5 spots, 8 teams....So these are teams we may be able to beat out even if we lost close to Baylor.....
1) Illinois St- mentioned their lack of good wins, SOS
2) USC - If they lost to UCLA in the qtrs, they would be 1-8 vs the 3 stud teams plus 4&5 seeded Utah/Cal. 9 of their 11 wins in P12 would be to teams "not in the top 100". And their 10th win would be over Stanford who will have an RPI in the 90s. Their top 100 non con wins -- beat tourney bound SMU, non tourney bound Texas A&M, Omaha. Could end with 24-9 record and not too many impressive wins
3) Xavier- If they lose to Butler in Qtrs, they will be 2-7 last 9 games. 2 wins vs RPI 228 DePaul and 0-7 vs the 1 thru 6 seeds in Big East. They lost their 2nd leading scorer for the year 10 games ago and have struggled. They would finish 10-10 vs B.E. teams, 3-10 vs top 6 seeds.
4) Illinois - a loss to Michigan and they would be 8-11 just like Us. And have 14 L's
* Their good/decent wins- Mich, Sparty, NWestern twice, Iowa twice, Vcu & BYU on nuetral court. We would have 3 fewer (WV, At Baylor/OSU/TCU, Colo St in Denver)
* But we have 2 wins vs top 3 in Conference, they have 0
* They would have 3 losses to 13/14 seed Penn St/Rutgers. Ou and Tech for Us
*They lost road/nuetral to 4 Top 8 seeded NCAA teams by 32,25,23,11. Our games away from home vs Top 8 seeded teams were 2,8 point wins. Losses by 19,5,2,1