So I'm looking at Lunardi's latest projections, along with the actual stats of the current 3 and 4 seeds, and we've either got to win tonight or get a lot of help from other teams to snag a 3 seed.
Of those 8 teams, our RPI is second to last, our SOS is last, our wins against top 25 is tied for last, our wins against top 50 is tied for second to last...
At the very least, Florida, Syracuse, New Mexico, Michigan State, and probably even Marquette all have better resumes. Add Wisconsin to the list if they beat Indiana, which they currently are.
In short, we need a win today for a 3. That rough ridin' blows. Our SOS/RPI is "killing" us.