Author Topic: 2020 General Election Thread  (Read 134364 times)

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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2125 on: November 05, 2020, 09:36:21 AM »
less optimistic about AZ and GA rn

AZ is still called on my sites like Bloomberg
When do we hear about Nevada? What are those guys doing? Count your votes and end the suspense.

10am central update I thought I saw
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Offline star seed 7

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2126 on: November 05, 2020, 09:38:43 AM »
less optimistic about AZ and GA rn

Yes.  Earlier this morning MSNBC flipped it back from Blue to Toss-Up.  Not sure why anyone is calling AZ right now.  Trump has a great chance.

yes. AZ is the reverse of the rest of the remaining close states. they counted mail-ins first, and are now tallying in-person votes, which mostly favor Trump.
Biden is gaining in GA, but from what i read this morning, he seems to be running out of votes left to count

AZ is all mail in from Monday and Tuesday. They finished in person votes a long time ago. At least that's what the SOS said last night
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline mocat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2127 on: November 05, 2020, 09:39:19 AM »
hmpf

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2128 on: November 05, 2020, 09:41:55 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k. 
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Offline ChiComCat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2129 on: November 05, 2020, 09:44:28 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k. 

That seems a little more doable than what I thought it was.

Not sure how many votes need to be cured in GA but I would assume those would lean Dem give the trends of absentee voting.  Estimates are a relatively small number but GA looks like it will be won by the slimmest of margins.

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2130 on: November 05, 2020, 09:44:37 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k.

70% for Biden isn't out of reach based on what's remaining.  Let's add some extra frosting onto this cake.

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2131 on: November 05, 2020, 09:46:18 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k.
I'm bad at math. He would need 40k (approx 66%) to close the gap?

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2132 on: November 05, 2020, 09:47:46 AM »
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline ChiComCat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2133 on: November 05, 2020, 09:49:46 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k.
I'm bad at math. He would need 40k (approx 66%) to close the gap?

Yeah, which is pretty consistent with what he's getting but there's not a lot of margin for error with that.

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2134 on: November 05, 2020, 09:53:02 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k.
I'm bad at math. He would need 40k (approx 66%) to close the gap?

Yeah, which is pretty consistent with what he's getting but there's not a lot of margin for error with that.

Correct.  This state will definitely do a recount.  If Biden pulls this off, it will be by under 5k votes.
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Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2135 on: November 05, 2020, 09:54:41 AM »
It's absolutely nuts to see what the margin of victory will be in these swing states. 
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Offline Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2137 on: November 05, 2020, 10:02:27 AM »
CNN saying Biden expecting to win PA by a sizeable margin.  Down 165k votes  :horrorsurprise:


My prediction as of right now is Biden gets AZ, NV, PA.  Trump still gets GA.

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2138 on: November 05, 2020, 10:05:20 AM »
These motherfuckers lmao

https://twitter.com/tripgabriel/status/1324374362561126401

effing yinzers

This reinforces to me a tweet I saw earlier of what is making this go even slower, given the impending threat of litigation, they (the vote counters) are documenting the living hell out of everything and doing as much as they can to do things as by the book as possible, so the court cases will be a walk (for whoever wins).
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Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2139 on: November 05, 2020, 10:10:38 AM »
CNN saying Biden expecting to win PA by a sizeable margin.  Down 165k votes  :horrorsurprise:


My prediction as of right now is Biden gets AZ, NV, PA.  Drumpf still gets GA.

I think GA weirdly goes for Biden given that it's 61k now, and trump does enough to get back AZ, or at least as close that GA will be.

Honestly, in terms of lending credence to the "count all the votes" I'd be 1000000% down with GA and PA ending up Biden and AZ going trump, if anything cause it'll hurt his "count here, but stop here!" crap. It'll show it wasn't "rigged" (cause it isn't) how could it be "rigged" if you got the benefit over there? I know it won't ultimately matter in the maga eyes, but who cares about them.

And yes, when it comes to PA, I saw Nate Cohn (I think) say something like 500k votes came in for Biden, and it was over 75-25 Biden, with like 600k to go. It seems pretty likely Biden wins PA by >100k. Just have to "get there"

The only thing about PA though is that I have seen 3 different #s in outstanding, 500k, 600k, and 730k. Even at 500k it's probably going Biden by a decent margin, I just wish we knew exactly what it was.
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Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2140 on: November 05, 2020, 10:12:47 AM »
GA reporting 61k votes left to count.  Biden behind by 19k.
I'm bad at math. He would need 40k (approx 66%) to close the gap?

Yeah, which is pretty consistent with what he's getting but there's not a lot of margin for error with that.

Correct.  This state will definitely do a recount.  If Biden pulls this off, it will be by under 5k votes.

Yeah, which I think is how it's going to end up. I think Biden pulls it off by about 3k.
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Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2142 on: November 05, 2020, 10:21:13 AM »
Day-to-day life with local and state government's


Offline mocat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2143 on: November 05, 2020, 10:21:41 AM »
those will undoubtedly help trump

Offline MadCat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2144 on: November 05, 2020, 10:23:29 AM »
I bet they had a doozy of a time controlling "reply all" responses.

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2145 on: November 05, 2020, 10:29:26 AM »
Nothing better than the president using terms like "stealing election" for simply counting votes.  Thanks for this piece of garage attacking our democracy Dax

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2146 on: November 05, 2020, 10:37:35 AM »
If Biden does end up winning AZ, the margin of difference between Biden vs Trump win is Trump's treatment of McCain. 
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2147 on: November 05, 2020, 10:39:30 AM »
If Biden does end up winning AZ, the margin of difference between Biden vs Trump win is Trump's treatment of McCain.
Do you really think so? Most MAGAs I talk with revel in Trump's treatment of McCain.

Offline WildcatNkilt

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2148 on: November 05, 2020, 10:43:15 AM »
If Biden does end up winning AZ, the margin of difference between Biden vs Trump win is Trump's treatment of McCain.
Do you really think so? Most MAGAs I talk with revel in Trump's treatment of McCain.

Sure...for MAGAs that don't live in AZ.  McCain was the voice of Republicans in Arizona for 30 years.  I think Trump easily takes AZ if he would have made some type of amends with the McCain family.  He may have not directly received the McCain's support after making amends, but voters would have seen it as an effort. 
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Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #2149 on: November 05, 2020, 10:43:41 AM »
Nothing better than the president using terms like "stealing election" for simply counting votes.  Thanks for this piece of garage attacking our democracy Dax

I think it's called lawful votes, Phil.   

No surprise that a hyper-partisan straight liner who will vote for any POS as long as they have a (D) next to their name would have this take.

This piled on 4 years of hyper-partisan shills like Phil believing anything and everything relative to topics like Russia, no matter how insane.   The perfect useful idiot for Vlad Putin's disinfo campaigns.