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Messages - chum1

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 876
2
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024
« on: May 31, 2024, 02:00:23 PM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Georgia and Michigan

306-32=274, but I don't think he'll lose Michigan.

150k delta or 3% is a lot to make up

Polls are trash

3
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024
« on: May 31, 2024, 12:55:02 PM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Georgia and Michigan

306-32=274, but I don't think he'll lose Michigan.

4
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024
« on: May 31, 2024, 09:10:51 AM »
I think low turnout is more unpredictable. A lot of Biden voters may feel this verdict means the election is in the bag

The rationale there is that lower turnout means the people who are voting tend to be more engaged/informed than otherwise. And this favors Biden.

5
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024
« on: May 31, 2024, 08:54:05 AM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.
Could be a really low turnout maybe

Good point. Should we expect the high turnout that we had in 2020? It doesn't seem so. And lower turnout is better for Biden.

6
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Trump 2024
« on: May 31, 2024, 08:33:37 AM »
Trump lost to Biden as the incumbent. Now, Biden is the incumbent. Plus, since then we've had January 6th, Roe v Wade, and now felony convictions.

7
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: NBA Playoffs Thread
« on: May 30, 2024, 09:46:06 PM »
I hate Boston. Am fine with hating them. But don't really know why I hate them.

8
With 10% annual inflation for the past 20 years, I feel like we'd literally be living out Mad Max right now.

10
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: LOL TRUMP
« on: May 26, 2024, 11:41:00 AM »
Imagine what it would have been like if there weren't a ton of non-Libertarian Trump supporters in the audience.

https://x.com/WUTangKids/status/1794723389455872270

11
Kansas State Football / Re: Some words on D's Nutz
« on: May 22, 2024, 10:10:20 AM »
I think students singing the words while the band played was a thing for a while. I never knew the words, but have memories of hearing "the rumble and the roar."

12
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: NBA Playoffs Thread
« on: May 21, 2024, 10:03:09 PM »
What a choke job by Indiana.

16
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: May 17, 2024, 10:41:25 AM »
Not sure Benedictine endorses what he said

https://twitter.com/Ms_LilShadow/status/1791264270665322928

17
Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: PORTAL KOMBAT
« on: May 17, 2024, 06:23:36 AM »
When Kaluma entered the portal, I took that to mean he's gone regardless.

18
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: NBA Playoffs Thread
« on: May 16, 2024, 10:14:48 PM »
When their defense is on, they're so much fun to watch. And who doesn't love Ant?

20
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: NBA Playoffs Thread
« on: May 15, 2024, 10:04:36 PM »
The Cleveland/Boston series was definitely the most boring one. But agree that Dean is great!

21
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: New To Investing Thread
« on: May 15, 2024, 10:02:24 PM »
Yeah, it's kind of a funny aspect of that book. There aren't any real details of any kind about what he was doing. Like you said, if there were, it would all be over.

22
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: New To Investing Thread
« on: May 15, 2024, 09:43:19 PM »
https://twitter.com/NeckarValue/status/1790806771520651781

I read a book on Simons that said he kept everyone (except like two other execs) who worked there in separate silos so that no one knew the big picture and no one could recreate what he was doing.

23
The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit / Re: Artificial Intelligence
« on: May 15, 2024, 09:23:24 PM »
Why is this topic in the pit?

This stuff is incredible.

https://twitter.com/rowancheung/status/1790783202639978593

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Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: May 14, 2024, 08:20:24 PM »
eff that guy Butker. What a gigantic jackass bigot.

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