2014 Handicapping Thread -- Degenerates ONLY

[Prince McJunkins]

K-State -14. Does this mean Webb is probably out?
Also the KU/WV line is -28 now, which kind of surprises me. Seems like a lot of points

I'm looking at OU -5, Mich St. -7 and ND ML so far.

[8manpick]

Got on Packers -9 with my free bet on sportsbook which I hadn't used for over a year and had no money in

[wetwillie]

This is like the season of destiny right?

[mocat]

DNR the last few pages but pretty sure I got torched so hopefully you guys did not follow too closely. I'll be back next week with great data

[8manpick]

I'm betting my farm on the Royals to cover tonight

[Bqqkie Pimp]

I'm betting my farm on the Royals to cover tonight

Again?!?!  Really??  Why do you like them tonight?  Not sure we'll get +175 again...

I didn't post it here, but hit a little pocket change two team parlay with both 'dogs last night... Paid almost 5/1

 

[8manpick]

I'm betting my farm on the Royals to cover tonight

Again?!?!  Really??  Why do you like them tonight?  Not sure we'll get +175 again...

I didn't post it here, but hit a little pocket change two team parlay with both 'dogs last night... Paid almost 5/1

 

This is an emotion bet

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

man, Oregon really crap the bed last night.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

I'm betting my farm on the Royals to cover tonight

Again?!?!  Really??  Why do you like them tonight?  Not sure we'll get +175 again...

I didn't post it here, but hit a little pocket change two team parlay with both 'dogs last night... Paid almost 5/1

 

This is an emotion bet

Royals are +145 with Ventura on the bump.

 

[chuckjames]

I'm betting my farm on the Royals to cover tonight

Again?!?!  Really??  Why do you like them tonight?  Not sure we'll get +175 again...

I didn't post it here, but hit a little pocket change two team parlay with both 'dogs last night... Paid almost 5/1

 

This is an emotion bet

Royals are +145 with Ventura on the bump.

 

If we are discussing baseball, I like the tigers and Cards  I'll bet the tigers won't lose the first 2. The cards line is way too high, wainwright can pitch a little too.

[CHONGS]

If nfl, baseball, and bball start joining this mix I'm going to have to move this.

FaiR WaRNINiNG

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Already locked in:

ECU -37.5 vs SMU
LSU +8.5 @ Auburn
Rutgers -3 vs Meatchicken


More to come...

Adding:

Florida State -37.5 vs Wake Forest

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Here's what the predicto formula spit out:

South AL -3
Dame +3
GA South -17
ECU -35
Miss St -2
Bama -4.5
Mem +3.5
WVU -27
TCU +6
Tenn -2
UNT +13.5
UVA -5
GA St +15.5
KSt -12.5
Rutgers -2
NIU -24

[mocat]

You guys like these?

FIU +12.5
Louisville +10
BYU +3.5
Air Force +7.5
Notre Dame -16.5
Temple -16.5
Syracuse +23.5

i also like Mississippi +3.5 but A&M needs a win at home and Ole Miss is bound to crap the bed sooner or later. Should be an entertaining game, bookie pimp'ing aside

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

last week was a bad week to pick 4 favorites :(

[Bqqkie Pimp]

ECU -37.5   
LSU +8.5 
FSU -37.5   


Here's what the predicto formula spit out:

South AL -3 
Dame +3 
GA South -17 
ECU -35 
Miss St -2 
Bama -4.5 
Mem +3.5   
WVU -27 
TCU +6 
Tenn -2 
UNT +13.5 
UVA -5 
GA St +15.5 
KSt -12.5 
Rutgers -2
NIU -24 

8-9-2 Last week.... Season now at 59-43-5

This treading water/juicing out crap needs to stop.  With that said, our predicto algo is only hitting at about 55% so far.  We did better early before we had good math...   

Curious as to whether mocat's snowbrag or ching's Chimera is having any better luck?

['taterblast]

what i have for this weekend:

Texas A&M +1
Alabama -5   
OU -4   
Indiana -13.5 
Auburn -8.5   
Tennessee +1   meh
Vanderbilt +33
Kansas +27.5


still looking to make a couple more depending on what happens. i really like Bama and OU to cover.

4-3-1, i lost a lot on Bama and OU though so not a good weekend.

['taterblast]

here we go:

Mississippi +2
Indiana +6.5
BYU +4
UTEP -1
WVU -3
Oklahoma State -21
Missouri ML
Baylor -8.5

[mocat]

the radical upsets are what they are, and do not help the predicto machines. that said, i feel pretty confident moving forward.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

You guys like these?

FIU +12.5
Louisville +10
BYU +3.5
Air Force +7.5
Notre Dame -16.5
Temple -16.5
Syracuse +23.5

i also like Mississippi +3.5 but A&M needs a win at home and Ole Miss is bound to crap the bed sooner or later. Should be an entertaining game, bookie pimp'ing aside

I take it this is what snowbrag is kicking out?  I love taking dogs, especially at home.  With that said, I'm of the belief that huge "upsets" as the media sees them will settle down now that we are getting a better feel for the teams.

As for the Ole Miss game, I can't imagine that they're gonna be able to bring the same intensity they had vs Bama last week and were likely hungover until Monday eve.  Plus, aggy should be in a 'bounce back' spot after getting train run on 'em by MSU.  Likely a no play for me, but I lean hard to the boys from collie station.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Here's this weeks card for those looking to fade:

Minnesota -3
Temple -16.5
Marshall -23.5
'Cuse +24.5
Dook +4
BC +4.5
Miami FL -13.5
Kansas +21
TCU +9
UAB -6
W. Mich PK
Washington +4
C. Mich +10
Ga State +11



Will likely make some small "entertainment plays" on the following:

aggy -2
Miss State ML
UCLA +3

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

heh, first bet i took was Oregon -3 over UCLA.

[chuckjames]

I'm taking the Fightting Mormans tonight.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

"Pocket Change" parlay for thurs nite CFB:

BYU +130
BYU/UCF U45

*entertainment play (tail at your own risk)

[FadeMeAU]

You guys like these?

FIU +12.5
Louisville +10
BYU +3.5
Air Force +7.5
Notre Dame -16.5
Temple -16.5
Syracuse +23.5

i also like Mississippi +3.5 but A&M needs a win at home and Ole Miss is bound to crap the bed sooner or later. Should be an entertaining game, bookie pimp'ing aside

I take it this is what snowbrag is kicking out?  I love taking dogs, especially at home.  With that said, I'm of the belief that huge "upsets" as the media sees them will settle down now that we are getting a better feel for the teams.

As for the Ole Miss game, I can't imagine that they're gonna be able to bring the same intensity they had vs Bama last week and were likely hungover until Monday eve.  Plus, aggy should be in a 'bounce back' spot after getting train run on 'em by MSU.  Likely a no play for me, but I lean hard to the boys from collie station.

I went back and watched the MSU/aTm last night because I didn't get to see much of it Saturday while setting up our tailgate. Aggy didn't play that terribly in the first half, and State built on some momentum from turnovers. If aTm catches half the balls they dropped, the game never gets out of hand in the first half and probably doesn't become a blowout in the second half. I look for them to play much better at home this week. I have no idea how OM is going to get passed that historic game. I could see aggy running away with this game late mainly because OM won't have the emotional energy to put forth late.