If Paxton is still available by the time the Chief's pick, I think they are more likely to trade the pick so someone else can snag him. I wouldn't be surprised to see Cleveland, San Fran, or Dallas offer their 2 and 3 to get back in the 1st ahead of Denver and the extra option year on a QB. Chiefs end up with 3 picks in the first 3 rounds again by moving down 3-10 spots.
I think this will be one of the funnest first rounds in a while. I think we see a lot of trades.