Come on, Weber has coached at three schools and one resulted in an upward trend. I know it's a Mo Valley school, but still.
This is his career:
1998–99 Southern Illinois 15–12 10–8 T–5th
1999–00 Southern Illinois 20–13 12–6 3rd NIT Second Round
2000–01 Southern Illinois 16–14 10–8 T–4th
2001–02 Southern Illinois 28–8 14–4 T–1st NCAA Sweet Sixteen
2002–03 Southern Illinois 24–7 16–2 1st NCAA First Round
Southern Illinois: 103–54 (.656) 62–28 (.689)
Illinois Fighting Illini (Big Ten Conference) (2003–2012)
2003–04 Illinois 26–7 13–3 1st NCAA Sweet Sixteen
2004–05 Illinois 37–2 15–1 1st NCAA Runner–up
2005–06 Illinois 26–7 11–5 T–2nd NCAA Second Round
2006–07 Illinois 23–12 9–7 T–4th NCAA First Round
2007–08 Illinois 16–19 5–13 T–9th
2008–09 Illinois 24–10 11–7 T–2nd NCAA First Round
2009–10 Illinois 21–15 10–8 5th NIT Quarterfinals
2010–11 Illinois 20–14 9–9 T–4th NCAA Third Round
2011–12 Illinois 17–15 6–12 9th
Illinois: 210–101 (.675) 89–65 (.578)
Kansas State Wildcats (Big 12 Conference) (2012–present)
2012–13 Kansas State 27–8 14–4 T–1st NCAA Second Round
2013–14 Kansas State 20–13 10–8 5th NCAA Second Round
2014–15 Kansas State 7–6 0–0
The biggest outlier years were the terrible teams of 2007-08 and 2011-12, and he's otherwise been pretty damn solid to pretty damn great. The 2011-12 season is partly explained by the fact he was obviously done at Illinois and the he totally lost his team. That leaves one unexplained bad data point. That's why I thought the whole hue and cry about him being a loser coach was stupid, irrational and unsupported by data. He might be awkward and an unsexy hire, but he wins.
But I'm at a total loss as to why this team is so horrible. We are obviously going to finish with a losing record (only happened once before in his career) and will likely be oscar's worst team ever.
Still, given his 17-season track record of evidence to the contrary, I think it's crazy to have predicted KSU would be horrible this year, and chum's example of winning the lottery is appropriate. I'm just totally blown away by how bad we are.