Author Topic: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread  (Read 1591098 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 55976
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile

Offline michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 55976
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7751 on: June 19, 2020, 04:24:43 PM »
https://twitter.com/hunterw/status/1274085204752203777

they're saying they need about 42 days to really know the impact of the protests

Offline DQ12

  • PCKK7DC Survivor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *******
  • Posts: 22787
  • #TeamChestHair
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7752 on: June 19, 2020, 05:41:47 PM »
:sdeek:


https://twitter.com/steventdennis/status/1274057196670722049

well hopefully it is mostly impacting young people
Per Arizona's department of health, that is the case.  70% of those infected are below 65 and don't have a chronic medical condition.

https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/covid-19/dashboards/index.php
Pretty impressive site, actually. 


"You want to stand next to someone and not be able to hear them, walk your ass into Manhattan, Kansas." - [REDACTED]

Offline catastrophe

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 16073
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7753 on: June 19, 2020, 06:07:29 PM »
Considering (per 2010 census) that ages 65+ make up 13% of the population, I’d say 30% is very disproportionately affecting the elderly.

Offline michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 55976
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7754 on: June 19, 2020, 06:11:24 PM »
actually only 14% of cases are over 65 which is really surprising given Arizona's demographics

Offline catastrophe

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 16073
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7755 on: June 19, 2020, 06:13:43 PM »
Looks like 17.5% of the pop for Arizona, so great job sheltering grandma!

Offline sys

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 40815
  • your reputation will never recover, nor should it.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7756 on: June 19, 2020, 06:41:49 PM »
snowbirds presumably have migrated north.
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Offline Spracne

  • Point Plank'r
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *
  • Posts: 22890
  • Gentleman | Polymath | Renowned Lover
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7757 on: June 19, 2020, 07:23:07 PM »
:sdeek:


https://twitter.com/steventdennis/status/1274057196670722049

well hopefully it is mostly impacting young people
Per Arizona's department of health, that is the case.  70% of those infected are below 65 and don't have a chronic medical condition.

https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/covid-19/dashboards/index.php
Pretty impressive site, actually.

I find it hard to believe that you could find a population in America in which 70% of people don't have "a chronic medical condition."
My winning smile and can-do attitude.

Offline mocat

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 40576
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7758 on: June 19, 2020, 08:30:29 PM »
:sdeek:


https://twitter.com/steventdennis/status/1274057196670722049

well hopefully it is mostly impacting young people
Per Arizona's department of health, that is the case.  70% of those infected are below 65 and don't have a chronic medical condition.

https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/covid-19/dashboards/index.php
Pretty impressive site, actually.

I find it hard to believe that you could find a population in America in which 70% of people don't have "a chronic medical condition."
Colorado

Offline Phil Titola

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 15621
  • He took it out!
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7759 on: June 19, 2020, 09:30:54 PM »
It's weird they are using this to explain their rise in cases is okay?

Offline Spracne

  • Point Plank'r
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *
  • Posts: 22890
  • Gentleman | Polymath | Renowned Lover
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7760 on: June 19, 2020, 11:12:03 PM »
What if the tests some states are using just suck ass?
My winning smile and can-do attitude.

Offline michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 55976
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7761 on: June 19, 2020, 11:42:42 PM »
What if the tests some states are using just suck ass?
Some tests really do suck as, but usually because of false negatives

Offline sys

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 40815
  • your reputation will never recover, nor should it.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7762 on: June 20, 2020, 12:25:21 AM »
the pcr tests don't suck ass.  they're very sensitive.  sometimes people take samples of body fluids that don't contain virus from people with infections in other parts of the body.  that's not a problem with the test.
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Offline DQ12

  • PCKK7DC Survivor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *******
  • Posts: 22787
  • #TeamChestHair
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7763 on: June 20, 2020, 06:38:43 AM »
It's weird they are using this to explain their rise in cases is okay?
I’m not sure they are doing that, amigo.  It’s just numbers they report.


