Thursday, May 31, 2012Quick Update
Just a quick update before I head out of town.
I received an email from my buddy about 20 minutes ago saying not to believe the "Big 12 is happy at 10" stuff and that the "Big 12 was ready to move on expansion soon."
He confirmed my belief that we'll have resolution on expansion by the end of June with possible movement after the BCS vote on June 20th.
Previously he has advised me not to but much stock in reports of Notre Dame joining the conference and expressed his belief that Notre Dame could make more money as a member of the Big 10. His believes that all Notre Dame football games would be picked up as either T1 or T2 broadcasts and that T3 rights to basketball and olympic sports would earn the Irish more money as part of the Big 10 Network.
He also says that everyone except Texas is against Notre Dame as an associate member and right now the vote would be 7-1 or 9-1 against (counting WVU and TCU) allowing Notre Dame in without football. The idea that Notre Dame would play only select members of the Big 12 in football until they can join as a full member is not popular and will not be approved.
Posted by The Dude of WV at 10:12 AM 0 comments Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to Facebook
What did you expect?
Imagine the scene: Chuck Neinas walks up the podium and boldly declares “With the 11th and 12th picks in the college football expansion draft the Big 12 conference selects Florida State and Clemson universities.”
The Twitterverse would have exploded.
Instead the Big 12 threw a big wet blanket on expansion.
The Big 12 is happy with 10.
The Big 12 hasn’t contacted either FSU or Clemson.
Neinas denied it all.
Before you hit the panic button think back to last year when SEC commissioner Mike Slive sated the SEC was happy with 12.
The SEC was so happy with 12 that they added Texas A&M.
Slive then went on record saying the SEC was happy with 13.
Somebody in Birmingham must have suffered from triskaidekaphobia because the SEC promptly added Missouri.
Get the picture?
We should have all learned by now when a conference says it’s happy with x number of members that expansion is just around the corner.
And expansion is just around the corner for the Big 12 with the addition of FSU and Clemson.
FSU and Clemson are still on track, but nothing will happen until Bob Bowlsby takes office and the BCS vote is finalized.
It’s that BCS vote that will determine if the Big 12 expands to 12 or 14.
If Notre Dame is forced into a conference by the new BCS deal then it’s a solid bet that the Big 12 will be their new home.
And if you doubt expansion is still on track consider what Bowlsby said yesterday to Dennis Dodd: “The Big 12 certainly doesn't want to make the same mistake three times, admiring that national landscape while the world passes it by.”
Miscellany
I suggest that everyone read Dennis Dodd’s article posted last night:
http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/story/19206833/big-12s-born-again-and-feeling-its-oats-sitting-at-10-12-or-14But when you do don’t overreact to the dollar numbers mentioned. The key here is the “at least $20 million”. The number with FSU and Clemson is expected to be closer to $25 million without the money for a championship game or the new champions bowl.
In Dodd’s story he says “One industry source said that number applies whether the Big 12 invites, "Appalachian State or Florida State." but that’s not an accurate portrayal of the contract.
FSU will be the first to move. FSU will more than likely submit a written request to be considered for Big 12 membership along with the necessary paperwork shortly after the BCS vote on June 20th. I’m not going to put any date on it but if we haven’t heard word of FSU’s intentions by the end of June I’ll start to worry.
Contrary to popular belief withdrawing from the ACC before applying is not required by the Big 12. WVU accepted an invitation to the Big 12 and then sent notice to the Big East.
Clemson is still 1 or 2 votes shy of having their Board of Trustees approve a move to the Big 12. Once its clear that the ACC is effectively out of the picture for the BCS playoff system its expected Clemson will have all the votes it needs.
FSU’s Board of Trustee is ready to move. If they had their way FSU would have danced into the Big 12 meetings with cowboy hats singing “Home on the Range”.