If Houston loses to Jax, then the Indy/Tennessee winner is division champ (and the 4 seed). If Houston wins they will be 3 seed (unless NE somehow loses). Would love to avoid playing Chargers or Ravens in 2 weeks.
So could be ...
6 Titans/Colts at 3 Texans
5 Chargers at 4 Ravens
* IMO 50% Colts win, 35% Titans win (over Texans)
6 Texans at 3 Ravens
5 Chargers at 4 Titans/Colts
* If it's Colts, I think 60-65% chance either Colts or Texans win. If it's Titans, I think the chance goes down to like 50%