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Offline CHONGS

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CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« on: October 04, 2010, 03:20:43 PM »
Nebraska @ Kansas State   30 - 21  :frown:
Oklahoma State @ Louisiana-Lafayette   72 - 26
Baylor v Texas Tech   31 - 18
Arkansas v Texas A&M   35 - 38
Colorado @ Missouri   13 - 42
Utah @ Iowa State   24 - 14

-------------------------------------------
Alabama @ South Carolina   22 - 14
Michigan @ Michigan State   21 - 27
LSU @ Florida   12 - 13
Florida State @ Miami   16 - 24
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame   23 - 21


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Offline EllToPay

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2010, 03:21:51 PM »
HE'S A HUSKER!
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Offline WillieWatanabe

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2010, 03:22:38 PM »
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Offline AbeFroman

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2010, 03:24:33 PM »
It's official, we're going to win  :ksu: :excited: :drool: :kstatriot: :pbj: :lynchmob: :crossfingers: :fatty: :love: :pray:
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Offline Dr Rick Daris

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2010, 03:26:10 PM »
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Offline steve dave

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2010, 03:27:15 PM »
LET'S GET THE SON OF A BITCH!
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The42Yardstick

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2010, 03:28:35 PM »
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Offline The Whale

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2010, 03:31:07 PM »
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2010, 03:32:48 PM »
Quote from: The42Yardstick on October 04, 2010, 03:28:35 PM

Well now, you're never going to get invited to podcast. 

^READ THAT crap^
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Offline Saulbadguy

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2010, 03:39:42 PM »
What is the margin of error?
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Offline Pete

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2010, 03:43:31 PM »
Quote from: IchabodCat on October 04, 2010, 03:39:42 PM
What is the margin of error?

Prolly +/- 30.  That's my best guess after reading the rough ridin' crap.   

:goodbyecruelworld: <---- me not stopping SD, who is holding the gun...and you Chingon, you are the face that is getting blown into bits.
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The42Yardstick

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2010, 03:45:15 PM »
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:32:48 PM
Quote from: The42Yardstick on October 04, 2010, 03:28:35 PM

Well now, you're never going to get invited to podcast. 

^READ THAT crap^

 :horrorsurprise:
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2010, 03:47:52 PM »
+/- 4 points (what this means is the margin of victory can be as big as 13 or as small as 5)
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2010, 03:49:21 PM »
Quote from: Pete on October 04, 2010, 03:43:31 PM
Quote from: IchabodCat on October 04, 2010, 03:39:42 PM
What is the margin of error?

Prolly +/- 30.  That's my best guess after reading the rough ridin' crap.   

:goodbyecruelworld: <---- me not stopping SD, who is holding the gun...and you Chingon, you are the face that is getting blown into bits.
If that really is SD holding the gun, then jokes on him because that means he's behind me and he'll get at the very minimum get brains all over his clothes.   Plus I will haunt both of you forever, but mostly you because you are once again being an enabler.
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2010, 03:49:46 PM »
Chingon, can you just use this guy's formula to predict the score? It should be much more accurate that way.

http://goEMAW.com/forum/index.php?topic=6791.0
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2010, 03:50:22 PM »
FYI

We have a 27% chance of winning!

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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2010, 03:51:30 PM »
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:50:22 PM
FYI

We have a 27% chance of winning!



What percentage do you place your margin of error at, then?
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Offline WillieWatanabe

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2010, 03:53:02 PM »
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:50:22 PM
FYI

We have a 27% chance of winning!



With a normal coach maybe. But with Bill, it's at least 28%.
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Sometimes I think of the Book of Job and how God likes to really eff with people.
- chunkles

Offline CHONGS

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2010, 03:54:43 PM »
Quote from: Nuts Kicked on October 04, 2010, 03:51:30 PM
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:50:22 PM
FYI

We have a 27% chance of winning!



What percentage do you place your margin of error at, then?
1 sigma
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2010, 04:06:16 PM »
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:54:43 PM
Quote from: Nuts Kicked on October 04, 2010, 03:51:30 PM
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:50:22 PM
FYI

We have a 27% chance of winning!



What percentage do you place your margin of error at, then?
1 sigma

That will give you a score outside of your "margin of error" nearly 1/3 of the time, assuming your predictor is accurate. I would just stop telling people what your margin of error is if I were you. It's kind of a lose-lose situation there.
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Offline ChiComCat

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2010, 04:10:43 PM »
If the CPI doesn't have a logo yet Chings, how bout this: :facepalm:
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Offline kcchiefdav

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2010, 04:43:25 PM »
eff...THE CPU has spoken...At least we tried.  :bawl:
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Offline "storm"nut

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2010, 05:39:44 PM »
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:20:43 PM
Nebraska @ Kansas State   30 - 21  :frown:
Oklahoma State @ Louisiana-Lafayette   72 - 26
Baylor v Texas Tech   31 - 18
Arkansas v Texas A&M   35 - 38
Colorado @ Missouri   13 - 42
Utah @ Iowa State   24 - 14

-------------------------------------------
Alabama @ South Carolina   22 - 14
Michigan @ Michigan State   21 - 27
LSU @ Florida   12 - 13
Florida State @ Miami   16 - 24
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame   23 - 21

Think the CPU is going 0 - 6 in the Big 12 this week. You live by the computer you die by it as well.
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2010, 06:22:27 PM »
Quote from: Nuts Kicked on October 04, 2010, 04:06:16 PM
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:54:43 PM
Quote from: Nuts Kicked on October 04, 2010, 03:51:30 PM
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:50:22 PM
FYI

We have a 27% chance of winning!



What percentage do you place your margin of error at, then?
1 sigma

That will give you a score outside of your "margin of error" nearly 1/3 of the time, assuming your predictor is accurate. I would just stop telling people what your margin of error is if I were you. It's kind of a lose-lose situation there.
FYI, it's not really 1 sigma (that was a bs answer because I was short on time and felt like being a smartass).   I will give more details when I have more time.

also,
The probability of winning was calculated using a pythagorean win formula (based on each teams adj off and def efficiencies).
« Last Edit: October 04, 2010, 06:26:21 PM by Chingon »
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Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: CPU Predictos (Week 5)
« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2010, 06:23:59 PM »
Quote from: stormnut on October 04, 2010, 05:39:44 PM
Quote from: Chingon on October 04, 2010, 03:20:43 PM
Nebraska @ Kansas State   30 - 21  :frown:
Oklahoma State @ Louisiana-Lafayette   72 - 26
Baylor v Texas Tech   31 - 18
Arkansas v Texas A&M   35 - 38
Colorado @ Missouri   13 - 42
Utah @ Iowa State   24 - 14

-------------------------------------------
Alabama @ South Carolina   22 - 14
Michigan @ Michigan State   21 - 27
LSU @ Florida   12 - 13
Florida State @ Miami   16 - 24
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame   23 - 21

Think the CPU is going 0 - 6 in the Big 12 this week. You live by the computer you die by it as well.

I think you're a dumbass. The CPU will do just fine this week.

That means bet on:
K-State (I would probably skip this one)
OSU
Utah
Missouri
Baylor
Texas A&M
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