Maybe the ceiling against OU is obtainable with better fits/players but the floor needs to be raised as well. Our offense will finish no better than 3rd to last in any statistical category in the Big 12.
I think we can have a very effective offense that is bottom half on a lot of statistical measures, hell I think that's the best way for us to win, but the offense has to be efficient. It has to be an offense that picks up third downs and doesn't turn the ball over, both things we are very poor at right now. We were in position to beat OSU because Howard was a threat to run and made third downs attainable, didn't protect the ball though. He did neither against ISU.
This is true, but we were also in that position because our defense played lights out most of the night (and also Tylan Wallace was out). All that to say, yes, we were in a position to win, but scoring 18-25 points isn't going to get done most weeks unless the heavy lifting is being done by the defense.
It's fair to say that the offense has flat out sucked since Thompson's exit, which shouldn't really be surprising since he was our most important player and one of our 3 or 4 decent players on offense, and his replacement is a true freshman who isn't very good right now. I don't think any of that is an indicator on whether or not MESS is or isn't a capable OC.