Author Topic: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread  (Read 1552801 times)

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Offline Woogy

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8650 on: July 21, 2020, 05:04:28 PM »
  :surprised: Sheesh - The base scale for Moscow - triple most everyplace on there, and nearly double New York's.  And it appears there's a huge spike off the scale Septemberish....

Offline michigancat

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8651 on: July 21, 2020, 05:32:58 PM »
  :surprised: Sheesh - The base scale for Moscow - triple most everyplace on there, and nearly double New York's.  And it appears there's a huge spike off the scale Septemberish....


moscow is deaths per month and New York is per week. Really friggin sloppy

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8652 on: July 21, 2020, 06:20:33 PM »
Going to get worse before it gets better. Trump is such a drama boy.

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8653 on: July 21, 2020, 07:12:29 PM »
Going to get worse before it gets better. Trump is such a drama boy.
So much fear porn!
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

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Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8654 on: July 21, 2020, 09:02:27 PM »
That's the kind of sexy talk that gets a CoronaBro all horned up.


Offline sys

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8655 on: July 21, 2020, 09:12:30 PM »
Tbh the article didn't help either.

interesting that they crap all over improving ventilation systems.
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

Online Dugout DickStone

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8656 on: July 22, 2020, 08:32:37 AM »
Trump going from saying it's nbd to spreading rampant fear porn makes trumpers look incredibly stupid/weak.

Then he dunks on their boomer faces by making them wear masks

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8657 on: July 22, 2020, 08:34:56 AM »
Trump going from saying it's nbd to spreading rampant fear porn makes trumpers look incredibly stupid/weak.

Then he dunks on their boomer faces by making them wear masks
They already looked incredibly stupid/weak. This just confirms what we already knew.
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

https://blockstream.info/block/000000000019d6689c085ae165831e934ff763ae46a2a6c172b3f1b60a8ce26f

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8658 on: July 22, 2020, 08:51:27 AM »
South Korean study reaffirms co-habitation with Covid positive is the worst possible scenario.

Once again calling into question the viability of long term lock downs in a salty Covid environment.


Offline Woogy

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8659 on: July 22, 2020, 08:59:47 AM »
  :surprised: Sheesh - The base scale for Moscow - triple most everyplace on there, and nearly double New York's.  And it appears there's a huge spike off the scale Septemberish....


moscow is deaths per month and New York is per week. Really friggin sloppy

Gracias!

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8660 on: July 22, 2020, 09:02:01 AM »
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/22/us-government-taps-pfizer-to-produce-millions-of-doses-of-coronavirus-vaccine.html

Microchipping Vaccine will be free.  (microchipping is not serious . . . for those that never seem to get it)


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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8661 on: July 22, 2020, 09:07:06 AM »
the uproar in the trumper crowd when he directs them to get the chip will be hilarious.  But they will do it because weak

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8662 on: July 22, 2020, 09:10:50 AM »
I still think that so long as everyone who wants a chip can easily get one, chip’n maqas shouldn’t be required and possibly shouldn’t be allowed. This is a perfect opportunity to marry science with natural selection.

Offline michigancat

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8663 on: July 22, 2020, 09:23:00 AM »
South Korean study reaffirms co-habitation with Covid positive is the worst possible scenario.

Once again calling into question the viability of long term lock downs in a salty Covid environment.

Link?

 I saw something yesterday from a study in China talking about reducing risk for secondary transmission in home with masks, cleaning, distancing that showed some efficacy, but it wasn't clear to me exactly by how much.

https://gh.bmj.com/content/5/5/e002794

I think it's this

https://www.deseret.com/u-s-world/2020/7/22/21332714/coronavirus-covid-19-at-home-new-study

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/10/20-1315_article

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8664 on: July 22, 2020, 09:28:57 AM »
the uproar in the trumper crowd when he directs them to get the chip will be hilarious.  But they will do it because weak

Unlike for example the Russia Russia Russia true believers which encompass the entirety of BidenBot Nation (so that's tens of millions of people) the anti vax'ers are a very small percentage of people.

« Last Edit: July 22, 2020, 09:35:16 AM by sonofdaxjones »

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8665 on: July 22, 2020, 09:39:36 AM »
South Korean study reaffirms co-habitation with Covid positive is the worst possible scenario.

Once again calling into question the viability of long term lock downs in a salty Covid environment.

Link?

 I saw something yesterday from a study in China talking about reducing risk for secondary transmission in home with masks, cleaning, distancing that showed some efficacy, but it wasn't clear to me exactly by how much.

https://gh.bmj.com/content/5/5/e002794

I think it's this

https://www.deseret.com/u-s-world/2020/7/22/21332714/coronavirus-covid-19-at-home-new-study

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/10/20-1315_article

Surprised you didn't plug isolation hotels.

