Author Topic: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread  (Read 17811 times)

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Offline sys

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #150 on: August 06, 2022, 07:15:21 PM »
I think that twitter thread and many other inflation hawks are taking it for granted that the Fed must manufacture a recession to bring down inflation and that they themselves would were they J Powell. I think Powell and the rest are willing to let inflation run above 2% if it shows real signs of coming down.

The most frustrating part about the wage-price spiral people sounding the alarms is this chart here:

i think you're right that the fed delivering a kill shot is the most salient concern, but i think it's also true that there are just all sorts of conflicting signals and it's totally possible that the economy is going to take a dive regardless of what the fed does or doesn't do.

re. choosing between the dual mandates, i think it's relevant that since the first few months after it kicked up, inflation has been far outpacing wage growth, so it's not completely clear to me that giving inflation a little more room to run would be beneficial to wage earners.

"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

Offline steve dave

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #151 on: August 18, 2022, 07:35:05 AM »
initial jobless down to 250k which beat by a bit.

Philly Fed +6.2 which is wildly different than the giant negative Empire Fed number earlier this week.

moderately positive numbers all around  :dunno:

Offline bucket

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #152 on: August 26, 2022, 10:01:46 AM »
So, Jerome had not nice things to say in Jackson Hole.

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #153 on: August 26, 2022, 10:30:49 AM »
So, Jerome had not nice things to say in Jackson Hole.
I liked it.


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Offline steve dave

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #154 on: August 26, 2022, 11:27:09 AM »
he's going to CRUSH inflation and if you get crushed under his inflation crushing fist then SO BE IT!

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #155 on: August 26, 2022, 12:23:21 PM »



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Offline sys

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #156 on: August 26, 2022, 02:39:07 PM »
kick our ass, jerome.
"experienced commanders will simply be smeared and will actually go to the meat."

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #157 on: August 31, 2022, 07:20:40 AM »
https://twitter.com/LiveSquawk/status/1564949993265430533

seems like an inflection point? keeping sawin' wood jerome!

Offline steve dave

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #158 on: September 02, 2022, 07:30:57 AM »
+315k jobs added. basically right on consensus. 3.7% unemployed, we gotta pump these unemployment numbers up! labor participation rate matching its post covid high at 62.4, so that's going the right direction and probably the best news of this print. 

https://twitter.com/bencasselman/status/1565678546118483971

Offline Kat Kid

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #159 on: September 02, 2022, 07:37:39 AM »
Not time to buy yet.

Offline bucket

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #160 on: September 02, 2022, 07:46:36 AM »
Not time to buy yet.

Because September is historically bad or because we need higher unemployment?!

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #161 on: September 02, 2022, 07:58:21 AM »
Not time to buy yet.

Because September is historically bad or because we need higher unemployment?!
kk has a long and storied history of timing the market. Dumb luck? Maybe…MAYBE NOT!


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Offline Kat Kid

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Offline pissclams

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #163 on: September 20, 2022, 03:08:29 PM »
:lol:


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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #164 on: September 21, 2022, 05:36:30 PM »

Offline pissclams

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Cheesy Mustache QB might make an appearance.

New warning: Don't get in a fight with someone who doesn't even need to bother to buy ink.

Offline steve dave

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #166 on: October 06, 2022, 09:15:02 AM »
Folks, is Belarus the GOAT in economics?

https://twitter.com/bnonews/status/1578010838325157889


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Offline Stupid Fitz

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #167 on: October 06, 2022, 11:57:53 AM »
Folks, is Belarus the GOAT in economics?

https://twitter.com/bnonews/status/1578010838325157889


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Great idea. If only our President was smart enough to just sign an order banning people from being poor.

Offline Kat Kid

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Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #168 on: October 06, 2022, 12:02:13 PM »
Folks, is Belarus the GOAT in economics?

https://twitter.com/bnonews/status/1578010838325157889


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Real neck and neck with him and Erdogan who keeps cutting interest rates as a way to fix inflation.

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #169 on: October 06, 2022, 01:27:28 PM »
i’m currently sitting in my econ 101 class taking notes but kind of falling asleep lmao
am I the first freshman who’s ever taken econ 101?
I heard it was for upperclassmen.  i’ll probably get an A+?


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Offline bucket

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #170 on: October 10, 2022, 07:59:16 AM »
https://twitter.com/SquawkCNBC/status/1579444943348957189

In predicting whether the S&P is more likely to go up 10% or down 10%, Mo thinks we're more likely to go up 10% before going down 10% albeit it sounds like he, unsurprisingly, thinks we're going to go down further, "if you give me +10 or -5 I'd hesitate to go with +10." That's more optimistic than I expected because I've heard people expecting the S&P to touch 3,000 by the end of the year.

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #171 on: December 02, 2022, 07:35:28 AM »

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #172 on: December 02, 2022, 07:35:54 AM »
remember when everyone was debating if we were in a recession or not?

JEROME GONNA DROP THE HAMMER!

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #173 on: December 13, 2022, 07:33:34 AM »
CPI surprise miss. Inflation cool AF. Jerome, the hammer, put it down

https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1602657299243343872

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Re: Non-Political Market/Economy/Finance/etc. Thread
« Reply #174 on: December 13, 2022, 07:36:22 AM »
WHICH WAY WESTERN MAN!?