CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread

[treysolid]

great news if true!

https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1260947660619595776

my bullshit meter just exploded

[michigancat]

great thread on HK arrival screening process:

https://twitter.com/laurelchor/status/1260784481159442434

[Phil Titola]

great news if true!

https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1260947660619595776

Sounds like a correlation does not imply causation situation.  "Mobility" is simply too broad of a factor IMO.

[Cire]

Rain follows the plow


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Cire]

Can’t believe they’re letting deep state dr bright tell the world how trumped we are


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[DQ12]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

[Cire]

2 weeks


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[bucket]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

The virus is still in the incubation period in most cases. Probably be another week before we see anything.

[michigancat]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

I'm not sure exactly what it's like in Georgia, but it seems like a half-assed reopening with a lot of people staying home on their own. Great political move by Kemp because he can't get blamed if the economy doesn't recover and people voluntarily staying home will help reduce the spread.



https://slate.com/business/2020/05/south-reopening-restaurants-coronavirus-opentable.html?__twitter_impression=true

I really think the difference between Georgia and California lockdown policy is minimal in practice and how they spread the disease, but they're messaged very differently to constituents.

[DQ12]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

The virus is still in the incubation period in most cases. Probably be another week before we see anything.

Stuff started opening almost 3 weeks ago. 

[michigancat]

so yeah

The governor ordered bars, nightclubs and live performance venues to remain shuttered through the end of May, which he said will “enhance health outcomes” and give owners more time to prepare to reopen.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/kemp-set-extend-restrictions-bars-nightclubs-amid-pandemic/5SCSJA4jgVdCbA6z2eYzHI/

I'd watch churches really closely, but it's actually a pretty useful experiment to kind of pinpoint exactly where you see superspreading events

[DQ12]

so yeah

The governor ordered bars, nightclubs and live performance venues to remain shuttered through the end of May, which he said will “enhance health outcomes” and give owners more time to prepare to reopen.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/kemp-set-extend-restrictions-bars-nightclubs-amid-pandemic/5SCSJA4jgVdCbA6z2eYzHI/

I'd watch churches really closely, but it's actually a pretty useful experiment to kind of pinpoint exactly where you see superspreading events

Still, if Georgia is taking steps to loosen up (whether you define those steps as "half-assed" or "measured"), I would've expected some spike/growth, even if most people are continuing to voluntarily stay home.

If the hypothesis is "fewer restrictions=increased spread" (which seems logical), Georgia's data doesn't really support that so far.

[kim carnes]

so yeah

The governor ordered bars, nightclubs and live performance venues to remain shuttered through the end of May, which he said will “enhance health outcomes” and give owners more time to prepare to reopen.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/kemp-set-extend-restrictions-bars-nightclubs-amid-pandemic/5SCSJA4jgVdCbA6z2eYzHI/

I'd watch churches really closely, but it's actually a pretty useful experiment to kind of pinpoint exactly where you see superspreading events

Still, if Georgia is taking steps to loosen up (whether you define those steps as "half-assed" or "measured"), I would've expected some spike/growth, even if most people are continuing to voluntarily stay home.

If the hypothesis is "fewer restrictions=increased spread" (which seems logical), Georgia's data doesn't really support that so far.

We should be good then.

[DQ12]

so yeah

The governor ordered bars, nightclubs and live performance venues to remain shuttered through the end of May, which he said will “enhance health outcomes” and give owners more time to prepare to reopen.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/kemp-set-extend-restrictions-bars-nightclubs-amid-pandemic/5SCSJA4jgVdCbA6z2eYzHI/

I'd watch churches really closely, but it's actually a pretty useful experiment to kind of pinpoint exactly where you see superspreading events

Still, if Georgia is taking steps to loosen up (whether you define those steps as "half-assed" or "measured"), I would've expected some spike/growth, even if most people are continuing to voluntarily stay home.

If the hypothesis is "fewer restrictions=increased spread" (which seems logical), Georgia's data doesn't really support that so far.

We should be good then.

Yeah that's totally what I said.

[michigancat]

so yeah

The governor ordered bars, nightclubs and live performance venues to remain shuttered through the end of May, which he said will “enhance health outcomes” and give owners more time to prepare to reopen.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/kemp-set-extend-restrictions-bars-nightclubs-amid-pandemic/5SCSJA4jgVdCbA6z2eYzHI/

I'd watch churches really closely, but it's actually a pretty useful experiment to kind of pinpoint exactly where you see superspreading events

Still, if Georgia is taking steps to loosen up (whether you define those steps as "half-assed" or "measured"), I would've expected some spike/growth, even if most people are continuing to voluntarily stay home.

If the hypothesis is "fewer restrictions=increased spread" (which seems logical), Georgia's data doesn't really support that so far.

for sure, I think it's showing that what you open and close matters most and that a lot of what was locked down did little to slow the spread but the bars/restaurants/churches and some offices probably did the most good.

