Current chance put at 2%
IRS hearing will be fun
Media is starting to turn on him (even President Bush new you don't tap the media's phone lines)
If he loses the media completely is will be Nixon all over again.
The media will forgive him. You can already see it in the way they discuss the issue. It's like they're talking about it because they know they
should be outraged over it, but deep down they're all still in love. "If this were Bush" they would be (literally, in the case of Chris Matthews) foaming at the mouth.