Poll

how many covid 19 deaths will be reported in the united states by may 31 2020?

under 12.5k
1 (2.4%)
12.5-25k
2 (4.8%)
25-50k
11 (26.2%)
50-100k
17 (40.5%)
100-200k
8 (19%)
over 200k
3 (7.1%)

Total Members Voted: 41

Voting closed: March 31, 2020, 01:06:40 PM

Author Topic: covid 19 death toll poll  (Read 6135 times)

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Offline 8manpick

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #50 on: May 16, 2020, 10:24:26 AM »
I thought I was being unnecessarily pessimistic when I answered this, but it looks like I'll be right
:adios:

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #51 on: May 16, 2020, 10:38:01 AM »
Looks like we are gonna be a bit over 10k deaths by the end of....May. Pretty fitting the gigantic dumbass and POS KSUW hasn’t even logged into this blog in 2 weeks.  Such a rough ridin' little bitch.
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Offline waks

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #52 on: May 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM »
Wasn't his adjusted estimate around 40k by August or "a mild flu season"? If memory serves me correctly he declared victory because he'd have been closer than the original estimates from the IHME model (which I believe were 100k to 200k deaths with social distancing measures by August).

Offline wetwillie

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #53 on: May 16, 2020, 04:06:05 PM »
Quote
    Heart disease: 647,457
    Cancer: 599,108
    Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
    Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
    Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
    Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
    Diabetes: 83,564
    Influenza and pneumonia: 55,672
    Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 50,633
    Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173

i don't think it will be.


Would have to be 2500 or so deaths every day until the end of the year.  You have to think it will kill a good percentage of people who would have gone this year in the cancer or heart disease bucket.
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Offline sys

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #54 on: May 16, 2020, 04:58:48 PM »
You have to think it will kill a good percentage of people who would have gone this year in the cancer or heart disease bucket.

keep in mind that maybe 3% or so of americans have been or are currently infected.
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Offline sys

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #55 on: May 26, 2020, 03:11:38 PM »
the us went over 100k dead from covid 19 today, so this poll can now be called for the 100-200k group.  not great wisdom of the goEMAW.com here, as most respondents chose 25-50 or 50-100k.  congratulations to the prescient eight.
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #56 on: May 26, 2020, 03:14:03 PM »
 :gocho:

Offline star seed 7

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #57 on: May 26, 2020, 03:17:54 PM »
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #58 on: May 26, 2020, 03:22:04 PM »
I've got some pretty good guesses who the 3 users who said less than 25k are.  :lol:
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Offline catastrophe

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #59 on: May 26, 2020, 03:54:29 PM »
Does KSUW post here anymore?

Offline DQ12

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #60 on: May 26, 2020, 03:56:19 PM »
I've got some pretty good guesses who the 3 users who said less than 25k are.  :lol:
I was one of them.  I put too much faith in modern medicine and science to find a silver bullet.


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Online michigancat

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #61 on: May 26, 2020, 04:10:18 PM »
I was right. :frown:

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #62 on: May 26, 2020, 04:24:56 PM »
I've got some pretty good guesses who the 3 users who said less than 25k are.  :lol:
I was one of them.  I put too much faith in modern medicine and science to find a silver bullet.

I was 25 to 50k for same reason.

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #63 on: May 26, 2020, 04:58:30 PM »
I've got some pretty good guesses who the 3 users who said less than 25k are.  :lol:
I was one of them.  I put too much faith in modern medicine and science to find a silver bullet.

I was 25 to 50k for same reason.

Those are better reasons than thinking it's all a hoax or that it's just like the flu.
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Offline waks

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #64 on: May 26, 2020, 05:13:14 PM »
I've got some pretty good guesses who the 3 users who said less than 25k are.  :lol:
I was one of them.  I put too much faith in modern medicine and science to find a silver bullet.

I was 25 to 50k for same reason.
Same. I thought the original projections were worst case scenarios.  :frown:

Offline chum1

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #65 on: May 26, 2020, 05:50:30 PM »
I didn't vote because I thought there were too many unknowns.

That said, who could have expected back in March that we'd be in the top tier of death rates internationally? It's pathetic.

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #66 on: May 26, 2020, 05:59:24 PM »
I didn't vote because I thought there were too many unknowns.

That said, who could have expected back in March that we'd be in the top tier of death rates internationally? It's pathetic.

there were signs!


Offline 8manpick

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #67 on: May 26, 2020, 09:39:19 PM »
I was right
:adios:

Offline IPA4Me

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Re: covid 19 death toll poll
« Reply #68 on: May 28, 2020, 06:52:12 AM »
I'm glad I was wrong and the curve flattened. I was one of the three over 200K.