Author Topic: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread  (Read 1067997 times)

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Offline IPA4Me

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11375 on: November 03, 2020, 03:48:24 AM »
Someone, who isn't a proven liar, needs going to explain this to me very slowly.

for the anomaly that ipa identified, it's just an artifact of reporting.  it takes the cdc a long time to make the death data available.
It's a two to three week lag from my understanding. We're six weeks plus into rising cases.

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Offline sys

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11376 on: November 03, 2020, 06:22:27 AM »
the last time i looked at it carefully, it was about a four week lag from cases to deaths in the worldometers/covid tracking project data.

i don't know what the lag is from covid tracking project reporting the death (as the date reported by the state) to when the cdc reports the death (as the date when the death occurred), but i know there is one.
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Offline chum1

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11377 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:21 AM »
Why do we so rarely hear about deaths above average? That's a far superior measure imo.

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11378 on: November 03, 2020, 09:30:27 AM »
We did it guys! Today is the last day of COVID! Tomorrow it’s over!
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11379 on: November 03, 2020, 09:42:55 AM »
We did it guys! Today is the last day of COVID! Tomorrow it’s over!
Awesome. Everyone can stop letting COVID dominate them and take themselves of the ventilator at midnight!

Offline michigancat

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11380 on: November 03, 2020, 09:45:41 AM »
Why do we so rarely hear about deaths above average? That's a far superior measure imo.

my guess is it's because it takes so long to process and I also don't know if it gets down to good county level data which is really where the bulk of the covid policy is made.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Offline Dugout DickStone

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11381 on: November 03, 2020, 10:08:32 AM »
Why do we so rarely hear about deaths above average? That's a far superior measure imo.

my guess is it's because it takes so long to process and I also don't know if it gets down to good county level data which is really where the bulk of the covid policy is made.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Could we at least try?

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11382 on: November 03, 2020, 10:09:59 AM »
We did it guys! Today is the last day of COVID! Tomorrow it’s over!

How does this work?  Like new years and we can see the celebration start in Australia or are they going to wait for us to hit like mid day before announcing?


Offline MadCat

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11383 on: November 03, 2020, 10:11:44 AM »
Do we have to wait until all the votes are counted first?

Offline kim carnes

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11384 on: November 03, 2020, 10:34:12 AM »
It looks like the hotspots in europe may have peaked.

Offline michigancat

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11385 on: November 03, 2020, 10:45:23 AM »
Why do we so rarely hear about deaths above average? That's a far superior measure imo.

my guess is it's because it takes so long to process and I also don't know if it gets down to good county level data which is really where the bulk of the covid policy is made.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Could we at least try?

not sure what you're hoping to learn, but go for it

Offline Dugout DickStone

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11386 on: November 03, 2020, 10:49:22 AM »
Why do we so rarely hear about deaths above average? That's a far superior measure imo.

my guess is it's because it takes so long to process and I also don't know if it gets down to good county level data which is really where the bulk of the covid policy is made.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Could we at least try?

not sure what you're hoping to learn, but go for it

This is well above my epidemiology training.

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11387 on: November 03, 2020, 11:29:39 AM »
Despite a few curfews all in and all over it France is just blowing away their daily Covid positive numbers.

Riots in Spain over Covid-19 restrictions.

Grats again to Finland for being the only EU/NEU country with an attack rate below 60.   All others, but one, 120 plus.

Europe is at 11 consecutive days of over 200K new cases, with 11/2 numbers still pending. 







Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11388 on: November 03, 2020, 11:32:42 AM »
Good thing today is the last day. Europe can go back to normal tomorrow since COVID is over.
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

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Offline Phil Titola

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11389 on: November 03, 2020, 11:36:28 AM »
Good thing today is the last day. Europe can go back to normal tomorrow since COVID is over.

A legit thing Dax posted on this blog this summer.

Offline michigancat

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11390 on: November 03, 2020, 11:44:18 AM »
Good thing today is the last day. Europe can go back to normal tomorrow since COVID is over.

A legit thing Dax posted on this blog this summer.

guys your schtick is not interesting or funny

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11391 on: November 03, 2020, 11:48:30 AM »
Good thing today is the last day. Europe can go back to normal tomorrow since COVID is over.

A legit thing Dax posted on this blog this summer.

guys your schtick is not interesting or funny
It’s not meant for you.
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

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Offline michigancat

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11392 on: November 03, 2020, 11:53:31 AM »
I know what you're doing and it's boring and dumb no matter the audience

Offline Phil Titola

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11393 on: November 03, 2020, 12:00:04 PM »
I know what you're doing and it's boring and dumb no matter the audience

Has anything legit noteable happened in this thread in months?  We're in the middle of a ongoing shitshow with no exit in sight. 

Offline michigancat

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11394 on: November 03, 2020, 12:01:49 PM »
I know what you're doing and it's boring and dumb no matter the audience

Has anything legit noteable happened in this thread in months?  We're in the middle of a ongoing shitshow with no exit in sight. 

yes, there's been a lot of great info shared here.

Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11395 on: November 03, 2020, 12:23:53 PM »
The ALDOH should be updating their weekly positivity rate either later today or tomorrow.   I'm looking forward to comparing that to what cCrusty CoronaBro posted.



Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11397 on: November 03, 2020, 03:17:28 PM »
EU Covid board just got updated, Europe now at 13 consecutive days over 200K cases.

22/10/2020   Europe   214,747
23/10/2020   Europe   228,110
24/10/2020   Europe   224,830
25/10/2020   Europe   214,012
26/10/2020   Europe   245,014
27/10/2020   Europe   216,193
28/10/2020   Europe   245,338
29/10/2020   Europe   266,198
30/10/2020   Europe   286,465
31/10/2020   Europe   272,907
1/11/2020           Europe   224,943
2/11/2020           Europe   272,033
3/11/2020           Europe   223,541


5,293,378 new Covid-19 cases in Europe over the last 30 days.

Offline steve dave

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11398 on: November 03, 2020, 03:20:43 PM »

Offline yoga-like_abana

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Re: CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread
« Reply #11399 on: November 03, 2020, 03:21:54 PM »
can we all agree eff china or is that not allowed?