Wife works at a hospital and still hasn’t seen a single confirmed case. They’ve sent a few out for testing, all negative so far. I don’t know a single person who has had it. Zero reported cases at my employer of 500+ people. I know someone who’s former neighbor apparently had it, now recovered. So that’s like 2.5 degrees of separation.
By all anecdotal reports, this varies widely in severity, and the death rate remains virtually non-existent for people under 60 without other aggravating conditions. The Diamond Princess is not a great sample because it had a very old population.
I agree, we’re headed for deaths around 30-40k, although the “true” number of deaths caused by covid, as opposed to dying with covid but primarily from other causes, will continue to be debated for some time. In fact, at least some of our current death count is based upon “presumed” cases that weren’t even confirmed with testing. And eventually, I predict we’ll settle on estimates of somewhere around 10MM US infections this year once we have better testing.