsylvania
Ohio
North Carolina
Georgia
Florida
Texas
Arizona

CHONGS · « **Reply #1659 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:44:18 AM »

Add Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada to your list.

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #1660 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:47:42 AM »

I honestly think the people giving him an 11/100 chance to win this are way too optimistic about what his chances actually are. I keep circling back to "well, technically Biden still has to win all of the states he's favored in," but that doesn't seem nearly as difficult as what Trump is facing. Ignoring that Biden is actually leading the polls in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona, let's just say they are 50/50. That would make the odds of Trump winning all of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Texas, and Arizona about 1.6%.

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #1661 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:50:23 AM »

I think his most likely victory scenario is pulling some state that nobody thinks he's going to get, like Michigan or Wisconsin.

mocat · « **Reply #1662 on:** November 03, 2020, 09:52:36 AM »

i kind of feel like if Trump wins one of those (FL PA NC GA AZ) he will win all (or eat least most) of them.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #1663 on:** November 03, 2020, 10:02:06 AM »

Quote from: mocat on November 03, 2020, 09:52:36 AM

i kind of feel like if Trump wins one of those (FL PA NC GA AZ) he will win all (or eat least most) of them.

Those states aren't the same though, you have a decidedly blue state (PA) in the mix with a purple (NC) and three reliable red states.

wetwillie · « **Reply #1664 on:** November 03, 2020, 10:37:24 AM »

If I know Joe he is going to go in dry on Trump tonight when it is declared for him.

yoga-like_abana · « **Reply #1665 on:** November 03, 2020, 10:44:27 AM »

Quote from: Rage Against the McKee on November 03, 2020, 09:50:23 AM

I think his most likely victory scenario is pulling some state that nobody thinks he's going to get, like Michigan or Wisconsin.

I mean he did bring football back

The1BigWillie · « **Reply #1666 on:** November 03, 2020, 10:57:13 AM »

I'm a real sucker for massive meltdowns. Where would one go to read/watch the best of the best in terms of MAGA mind explosions tonight? Besides Facebook I mean.

wetwillie · « **Reply #1667 on:** November 03, 2020, 10:58:35 AM »

4chan

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #1668 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:05:01 AM »

Texags

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #1669 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:05:30 AM »

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1323605602560548866

8manpick · « **Reply #1670 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:10:21 AM »

Quote from: yoga-like_abana on November 03, 2020, 10:44:27 AM

Quote from: Rage Against the McKee on November 03, 2020, 09:50:23 AM
I think his most likely victory scenario is pulling some state that nobody thinks he's going to get, like Michigan or Wisconsin.
I mean he did bring football back

Not for Wisconsin!

sonofdaxjones · « **Reply #1671 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:19:47 AM »

Votes are counted fairly as determined by us (BidenVoter)

Phil Titola · « **Reply #1672 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:23:34 AM »

On this election day, I sit and ponder, what is the one compelling argument that Donald J Trump has shown the past 4 years or says he will do over the next 4 that compels any rational voter to say "yes, I choose him".

I can legit every election see something in another candidate that I think, yeah okay I can see that point, not important to me or my point of view but it is for that voter, got it. I can't see one thing in Trump. It drives me mad because I know not every person voting Trump is a mindless "I vote for R only" voter.

wetwillie · « **Reply #1673 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:28:33 AM »

This might be the least peaceful transition of power in our lifetimes

waks · « **Reply #1674 on:** November 03, 2020, 11:33:32 AM »

Quote from: Phil Titola on November 03, 2020, 11:23:34 AM

On this election day, I sit and ponder, what is the one compelling argument that Donald J Trump has shown the past 4 years or says he will do over the next 4 that compels any rational voter to say "yes, I choose him".

I can legit every election see something in another candidate that I think, yeah okay I can see that point, not important to me or my point of view but it is for that voter, got it. I can't see one thing in Trump. It drives me mad because I know not every person voting Trump is a mindless "I vote for R only" voter.

As much as I hate to agree with Dax, no new wars or military interventions should be looked at as a positive.