The Cats have been bad on the road. Even if you remove the game in Lawrence (Road 100 chart), K-State still got beat 1.09 - 1.00 in efficiency against UT, ISU, and WVU on the road.
I see 2 main areas of concern going into this game. First, BU is the best offensive boarding team in the league (OR% differential) and K-State needs to limit their 2nd shots. A big key in BU's losses to Top 100 teams at home is that they've played even on the offensive glass. Second, Baylor is the 2nd best 3PT shooting team in the league, hitting nearly 39.2% of their shots. This will be a real test for K-State's defense, especially with Baylor's length. Baylor blocks a lot of shots too, but it doesn't translate into great 2PT% defense as Big 12 teams shoot nearly 52% on 2s against them.
K-State's bad offense on the road should be able to get healthy against the Bears because Baylor's eFG% defense is awful (53.3% eFG%, last in the Big 12) and they don't force TOs (16.0, 8th in the Big 12). If the Cats can be reasonable on the offensive glass (<5% advantage for BU), shoot even on 3s, and win the battle on 2s (something K-State has been very good at) the Cats should get their 2nd road win of the year.
Cats 71 Bears 65