[Phil Titola]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

The virus is still in the incubation period in most cases. Probably be another week before we see anything.

Stuff started opening almost 3 weeks ago.

Yeah I posted something similar earlier this week. It could very well be good hygiene and social distancing practices with lower capacities actually work well. It was the plan put out by everybody on how to reopen, they just did it earlier. Doesn't seem like we should be super surprised.

[bucket]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

The virus is still in the incubation period in most cases. Probably be another week before we see anything.

Stuff started opening almost 3 weeks ago.

I thought it was last Friday. 

Time really does seem to be going slower.

[Phil Titola]

so yeah

The governor ordered bars, nightclubs and live performance venues to remain shuttered through the end of May, which he said will “enhance health outcomes” and give owners more time to prepare to reopen.

https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/kemp-set-extend-restrictions-bars-nightclubs-amid-pandemic/5SCSJA4jgVdCbA6z2eYzHI/

I'd watch churches really closely, but it's actually a pretty useful experiment to kind of pinpoint exactly where you see superspreading events

Still, if Georgia is taking steps to loosen up (whether you define those steps as "half-assed" or "measured"), I would've expected some spike/growth, even if most people are continuing to voluntarily stay home.

If the hypothesis is "fewer restrictions=increased spread" (which seems logical), Georgia's data doesn't really support that so far.

for sure, I think it's showing that what you open and close matters most and that a lot of what was locked down did little to slow the spread but the bars/restaurants/churches and some offices probably did the most good.

Gottleib early on posted it would be a good idea to try and figure out how much good each individual measure was so you could pick and choose which levers to pull. It's pretty hard to pinpoint but data like this does help.

I think based on what we have learned clubs are probably the biggest impact, then churches, then restaurants.

[MakeItRain]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

The virus is still in the incubation period in most cases. Probably be another week before we see anything.

Stuff started opening almost 3 weeks ago.

I thought it was last Friday. 

Time really does seem to be going slower.

It's been almost exactly 2 weeks since things started to open in Georgia. The restaurants opened up two weeks and 1 day ago and all the other stuff opened up 13 days ago.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/why-georgia-reopening-coronavirus-pandemic/610882/

If there will be a spike in Georgia it will start to show next week. However, as kRusty has illustrated, the public has been sensible about distancing, so a spike won't be as likely. I don't think this will be the case everywhere. Also bear in mind that the relaxation of distancing laws was accompanied with the east coast having a historic cold snap last weekend.

[DQ12]

Can't find stats focused solely on Fulton County, but Georgia's numbers haven't really spiked (or even moved upward) since the opening.  Hard to figure that one out.

The virus is still in the incubation period in most cases. Probably be another week before we see anything.

Stuff started opening almost 3 weeks ago.

I thought it was last Friday. 

Time really does seem to be going slower.

It's been almost exactly 2 weeks since things started to open in Georgia. The restaurants opened up two weeks and 1 day ago and all the other stuff opened up 13 days ago.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/why-georgia-reopening-coronavirus-pandemic/610882/

If there will be a spike in Georgia it will start to show next week. However, as kRusty has illustrated, the public has been sensible about distancing, so a spike won't be as likely. I don't think this will be the case everywhere. Also bear in mind that the relaxation of distancing laws was accompanied with the east coast having a historic cold snap last weekend.

Your dates are wrong I think.

Friday, April 24

Gyms and fitness centers
bowling alleys
body art studios
barbers, cosmetologists, and hair designers
nail care artists
estheticians and their respective schools
massage therapists

Monday, April 27

Subject to specific social distancing and sanitation mandates, Gov. Kemp named another list of businesses that can reopen.

Theaters
private social clubs
restaurant dine-in service

https://www.11alive.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/georgia-reopening-dates-plan-kemp/85-1df2aa97-48fd-4cf8-a9fd-afbd8c73dfcf

[420seriouscat69]

He makes a great point about the economy and about everything people built for the last 20-30 years and how they’re about to lose it to a .05/1 percent death rate disease. I’m not a Q guy or a Dax guy, but how long are you willing to shutdown for, for a disease that’s killing people with weak immune systems (who are MAINLY suffering)?

wacky, for your own mental well being I'd suggest you mute portney. this is true in pandemic season but also in general.

https://twitter.com/aud_bowler/status/1260673897009160194

He's such a gigantic douche, feels bad to have him influencing our friend 420seriouscat69.

Good looking out, friends. Big Cat is definitely WAY more likable than this d bag, but I was kind of with him on this message, just because I’m bored and frustrated. I found this reply by Tom Arnold fun though. Lol

https://twitter.com/tomarnold/status/1260762321959260160?s=21

[gatoveintisiete]

  never gets old

[michigancat]

interesting plots of infection rate vs. social distancing rate here:

https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1261007714098057219

[Phil Titola]

interesting plots of infection rate vs. social distancing rate here:

https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1261007714098057219

Have we confirmed less mobility = distancing? 

[michigancat]

I have not confirmed that