it's also, like someone else said, a stupid business model. weather prediction is getting amazingly good, but it's still very poor for over 10 days forward. one good fall rain and they could have planted a crop and gotten whatever yields the rest of the year's weather would have given them. the guy is acting like it was a given that they couldn't produce a crop the following year. that's complete bullshit. this year's ks wheat was pretty bad, for example, what would you be willing to bet regarding next year's harvest? i'll take either side of the bet on +/- average yield.