Author Topic: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.  (Read 5097 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Online nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17067
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Some of us were having a conversation about what type of program we aspired to be in _Fan's "There is no positive spin on this one" thread.  I decided to do a little more research on the topic at had, but also decided to start a new thread because _Fan's original thread wasn't really about that anyway.  

I set out to look at just how good teams were, on average, over an extended period of time.  I used kenpom's rating system and added each teams ratings up from 2002-03 thrrough 2009-10, then divided them for an average ranking.  I then jotted down the top 25 teams plus a few others.  

One thing that is important to remember is that this is purely subjective, which for the most part is better than objective, but does have it's faults.  A perfect example would be a team like UCLA.  The rating system isn't weighted for success.  This means that the Bruins, a team that has been to three Final Four's in the given time period, is left well outside the top 25 because it has suffered three very poor seasons as well.  

Still, I think it is a very good barometer, and puts a lot into perspective.  

I'll list the teams in order.  Their average kenpom ranking will be in parenthesis.

ACC = Blue, B10 = Red, B12 = Green. Big East = Orange, Pac 10 = Black, SEC = Navy, Mid-Majors = black non-bold.

1. Kansas (6.00)
2. Duke    (6.125)
3. PITT     (13.875)
4. Texas   (15.375)
5. Wisc.    (16.375)
6. L'Ville   (17.75)
7. UNC      (18.00)
8. Mich St. (18.5)
9. UK        (20.625)
11t. Uconn (21.75)
11t. FLA     (21.25)
12. Memp. (21.75)
13. ILL       (22.5)
14. Cuse    (24.675)
15. Nova    (25.75)
16. G'Town (31.125)

17. UMD     (31.75)
18. Zona    (32.5)
19. ND       (33.625)
20. Zaga    (34.25)
21. Ok. St. (36.375)
23t. OKLA   (39.75)
23t. MARQ  (39.75)
24. Ohio St. (39.875)
25. WVU     (40.00)
26. Miss St. (40.625)
27. Tenn     (43.125)

28. GTech   (44.25)
29. WASH   (44.375)
30. Bost. Col. (45. 125)
31. BAMA     (45.5)
32. WAKE    (45.625)
33. K-State (46.875)

When a program can, on average be at or near the top 25 they have a really good program going.  KSU is right on the fringe of being where we need to be, especially if you are only looking at the Martin/Huggins years.  Although, I will point out that Wooly's SLTH like seasons toward the end of his tenure actually keep us near relatively high since he never really had horrible seasons in the years provided, not that that is anything to brag about.

KSU under Martin/Huggins averages 21-9 (10-6) on a yearly basis.  The average kenpom rating is 28.8.  If extended to 8 years and placed in the list above, the Martin/Huggins era would 16th best program on the list.  Which is very respectable, and not far off from being very good.

Also, looking at where KU is should put to rest any rationale of using them as a measuring stick.  


(Want to get rid of the ad? Register now for free!)
« Last Edit: December 20, 2010, 12:28:14 PM by nicname »
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.

Offline MakeItRain

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 45942
  • big roas man
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2010, 02:53:16 AM »
Fantastic list, nickname.  Pitt and UT are much higher than I thought they would be.  I would have thought that they were peer programs for us, clearly not.  It does appear that they have grossly underachieved but, especially in the case of Pitt, amazingly steady.

Online nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17067
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2010, 03:13:09 AM »
Fantastic list, nickname.  Pitt and UT are much higher than I thought they would be.  I would have thought that they were peer programs for us, clearly not.  It does appear that they have grossly underachieved but, especially in the case of Pitt, amazingly steady.

Yeah, they have in the definitely underachieved in the tournament.  They have been to the S16 5 times (E8 once) in the last 8 seasons, which is really good, but they have failed to play to their seed 5 times.  They have still been really good, and have 2 Big east titles, 3 2nd place Big East finishes, and 1 Big East tournament title.

The tournament, to me, is like playing poker.  You try to get the best odds (ie. a higher seed), and eventually it will pay off.  But there is a lot of variance.
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.

Offline KITNfury

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 7177
  • Eat My Ass Whole
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #3 on: December 20, 2010, 05:56:19 AM »
We're a lot higher than I though we'd be.
I once blew clove smoke in a guy's face that cut in front of me in the line to KJ's.

