I'm neither. The first scenario you laid out is pretty much impossible, he's getting a minimum of 3 years barring a complete unmitigated disaster. The second one blows, I don't want to hope to be above .500 and hope for a couple of tournament appearances, no thanks.
I want the dude to win and I want the national image of the program restored to what it was. If he can't do that he needs to GTFO.