Author Topic: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff  (Read 29515 times)

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Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #75 on: July 15, 2020, 04:40:38 PM »
Hamilton is running ads like crazy, but he won't win. If you're a republican, you want Marshall because he will win the statewide election. If you're a democrat, you want Kobach to win and hope for a repeat of two years ago.

History says Kansas won't elect a democrat to the senate (haven't in nearly 100 years). But, Kobach is Kobach...

Yeah, republicans should want Marshall because it's possible Kobach loses. Democrats should also want Marshall because Kobach is still very likely to win and he's terrible.

Which is worse?

Kobach wins and he also wins General by slight margin when we were hoping the past would repeat itself?

or

Marshall wins Primary and easily wins General?
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #76 on: July 15, 2020, 04:43:53 PM »
Kobach winning the general is worse. Best case is Kobach losing the general, which is possible, but not likely.

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #77 on: July 15, 2020, 04:46:42 PM »
Kobach winning the general is worse. Best case is Kobach losing the general, which is possible, but not likely.

Agreed.  #NeverKobach as soon as possible (Primary)
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Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #78 on: July 20, 2020, 10:00:14 PM »
does this seem plausible to anyone living in ks 2?

https://twitter.com/KCMikeMahoney/status/1285326206628397061
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #79 on: July 20, 2020, 10:02:45 PM »
Wasn't he just arrested?
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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #80 on: July 20, 2020, 10:06:35 PM »
Wasn't he just arrested?

Yeah, voter fraud among other things, see Kansas thread.

Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #81 on: July 20, 2020, 10:21:05 PM »
his primary opponent reportedly was only 1 point up on the dem too.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #82 on: July 21, 2020, 09:01:37 AM »
I would vote for Watkins over LaTurner.

Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #83 on: July 21, 2020, 05:40:32 PM »
the curb music and the veep music pretty much make anything amusing (placed in this thread because i find it interesting how desantis was doing amazingly well as a bipartisan gov after running as a full on trumpalo and then coronavirus has just taken him completely the eff out, at least for now).

https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1285585560493592576
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #84 on: July 21, 2020, 06:43:45 PM »
Yes, in 2070 the curb credits will still be used and no one will remember how it started
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #85 on: July 21, 2020, 06:48:30 PM »
My candidate/hero doesn’t believe in the values of most people in the state of Alabama. He believes in abortion, no guns, big spending.

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #86 on: July 21, 2020, 09:50:05 PM »
That was the best use of the curb theme music I've ever seen. The look he gives right before it fades to black is the chef's kiss.

Offline chum1

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Offline Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #88 on: July 23, 2020, 09:05:04 PM »
In the name of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, I hope they take it back.


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Offline sys

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #89 on: July 24, 2020, 05:26:47 AM »
georgia senate at tossup is a well, goddamn.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #90 on: July 24, 2020, 07:30:45 AM »
I've been curious how Arizona will turn out. If I was a voter there I'd be pretty motivated after the governor appointed the person who had just lost the senate election.
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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #91 on: July 25, 2020, 10:41:50 AM »
georgia senate at tossup is a well, goddamn.

What is the site you use to bet on this stuff? I live in a legal gaming state, but it's only sports. I'm going to place my first political bet that Joni Ernst wins Iowa.

Offline michigancat

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #92 on: July 25, 2020, 10:50:20 AM »
georgia senate at tossup is a well, goddamn.

What is the site you use to bet on this stuff? I live in a legal gaming state, but it's only sports. I'm going to place my first political bet that Joni Ernst wins Iowa.
https://www.predictit.org/

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #93 on: July 25, 2020, 03:12:15 PM »
georgia senate at tossup is a well, goddamn.

What is the site you use to bet on this stuff? I live in a legal gaming state, but it's only sports. I'm going to place my first political bet that Joni Ernst wins Iowa.
https://www.predictit.org/

Thanks, signed up for an account but making this bet feels like betting against your own team, but with higher stakes.

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #94 on: July 30, 2020, 09:06:10 AM »
is that the same Tracey Mann that was KSU student body president?
yes. I knew him at K-State. Sent a message to his campaign expressing my concern that the main message of his campaign seemed to be blind loyal to Trump. Have not heard back from them.

Thoughts for what to do with the Republican primary for Pat Robert's senate seat?

1. Kobach - reactionary boot-licker
2. Marshall - anxious to prove that he is almost as skilled at boot-licking as Kobach but won't come across to moderates as a complete psycho in the general election
3. A former football player that I don't know anything about

I think I'm gonna vote #NeverKobach...

Is there a viable alternative to TrumpToady Tracey Mann in the Big First - either in the primary or general election?

I'm voting for Marshall and Clifford in those races. Kobach is more likely to lose in the general election than Marshall is, but it's going to be next to impossible for the democrats to win a senate seat with Trump on the ballot and Kobach would be a terrible senator for us.
Kobach would be an absolute disaster. What do you know about Clifford?

I don't know much about him. It's kind of hard to know much about politicians at that level. I know some people who know him personally, though, and they all think he's great. His tv ad mentions that he stands with Trump, but every Kansas republican has an ad that says that.
An attack add against Clifford popped up in my FB feed yesterday. Talking about how Clifford was soft on immigration and had allowed the paradise of SW Kansas to be overrun by dirty immigrants from Somalia. You should have seen the racist filth that popped up in the comments section. I was going to link to the add / post but I cannot find it. Maybe it has been taken down...

Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #95 on: July 30, 2020, 09:22:49 AM »
georgia senate at tossup is a well, goddamn.

What is the site you use to bet on this stuff? I live in a legal gaming state, but it's only sports. I'm going to place my first political bet that Joni Ernst wins Iowa.
https://www.predictit.org/

Thanks, signed up for an account but making this bet feels like betting against your own team, but with higher stakes.
I used to bet against K-State every single game as an emotional hedge.


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Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #96 on: July 30, 2020, 09:24:47 AM »
I remember sitting in a Vegas bar watching us play Wisconsin in the NCAA (Frank calls Kellis a rough ridin' downgrade game) and being almost completely neutral on if we won or not because I had nailed the $ amount. It was an incredible feeling in that there was almost no feeling.


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Offline steve dave

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #97 on: July 30, 2020, 09:28:40 AM »
Like I'd fist pump us hitting a 3 but then immediately the financial repercussions would pull me back to the center.

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #98 on: July 30, 2020, 09:34:35 AM »
Like I'd fist pump us hitting a 3 but then immediately the financial repercussions would pull me back to the center.

I also subscibe to this approach except I can never bring myself to bet enough to quite neutralize the EMAW in me, it's more just a "damn we lost but least I made $50"

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 (non-presidential) elections stuff
« Reply #99 on: July 30, 2020, 09:47:30 AM »
I remember sitting in a Vegas bar watching us play Wisconsin in the NCAA (Frank calls Kellis a rough ridin' downgrade game) and being almost completely neutral on if we won or not because I had nailed the $ amount. It was an incredible feeling in that there was almost no feeling.


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Couldn't be me. That was my toughest loss ever as a K-State basketball fan. Jake's tears :bawl: I can't watch sports as an unemotional third party, even for teams I don't care about I'll eventually pick sides if I'm watching.