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8666 on: July 22, 2020, 09:41:14 AM »
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-labs-interactive-serology-dashboard.html

Once again on the path of affirming that simply living life in the United States, or anywhere else in the world for that matter will ultimately prove to be equally or more dangerous than SARS-Covid-19.


Offline Phil Titola

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8667 on: July 22, 2020, 09:45:15 AM »
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-labs-interactive-serology-dashboard.html

Once again on the path of affirming that simply living life in the United States, or anywhere else in the world for that matter will ultimately prove to be equally or more dangerous than SARS-Covid-19.

Walk us through what you are looking at here to lead you to that conclusion

Offline michigancat

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8668 on: July 22, 2020, 09:45:56 AM »
Thanks Mich, when I first read the Chinese one I linked I was surprised it was only 23%. I would have thought it would have been higher, but I guess mitigation helped lower it to 23%. But that value seems in line with what you linked and in there I'm seeing ~10% as well, which I'm guessing is also linked to mitigation.

I've seen a portion of that study before in regards to lower rate of infection for children by age.

the chinese one is pretty interesting, were people just wearing masks around the house? Also surprising how effective sanitizing was (and made me think back to that slate article about droplets vs. airborne)

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8669 on: July 22, 2020, 10:07:28 AM »
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-labs-interactive-serology-dashboard.html

Once again on the path of affirming that simply living life in the United States, or anywhere else in the world for that matter will ultimately prove to be equally or more dangerous than SARS-Covid-19.

Walk us through what you are looking at here to lead you to that conclusion

Depending on state or region, the CDC is saying that the actual infected rate could range from 2x to 13x known infected.   

Even when counting those that die in motorcycle accidents as Covid-19 deaths, it doesn't take any sort of genius to understand that if the multipliers the CDC is talking about are even remotely true that means that overall mortality rate plummets.

The CDC laid out 5 possible mortality rate scenarios and ultimately settled on a .004% SARS-Covid-19 mortality rate.

Swine Flu for example had an CDC mortality rate of around  .00014% when using the median of a CDC estimated range of 8k to 12k swine flu deaths with a range of CDC estimated 65m to 75m infected.   Thankfully it was vastly less lethal than SARS



 



« Last Edit: July 22, 2020, 10:12:05 AM by sonofdaxjones »

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8670 on: July 22, 2020, 10:49:14 AM »
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-labs-interactive-serology-dashboard.html

Once again on the path of affirming that simply living life in the United States, or anywhere else in the world for that matter will ultimately prove to be equally or more dangerous than SARS-Covid-19.

Walk us through what you are looking at here to lead you to that conclusion

Depending on state or region, the CDC is saying that the actual infected rate could range from 2x to 13x known infected.   

Even when counting those that die in motorcycle accidents as Covid-19 deaths, it doesn't take any sort of genius to understand that if the multipliers the CDC is talking about are even remotely true that means that overall mortality rate plummets.

The CDC laid out 5 possible mortality rate scenarios and ultimately settled on a .004% SARS-Covid-19 mortality rate.

Swine Flu for example had an CDC mortality rate of around  .00014% when using the median of a CDC estimated range of 8k to 12k swine flu deaths with a range of CDC estimated 65m to 75m infected.   Thankfully it was vastly less lethal than SARS
 

I see what you are looking at now.  Great news!  Imagine if we would have done the right things back in February, we'd be partying in the streets by now watching baseball live.

Their mortality rate out of their 5 scenarios is .0065%
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8671 on: July 22, 2020, 11:06:38 AM »
Oh totally, and one of those things probably should have been avoiding locking people down in their house and sending SARS-Covid-19 Elderly back into assisted care facilities.

But hey, The Grandma Killers are now being heralded by BidenBot Nation . . . ain't that just America.




Offline michigancat

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8672 on: July 22, 2020, 11:09:57 AM »
I wonder what the estimates of increased deaths is from the covid patients in nursing homes thing is. Also curious where covid patients who need nursing homes (but not a hospital) should go.

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8673 on: July 22, 2020, 11:14:11 AM »
I wonder what the estimates of increased deaths is from the covid patients in nursing homes thing is. Also curious where covid patients who need nursing homes (but not a hospital) should go.

Literally anywhere but back into a nursing home.  Like, anywhere else at all.  Put them up at the Ritz FFS

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Re: Corona Bro/Corona Meltdown/Corona Model Guessers
« Reply #8674 on: July 22, 2020, 11:18:19 AM »
I wonder what the estimates of increased deaths is from the covid patients in nursing homes thing is. Also curious where covid patients who need nursing homes (but not a hospital) should go.

Literally anywhere but back into a nursing home.  Like, anywhere else at all.  Put them up at the Ritz FFS

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