Color me confused. 4/5 NCAAs is perfectly acceptable by any standards but 3/5 NCAAs is unequivocally, absolutely fireable. Hell, even Frank, the gold standard, the best, platinum club coach we've ever had was a 4/5 NCAA coach.
Where do I think Weber's conference record will be in 5 years...
I think we'll be above .550 - .600 conseratively. Assuming an 18 game schedule, and having no idea who our coaching staff or recruiting classes will be...
'12 - 13-5 NCAA
'13 - 8-10 NIT
'14 - 9-9 NCAA/NIT
'15 - 10-8 NCAA
'16 - 10-8 NCAA
50 - 40 conference.
Obviously, these numbers could change pretty dramatically. If Angel transfers, I don't see us going 13-5 in year 1. If we line up Jerrance Howard and lock up some high caliber talent, maybe we don't take a big step back in year 2. Then again, maybe losing Gruds, JO, Irving, etc. was going to cause a big step back in '13 no matter who the coach was. I don't know.
Just so people can really clarify the absurdity, the above record of 50-40 is a mere 4-5 conference wins lower (as a %) than what Martin achieved at K-State. And it seems that most would categorize this record as an abject failure.