"You want to stand next to someone and not be able to hear them, walk your ass into Manhattan, Kansas." - [REDACTED]

Offline michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 55976
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7764 on: June 20, 2020, 08:33:11 AM »


the pcr tests don't suck ass.  they're very sensitive.  sometimes people take samples of body fluids that don't contain virus from people with infections in other parts of the body.  that's not a problem with the test.

The semantics don't really matter if the test + collection method turns up a high percentage of false negatives

Offline 8manpick

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 19148
  • A top quartile binger, poster, and friend
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7765 on: June 20, 2020, 08:56:42 AM »


the pcr tests don't suck ass.  they're very sensitive.  sometimes people take samples of body fluids that don't contain virus from people with infections in other parts of the body.  that's not a problem with the test.

The semantics don't really matter if the test + collection method turns up a high percentage of false negatives
Yeah, the test correctly assessing whatever sample is taken doesn’t determine whether the test is effective or not. For the test to be effective it needs to be able to tell definitively whether of not someone has coronavirus or not.
:adios:

Offline Phil Titola

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 15621
  • He took it out!
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7766 on: June 20, 2020, 09:08:53 AM »
It's weird they are using this to explain their rise in cases is okay?
I’m not sure they are doing that, amigo.  It’s just numbers they report.

Are states not continuing forward with loosening restrictions even though their state numbers are increasing in rate?

Offline sonofdaxjones

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 59711
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7767 on: June 20, 2020, 09:13:47 AM »
Drama Boy Phil is up early today.

Offline sys

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 40815
  • your reputation will never recover, nor should it.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7768 on: June 20, 2020, 10:27:37 AM »


the pcr tests don't suck ass.  they're very sensitive.  sometimes people take samples of body fluids that don't contain virus from people with infections in other parts of the body.  that's not a problem with the test.

The semantics don't really matter if the test + collection method turns up a high percentage of false negatives
Yeah, the test correctly assessing whatever sample is taken doesn’t determine whether the test is effective or not. For the test to be effective it needs to be able to tell definitively whether of not someone has coronavirus or not.

then they need to be able to collect samples where the virus is.  there's no test you can design that can magically say the person has coronavirus somewhere not in the sample that is collected.

last i heard the fda was still dragging their feet about approving testing saliva which is both less invasive and more likely to contain virus than the deep nasal samples that they approved forever ago.
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Offline sonofdaxjones

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 59711
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7769 on: June 20, 2020, 10:28:37 AM »
Oh man, the FDA dragging its feet.   Welp . . . Trump!


Offline Dugout DickStone

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 53943
  • BSPAC
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7770 on: June 20, 2020, 10:35:39 AM »
Deep state

Offline michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 55976
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7771 on: June 20, 2020, 10:41:11 AM »


the pcr tests don't suck ass.  they're very sensitive.  sometimes people take samples of body fluids that don't contain virus from people with infections in other parts of the body.  that's not a problem with the test.

The semantics don't really matter if the test + collection method turns up a high percentage of false negatives
Yeah, the test correctly assessing whatever sample is taken doesn’t determine whether the test is effective or not. For the test to be effective it needs to be able to tell definitively whether of not someone has coronavirus or not.

then they need to be able to collect samples where the virus is.  there's no test you can design that can magically say the person has coronavirus somewhere not in the sample that is collected.

last i heard the fda was still dragging their feet about approving testing saliva which is both less invasive and more likely to contain virus than the deep nasal samples that they approved forever ago.

you're absolutely right sys. great work

Offline sonofdaxjones

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 59711
    • View Profile
Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #7772 on: June 20, 2020, 10:41:36 AM »
Deep state

Yeah, the FDA has never drug its feet until now.

Super Slow Dug Super Slow Duggin


Offline chum1

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 22457
    • View Profile

Online steve dave

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 88667
  • Romantic Fist Attachment
    • View Profile