i don't think those that prefer a pac 16 to a big 20east are thinking clearly. go back to the chalkboard and check your work.
Pac16 will be there in 5 years, where as the Big East might not keep aq after this season.
you aren't thinking clearly, like he said. There aren't any realistic scenarios where the big east loses AQ status in the near future.
Rusty is right, if the BCS stays at more or less status-quo for standards for AQ conferences. All 6 AQers are guaranteed through '13-'14. In fact, after this year, the non-AQ conferences will be evaluated to see if one more will qualify as an AQ. So, as it stands now, it seems that the BCS is looking to be
more inclusive, not less.
If PAC, big 10 and SEC all start heading toward 14-16 team leagues and the Big XII dissolves, it might mean some different considerations for the BCS. BCS AQ conferences would then be reduced to 5. Plus, the BCS will want to fill the 5 BCS bowl games with quality, diverse competition. Therefore, I don't see how Big East could lose AQ status for the forseeable future unless some (more) poaching happens from the ACC, etc.
I guess it's possible if PAC, SEC and big 10 really corner the market on all the major football institutions and are at 16 team leagues, there could be a consideration for 2 automatic qualifiers from these conferences (conference champs, and 2nd best in overall rating). This still leaves 4 slots for the BCS to fill. Typically, I wouldn't think that the Big East would NOT get its conf. champ (or best overall team) in one of these spots anyway, which makes this practically a moot point.
As far as the Big East is concerned, it seems that they are pretty interested in advancing themselves as a football league (see TCU invite). I don't think they have any inferiority issues regarding basketball. 12 teams would at least keep them in the ball park of other conferences in terms of size, and so long as those programs coming in were perceived as at least as good or better than the median among its existing football members, I don't think they'd blink twice.
The only BCS consideration for moving to 12 teams is that under the qualifying criteria, conferences w/ 9 teams or fewer are given a percentage adjustment of 25% with regards to how many teams they place in the BCS Top 25. With 12 or more teams, there is no adjustment (at least right now). Therefore, as I said, if the potential programs coming in were seen as at least median or above to the existing programs, the conference should see that as attractive.