Author Topic: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!  (Read 23544 times)

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Offline star seed 7

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #225 on: November 13, 2018, 11:28:20 AM »
Also Nevada looked red on election night but went blue. Kdub and fsd had the R's up to +4 and were popping champagne
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Offline mocat

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #226 on: November 13, 2018, 11:35:44 AM »
ah, yeah it was probably AZ

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #227 on: November 13, 2018, 12:15:38 PM »
Pubs picked up MO, IN, ND.

it appears they lost AZ, after they won it. It is doubtful Broward county will be able to cheat enough to turn FL, and that's a pickup.

4-1=3

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #228 on: November 13, 2018, 12:37:43 PM »
Pubs picked up MO, IN, ND.

it appears they lost AZ, after they won it. It is doubtful Broward county will be able to cheat enough to turn FL, and that's a pickup.

4-1=3

You are welcome.

Correction: apparently nevada had a pub senator before and elected a dem this time.

So:  4-2=2

But Mississippi is having some Confederate antebellum style runoff, so hold your breath.
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Offline wetwillie

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #229 on: November 13, 2018, 12:38:13 PM »
Oh no
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Offline Shooter Jones

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #230 on: November 13, 2018, 01:44:19 PM »
+2 ties for best first midterm wave since Nixon. +4 would've tied for the biggest wave in history, I think (don't really care pre-WWII)

Big win for the Pubs in the Senate, house was a big win for the dems.

Offline catastrophe

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #231 on: November 13, 2018, 01:57:42 PM »
Nixon administration seems like a fair comparison.

Offline Shooter Jones

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #232 on: November 13, 2018, 02:52:18 PM »
Nixon administration seems like a fair comparison.

lol wut.

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #233 on: November 13, 2018, 03:17:30 PM »
I’m agreeing with you geeze.

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #234 on: November 13, 2018, 03:26:47 PM »
+2 ties for best first midterm wave since Nixon. +4 would've tied for the biggest wave in history, I think (don't really care pre-WWII)

Big win for the Pubs in the Senate, house was a big win for the dems.

Lol wut, 2010, 2002, 1994 all were bigger than +2 for republicans for a first midterm and that was just since 1990. WTF are you looking at?

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Offline Shooter Jones

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #235 on: November 13, 2018, 05:43:02 PM »
+2 ties for best first midterm wave since Nixon. +4 would've tied for the biggest wave in history, I think (don't really care pre-WWII)

Big win for the Pubs in the Senate, house was a big win for the dems.

Lol wut, 2010, 2002, 1994 all were bigger than +2 for republicans for a first midterm and that was just since 1990. WTF are you looking at?

+ wave for the sitting president, those (2010 and 1994) would be considered - for the presidents first midterm.

(I only show Bush was +1 in 2002, though?)
« Last Edit: November 13, 2018, 06:13:36 PM by Shooter Jones »

Offline Shooter Jones

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #236 on: November 13, 2018, 05:49:27 PM »
Probably didn't explain that well, but it made a lot of sense in my head!


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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #238 on: November 19, 2018, 08:05:30 PM »
the votes counted today in ca-21 were really good.  i think it's going to be 40.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #239 on: November 26, 2018, 07:29:36 PM »
this is the district to my south, where i work quite a bit, so it's a little bit personal to me.  also 40.

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1067216860779753472
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #240 on: November 27, 2018, 09:45:51 PM »
The crazy pub lady beat the crazy dem in Mississippi
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Offline steve dave

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #241 on: November 28, 2018, 01:28:19 PM »
the votes counted today in ca-21 were really good.  i think it's going to be 40.

+40 seems to have exceeded most of what I saw but I don't follow it that close.

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #242 on: November 28, 2018, 01:48:28 PM »
First page of this thread is pretty :Keke:
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Offline chum1

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #243 on: November 28, 2018, 05:34:41 PM »
Trump somehow declares a big victory or says something about going undefeated despite Republicans losing the House majority.

I didn't think that dems would take the Senate. Still, I NEVER would have imagined that this would be his angle.

There's this amazing long passage where he goes on and on about how he only tried to win Senate seats, didn't even attempt to win any House seats, and had the biggest Senate win in history.

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #244 on: November 28, 2018, 06:22:46 PM »
we did it, everybody.  valadao is out.   :party:  although i think there are still thousands of provisionals left to countin fresno and kern counties.




https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1067861683333447681

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1067853928228827137
https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1067902932933169152
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #245 on: November 28, 2018, 06:27:05 PM »
actually, looks like fresno finished off their provisionals too, there just weren't many in ca21.

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/1067903642718621697
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #246 on: November 28, 2018, 10:21:02 PM »
r +1 senate
d +25 house

nunes wins ca22 by 6, cruz wins tx by 5.

i'm updating my prediction to:

d +0 senate
d +35 house

nunes wins by 4, cruz by 3.

r +1 senate
d +38 house

nunes plus 5, cruz plus 6.

it's gonna end up r +2 senate, d +38-40 house.  nunes is +10 now, but should fall to 8 or 9 when all the ballots are counted.  cruz +2.6.  i underestimated beto and nunes, but not too bad, overall.

all the way down to +6 with the last update from fresno.  i was only off by 1.   :cool:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1067990931872366592
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!
« Reply #247 on: December 02, 2018, 08:55:01 AM »
"Ballot harvesting"??? JFC, we need to place California in receivership or something.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/paul-ryan-questions-californias-vote-counting-process-as-bizarre.amp
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