Offline felix rex

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 8967
  • Knows what Brent did
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #4 on: December 20, 2010, 07:08:17 AM »
I'll be damned if this nicname guy isn't putting a positive spin on things...
"How will I recruit to Manhattan? Well, distance. And the proud state of basketball. It start there, and then daily flights to Dallas, because I'm really good at going out. Like top five good. Ask my wife. She wants me to be happy."

Offline kso_FAN

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 29506
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #5 on: December 20, 2010, 07:27:19 AM »
I'll be damned if this nicname guy isn't putting a positive spin on things...

:)

Good job nic.  Excellent work. I can't believe I've become the glass is half empty fan.

Offline chum1

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 22456
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #6 on: December 20, 2010, 08:53:04 AM »
five page thread wasn't enough?  you guys sure took this loss hard.  very embarrassing.  especially awkward for those who maintain that it was just a bad shooting night.

Offline Cartierfor3

  • Fattyfest Champion
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 27691
  • I just want us all to be buds.
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2010, 10:14:51 AM »
where was missouri on the list?

Offline Skipper44

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 7629
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #8 on: December 20, 2010, 10:40:10 AM »
Great work! 

I would love to see this list for the entire big 12

TIA

Online nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17067
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #9 on: December 20, 2010, 11:16:01 AM »
I'll be damned if this nicname guy isn't putting a positive spin on things...

:)

Good job nic.  Excellent work. I can't believe I've become the glass is half empty fan.

It's not really about the FLA loss.  That loss sucked. It was ugly, and embarrassing.  It isn't really about this season, just where the program is at and where we would like it to be. 

If Frank stays for his entire contract, and has similar success to what he has already, we would be the 15th or 16th best program over that time period.  That is pretty awesome.
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.

Offline EMAWzified

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 4244
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #10 on: December 20, 2010, 11:23:51 AM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

Online nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17067
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #11 on: December 20, 2010, 11:27:10 AM »
Great work! 

I would love to see this list for the entire big 12

TIA

Baylor: 97, 176, 190, 140, 86, 42, 34, 6 = 96.375

ISU: 62, 57, 40, 74, 121, 100, 112, 71 = 79.625

Mizzou: 26, 46, 72, 160, 59, 44, 6, 19 = 54.00

Kansas: 1, 13, 12, 6, 3, 1, 10, 2 = 6.00

K-State: 60, 65, 51, 81, 50, 17, 44, 7 = 46.875

OU: 8, 49, 9, 50, 43, 46, 13, 100 = 39.75

OSU: 29, 3, 8, 55, 71, 57, 28, 40 = 36.375

Texas: 10, 14, 26, 2, 21, 9, 23, 18 = 15.375

A&M: 96, 167, 35, 25, 7, 16, 46, 17 = 51.126

TTech: 28, 30, 28, 103, 70, 78, 94, 69 = 62.5


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Doc Sadlers: 144, 34, 57, 104, 82, 34, 64, 85 = 75.5
Beautiful People: 41, 53, 94, 83, 168, 104, 168, 86 = 99.625
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.

Online nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17067
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #12 on: December 20, 2010, 11:28:09 AM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

I agree, and have been tooting that horn for years.  They were really good. 
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.

Offline kso_FAN

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 29506
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #13 on: December 20, 2010, 11:30:46 AM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

I agree, and have been tooting that horn for years.  They were really good. 

Yeah, especially with the transfer similarities.

Offline Skipper44

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 7629
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #14 on: December 20, 2010, 12:03:56 PM »
Great work! 

I would love to see this list for the entire big 12

TIA

Baylor: 97, 176, 190, 140, 86, 42, 34, 6 = 96.375

ISU: 62, 57, 40, 74, 121, 100, 112, 71 = 79.625

Mizzou: 26, 46, 72, 160, 59, 44, 6, 19 = 54.00

Kansas: 1, 13, 12, 6, 3, 1, 10, 2 = 6.00

K-State: 60, 65, 51, 81, 50, 17, 44, 7 = 46.875

OU: 8, 49, 9, 50, 43, 46, 13, 100 = 39.75

OSU: 29, 3, 8, 55, 71, 57, 28, 40 = 36.375

Texas: 10, 14, 26, 2, 21, 9, 23, 18 = 15.375

A&M: 96, 167, 35, 25, 7, 16, 46, 17 = 51.126

TTech: 28, 30, 28, 103, 70, 78, 94, 69 = 62.5


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Doc Sadlers: 144, 34, 57, 104, 82, 34, 64, 85 = 75.5
Beautiful People: 41, 53, 94, 83, 168, 104, 168, 86 = 99.625

I read this as the Q@s have been the 5th best program (2nd best in the North) in the "Ken Pom" era - hard to be upset with that   :)
« Last Edit: December 20, 2010, 12:06:45 PM by Skipper44 »

Offline felix rex

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 8967
  • Knows what Brent did
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #15 on: December 20, 2010, 12:33:34 PM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

I agree, and have been tooting that horn for years.  They were really good. 

