I think the chances are very high for Alamo, Insight, or Independence. With a win in Lawrence, we'll be in the mix with aTm and MU to go to one of those 3 IMO.
An aTm loss to UT would mean 3 losses in their last 4. With a fan base already after their coach, their prospects of traveling well, even within the state, won't be good.
MU could win their last 2, which along with their head to head win, could bump them over us. That should be interesting to watch. Plus, they've been to the Independence 2 out of the last 3 years.