Guys, like it or not, Houston is probably one of three main candidates if we expand. It's Cincy, Houston, and Memphis, and at the end of the day, Memphis has three big strikes:
1) Academics: If you think Houston is a commuter school, Memphis is way, way, way worse
2) Facilities: Memphis does not own their facilities. If Memphis wants to make a change to the Liberty Bowl, there are a lot of stakeholders, including the Liberty Bowl, that must approve it.
3) Politics: No one in the Big 12 is going to push hard for Memphis. WVU is going to push for Cincy, who also have #1 and #2 going for them, and due to state political pressure, Houston may have the backing of Baylor, Tech, etc. No one is going to go to bat for Memphis.
Case in point on #2; there has been a push to get more chairbacks in the Liberty Bowl, but it would decrease overall capacity to less than 60k. The actual Liberty Bowl (the group that puts on the bowl game) is opposing this because it has the potential to decrease their revenue. The Liberty Bowl has a say in the decisions that must be made.
You can say I'm wasting words on Houston, and they aren't Big 12 ready at this moment, but they're close. And if they get legitimized by the Big 12, and they get access to our resources, and Houston starts playing big games against Big 12 teams in major sports, support is going to grow among their sizable alumni base. It already has since they moved from C-USA to the AAC.
Cincy is the only Big 12 ready school that is out there right now. BYU won't get an invite for a million different reasons. That ship has sailed. If Boren really wants to expand, and he pushes really, really hard, then Houston is going to be a part of this deal.
And, on top of all of this, the Big 12 wants to have a greater presence in Houston. We've lost that since A&M walked. We want corporate partners in Houston. We want championship games in Houston. We want to be plastered all over Houston because of its sheer size.
If we have a CCG as a result of expansion, I almost guarantee you that it will rotate every other year, or in 2-1 fashion between Dallas and Houston.