Author Topic: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff  (Read 29563 times)

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Offline Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #500 on: December 08, 2020, 12:12:01 PM »
For those of us who don’t follow this stuff what does it mean exactly?

Trump wins NY!

Offline Kat Kid

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #501 on: December 12, 2020, 10:13:08 AM »
Is there any chance the dems win 1 or both of the GA senate races?  I'm giving it a zero percent chance.

Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #502 on: December 12, 2020, 11:19:29 AM »
Is there any chance the dems win 1 or both of the GA senate races?  I'm giving it a zero percent chance.

yeah, decent chance.  under 50%, i think, but pretty decent.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #503 on: December 12, 2020, 11:29:04 AM »
we just had an election a month ago where each side gathered enough votes to win the upcoming election.  it's just a matter of who can get a few % more of the same people that just voted for them to come back out again.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #504 on: December 13, 2020, 08:21:25 PM »

Offline LickNeckey

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #505 on: December 15, 2020, 10:33:44 AM »
https://twitter.com/newtgingrich/status/1338189444311101441?s=21


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I love how Pubs now just openly admit that they can't win without massive disenfranchisement efforts

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Offline catastrophe

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #507 on: December 18, 2020, 11:28:43 AM »
https://twitter.com/mmpadellan/status/1339655260705611778
I actually thought a lot of those responses were fair since she really wanted to focus on her campaign instead of Biden, but she just crumbled when that guy asked if she thought not recognizing Biden as president elect would hurt her.

Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #508 on: December 29, 2020, 04:21:54 PM »
good summary of why people are becoming increasingly bullish on dem chances in ga.  either republican voters are increasingly waiting until election day or they just aren't going to vote.  turnout was about 5 m (1 m eday) in the ge, so turnout is way down compared to the ge on both sides.

https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1344043371887689728

https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1344043382113374210

"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline kim carnes

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #509 on: December 29, 2020, 06:59:52 PM »
I wouldn’t be surprised if republicans lost considering trump is doing everything he can to ensure that they do.

Offline Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #510 on: January 05, 2021, 01:02:35 PM »
What does everyone think is going to happen in GA?  I'm going with the thought that the Pubs will win but maybe they'll surprise me.

Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #511 on: January 05, 2021, 01:24:30 PM »
I think it’s split


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Offline kim carnes

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #512 on: January 05, 2021, 01:59:31 PM »
Both seats are going D

Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #513 on: January 05, 2021, 02:01:28 PM »
Ossoff follows dril on Twitter


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Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #514 on: January 05, 2021, 02:02:36 PM »
Split or pubs. 
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Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #515 on: January 05, 2021, 02:23:28 PM »
What does everyone think is going to happen in GA?  I'm going with the thought that the Pubs will win but maybe they'll surprise me.

i think dems are more likely to win, but i have low confidence in that prediction.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #516 on: January 05, 2021, 02:23:45 PM »
I'd bet on a split, if only because I think Loeffler is so unpalatable. Mildly shocked if pubs win both, really shocked if dems win both, and boy will maga lose their goddamn minds if that happens.
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Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #517 on: January 05, 2021, 02:40:30 PM »
I'd say split, but then I come back and think isn't it more likely that one party sweeps both seats?

yeah, a split seems pretty unlikely to me.  the races would need to be very close.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #518 on: January 05, 2021, 02:48:35 PM »
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1346521447649390606

Looks like Trump thinks the dems will win.

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #519 on: January 05, 2021, 06:21:37 PM »
based on election day turnout reports, i now think the republicans are more likely to win.  imo, if eday turnout is over 1.1 m or so, it favors the republicans.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline chum1

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #520 on: January 05, 2021, 06:55:56 PM »
There are too many variables that are working out different from the general election for me to even try to make a guess that turns out to be wrong.

Offline Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #521 on: January 05, 2021, 07:10:27 PM »

Offline Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #522 on: January 05, 2021, 07:15:10 PM »

Offline bucket

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #523 on: January 05, 2021, 07:16:26 PM »
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/georgia-senate-election-results/

538 is optimistic for D's based on margins in counties where 95% of votes have been counted.

Offline chum1

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #524 on: January 05, 2021, 07:27:41 PM »
GA rural whites turning out more for Trump than for non-Trump Rs is a thing that makes sense.