I could totally live with this.
"How will I recruit to Manhattan? Well, distance. And the proud state of basketball. It start there, and then daily flights to Dallas, because I'm really good at going out. Like top five good. Ask my wife. She wants me to be happy."

Offline MakeItRain

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 45942
  • big roas man
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #16 on: December 20, 2010, 07:50:52 PM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

I agree, and have been tooting that horn for years.  They were really good. 

They were also the mold for MCMW, hell one of their thugs is now a leading voice for college basketball.  We're going to have to work on MCMW, Frank keeps recruiting choir boys. Will Omari start us on the MCMW track? :crossfingers:

Online nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17067
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #17 on: December 20, 2010, 09:40:54 PM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

I agree, and have been tooting that horn for years.  They were really good. 

They were also the mold for MCMW, hell one of their thugs is now a leading voice for college basketball.  We're going to have to work on MCMW, Frank keeps recruiting choir boys. Will Omari start us on the MCMW track? :crossfingers:

Can you imagine a dude like byron houston as a jyc?  It would be beautiful.
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.

Offline WildcatNation

  • Combo-Fan
  • **
  • Posts: 800
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #18 on: December 20, 2010, 10:07:10 PM »
Suprising that OU is that high, besides during the Blake Griffin time. Also Miss. St.

Offline Panjandrum

  • 5 o'clock Shadow Enthusiast
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 11221
  • Amateur magician and certified locksmith.
    • View Profile
    • Bring on the Cats [An SB Nation Blog]
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #19 on: December 20, 2010, 10:13:13 PM »
My thought program wise is Frank=Okie State under Papa Sutton.

I agree, and have been tooting that horn for years.  They were really good. 

I could totally live with this.

They're still living off of that time period.

A long period of 'good' at least gives you a foundation to aspire for something higher.

Offline swish1

  • Combo-Fan
  • **
  • Posts: 351
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #20 on: December 21, 2010, 02:27:34 AM »
Suprising that OU is that high, besides during the Blake Griffin time. Also Miss. St.

its only surprising if you forget that kelvin sampson was cheating his way to good teams for the entire era prior to blake griffin...

Offline Andy

  • Combo-Fan
  • **
  • Posts: 872
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #21 on: December 21, 2010, 03:37:15 PM »
Fantastic list, nickname.  Pitt and UT are much higher than I thought they would be.  I would have thought that they were peer programs for us, clearly not.  It does appear that they have grossly underachieved but, especially in the case of Pitt, amazingly steady.

Yeah, they have in the definitely underachieved in the tournament.  They have been to the S16 5 times (E8 once) in the last 8 seasons, which is really good, but they have failed to play to their seed 5 times.  They have still been really good, and have 2 Big east titles, 3 2nd place Big East finishes, and 1 Big East tournament title.

The tournament, to me, is like playing poker.  You try to get the best odds (ie. a higher seed), and eventually it will pay off.  But there is a lot of variance.

pitt basically the bill self hawks till the '08 title*.

Offline MakeItRain

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 45942
  • big roas man
    • View Profile
Re: On the topic of what type of program that we should aspire to be.
« Reply #22 on: December 21, 2010, 07:59:50 PM »
Fantastic list, nickname.  Pitt and UT are much higher than I thought they would be.  I would have thought that they were peer programs for us, clearly not.  It does appear that they have grossly underachieved but, especially in the case of Pitt, amazingly steady.

Yeah, they have in the definitely underachieved in the tournament.  They have been to the S16 5 times (E8 once) in the last 8 seasons, which is really good, but they have failed to play to their seed 5 times.  They have still been really good, and have 2 Big east titles, 3 2nd place Big East finishes, and 1 Big East tournament title.

The tournament, to me, is like playing poker.  You try to get the best odds (ie. a higher seed), and eventually it will pay off.  But there is a lot of variance.

pitt basically the bill self hawks till the '08 title*.

And without the conference titles, Dixon has 1 regular season & 1 tournament championship.