If you're honest with yourself, you know what Weber will provide, as he had 9 years in a very similar situation at a similar institution and ended in him getting fired. So you can call that high-risk, low-risk, no-risk, whatever. You can even throw in a neckbrace strawman if you'd like, but it doesn't change the fact that there is more than enough evidence to accurately predict that Weber will fail.
I fully admit that Gottlieb could have crashed and burned, but I think the crash could have come quickly enough that people would still care. He also had a fantastic roster that likely would have done quite well and helped trick people that think basketball isn't 90% recruiting into believing that he could "coach".
The long, slow, gradual diminishing expectations that Weber provide is a much sadder death and will be more difficult to recover from than the worst case scenario under Gottlieb IMO.