nerd powercat posse style post incoming:
assuming new england and houston both win out:
-if the chiefs win out they'll be the 1 seed.
-if kansas city loses to seattle, they'll be the 2 seed (finishing over houston based on conf win %)
if kansas city loses to either Baltimore or LA Chargers (or oakland lmfao), you have to go pretty far down the list of tiebreakers between Houston and Kansas City:
1. head to head (N/A)
2. conference win % - tied (10-2-0, .833)
3. win % in common games - tied (4-1-0, .800) <--- both teams have lost to new england and will have 4 wins against denver/jacksonville/cleveland
4. strength of victory - this will be determined based on the aggregate win % of the teams that each team has defeated.
currently:
teams houston has defeated (or will have defeated) are a combined 68-87-1 (.439)
teams kansas city has defeated (or will have defeated) are a combined 64-90-2 (.417)
the chiefs would be the 3 seed